The first pitch for the New York Yankees (8-6) vs. the Tampa Bay Rays (7-7) is slated for 1:40 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 12, with the Yankees carrying a 1.56x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
The Yankees are on a four-game losing streak and have lost back-to-back games vs. the Rays before today’s series finale. Tampa Bay has clinched its second series win of the young season and is hunting its first series sweep of 2026.
Below, we'll break down our Yankees vs. Rays prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB game, including the winner payouts, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your picks for Yankees vs. Rays on PrizePicks now.
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Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, April 12
For the third consecutive game, New York is the road favorite against the Rays. However, that hasn’t stopped the Yankees from dropping the first two games of the series, including Saturday’s 5-4 loss, with SP Max Fried pitching for 8.0 innings while allowing 3 earned runs.
After Tampa Bay scored 1 run in the eighth inning on Saturday, the game entered extra innings. Following 1 run from New York in the 10th, the Rays quickly answered by scoring 2 runs, securing the victory.
Tampa Bay has totaled 5.0 runs per game in this series, anchored by 9.0 hits per contest over the last two matchups. Meanwhile, the Yankees have been held to only 6.5 hits per game while totaling 10.5 strikeouts per contest in two games against the Rays. Will Tampa Bay’s strong pitching keep up in the series finale?
Yankees SP Cam Schlittler (1.18 xFIP in three starts) will take the mound against Rays SP Drew Rasmussen (2.58 xFIP in two starts).
Yankees vs. Rays Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, April 12
The Yankees enter Sunday’s game as a road favorite against the Rays, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Yankees vs. Rays game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Yankees -1.5 (2x payout)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Yankees - 1.56x | Rays - 2.17x
Play the Yankees vs. Rays winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Yankees vs. Rays Prediction on Winner – 4/12/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Yankees vs. Rays prediction on the winner for Sunday, April 12.
Lock in your Yankees vs. Rays prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
Following a strong 2025 debut with a 2.96 ERA, 3.77 xFIP, and 3.84 SIERA over 14 starts, Schlittler has taken another step forward with his 1.62 ERA and 1.27 SIERA in three starts, per FanGraphs. He’s totaled about 5.4 innings pitched per start while surrendering only 2.7 hits per appearance, translating to an absurd .480 WHIP.
Baseball Savant currently ranks Schlittler in the 97th percentile of xERA (1.43) and the 95th percentile of K% (37.9%).
Rasmussen also touts some impressive advanced stats, including a .800 WHIP and 2.78 SIERA. However, he looks more vulnerable by allowing a .246 xBA (46th percentile) and a 41.4% hard-hit rate (43rd percentile).
The right-handed hurler has given up 1 home run in each of his two starts, leading to 1.80 HR/9 allowed. This Yankees order is still more than capable of going yard, carrying a .140 isolated power (12th) and 0.93 home runs per game (15th).
New York is 3-0 in Schlittler’s starts, while Tampa Bay is 0-2 when Rasmussen is on the bump. The Yankees will likely have the reliever advantage with a 3.21 xFIP (fourth), compared to the Rays’ 4.61 xFIP (25th).
Yankees vs. Rays Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 4/12/26
Here are top Yankees vs. Rays picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, April 12. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Cam Schlittler and Yandy Diaz.
Yankees SP Cam Schlittler vs. Rays Projection: 5.5 Strikeouts
- Through three starts, Schlittler has totaled 22 strikeouts, leading to 7.3 Ks per start.
- The Rays average only 7.1 strikeouts per game (second-fewest), but they have a 32.5% chase rate (13th-highest).
- Schlittler’s 37.7% chase rate ranks in the 92nd percentile.
- As mentioned, the second-year starter has a long list of impressive advanced stats, suggesting another deep start.
- Schlitter allows a .182 xBA (87th percentile), potentially helping cut Tampa Bay’s .255 batting average (fifth).
Add Cam Schlittler to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Rays DH Yandy Diaz vs. Yankees Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Rays DH Yandy Diaz has excelled with a .364 batting average, .277 xBA (78th percentile), .373 xwOBA (80th percentile), and .464 xSLG (74th percentile).
- He’s recorded at least 1 hit in 11 of 14 games this season.
- Following an absurd .458 batting average over his first five games in March, Diaz has remained productive with a .290 batting average and .548 SLG in April.
- The 10-year veteran ranks in the 86th percentile of bat speed, and Schlittler allows a 36.1% hard-hit rate (60th percentile).
- Diaz’s impressive 11.9% K% (93rd percentile) could help avoid striking out against Schlittler.
- Diaz has career batting averages of .307 and .312 against four-seam fastballs and sinkers. Schlittler’s four-seamer (31.6% usage rate) and sinker (30.3% usage rate) are his most-used pitches.
Add Yandy Diaz to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Yankees vs. Rays Picks on PrizePicks
Will the Yankees finish the three-game series with a win thanks to strong pitching from Schlittler? New York could have a pitching advantage today, but Yandy Diaz & Co. remain a threat.
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Yankees vs. Rays picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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