Yankees vs. Orioles is set for first pitch at 6:35 p.m. ET on Monday, May 11, with the Yankees returning a 1.53x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
The Yankees will turn to SP Ryan Weathers (2-2, 3.03 ERA) for the first game of this American League East battle. The Orioles deploy SP Brandon Young (3-1, 4.35 ERA), who's making just his 17th career start in the majors.
Below, we’ll break down our Yankees vs. Orioles prediction and picks for Monday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Yankees vs. Orioles picks on PrizePicks now.
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Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, May 11
The Yankees' bullpen blew a couple of games against the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend, resulting in them being swept. That's been the club's lone weak spot this season, as their 26-15 record is the second-best mark in the AL.
New York ranks third in OPS (.775), and its top four starting pitchers all have an ERA below 3.50.
Pitching has been a problem for the Orioles — their team WHIP of 1.46 is the third-highest mark in the majors. They also sit 20th in xERA (4.22).
Yankees vs. Orioles Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, May 11
The Yankees enter Monday’s game as a road favorite against the Orioles, returning a 1.53x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Yankees vs. Orioles game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Yankees -1.5 (1.85x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 runs (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Yankees 1.53x | Orioles 2.38x
Make your Yankees vs. Orioles prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction on Winner – 5/11/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Yankees vs. Orioles prediction on the winner for Monday, May 11.
Lock in your Yankees vs. Orioles prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Yankees have a +73 run differential, which trails only the Atlanta Braves (+87) for tops in MLB.
- The Orioles, meanwhile, have a -41 run differential that's influenced their 18-23 record thus far.
- In addition to their pitching issues, Baltimore struggles to make contact in the batter’s box, holding the sixth-highest strikeout rate (24.5%) in all of baseball.
- Despite adding slugging 1B Pete Alonso during the offseason, Baltimore is only 16th in home runs. The Yankees rank first, hitting 21 more homers than the Orioles.
- Over just 78.1 career innings, Young's already given up 15 home runs.
Yankees vs. Orioles Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/11/26
Here are top Yankees vs. Orioles picks to target on PrizePicks for Monday, May 11. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include RF Aaron Judge and LF Cody Bellinger.
Yankees RF Aaron Judge vs. Orioles Projection: 1.5 Total Bases
- Judge hit a home run in Sunday’s 4-3 loss to the Brewers, giving him his fourth home run over the last eight games.
- After posting back-to-back seasons with at least 53 homers, Judge has gone deep 16 times already this season.
- Although the reigning AL MVP is only batting .267, he may have been a bit unfortunate. He has a career .347 BABIP, per FanGraphs, but just a .299 mark in 2026.
- The right-handed slugger has a 26.6% barrel rate, which is even better than his career mark of 23.0%.
Add Aaron Judge to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Yankees LF Cody Bellinger vs. Orioles Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Bellinger is one of the hottest hitters on the Yankees, going 16-for-36 (.444) with a .533 OBP over his last 10 games. During that span, he's notched 2 home runs, 13 RBI, and 7 runs scored.
- The former Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers star has shown an excellent eye at the plate, posting more walks (26) than strikeouts (22).
- Bellinger has a 41.6% hard-hit rate, which is on pace to be the third-highest mark of his career. It would be his first time being above 40% since 2020.
- Young has allowed a .380 wOBA and a .517 slugging percentage to left-handed hitters during his time in the majors.
Add Cody Bellinger to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Make Yankees vs. Orioles Picks on PrizePicks
The Yankees aim to end their three-game losing streak on the road against the Orioles on Monday. Their lineup has the potential to lead the way, with Judge and Bellinger standing out as two players who could finish with productive stat lines.
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Yankees vs. Orioles picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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