The New York Yankees (26-14) and Milwaukee Brewers (21-16) will wrap up their three-game series on Sunday, May 10, at 2:10 p.m. ET. New York is looking to avoid being swept after losing the first two games by a combined score of 10-3.
On Saturday, the Brewers won in extra innings, with C William Contreras delivering a walk-off sac-fly in the bottom of the 10th.
Ahead of the first pitch on Sunday, the Yankees are slight road favorites with a 1.78x payout if they defeat the Brewers, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we'll break down our Yankees vs. Brewers prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Yankees vs. Brewers prediction on PrizePicks for Sunday's game.
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Yankees vs. Brewers Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Sunday, May 10
In the final game of the series, Yankees SP Carlos Rodon (3.89 xFIP across 33 starts and 195.1 IP in 2025) and Brewers SP Logan Henderson (2.17 xFIP across 2 starts and 8 IP) will take the mound.
Rodon is expected to make his season debut on Sunday after ranking in the 80th percentile in xERA (3.33) and 85th percentile in xBA (.206) last season, per Baseball Savant. Leading up to his debut, Rodon threw 85 pitches in his final minor-league outing, so he may handle a decent-sized workload right out of the gate.
While New York’s bats have been cold this series, they still have the fourth-best wRC+ (117), fourth-best wOBA (.343), and best ISO (.204) in the majors to begin the 2026 campaign, per FanGraphs.
Although Henderson doesn’t qualify for the leader’s categories due to only pitching eight innings so far, he’s been stellar since being called up from the minors. Across his first two starts, he owns a 1.46 xERA and .176 xBA, suggesting he’s been better than his 4.50 ERA indicates.
As for Milwaukee’s bats, they have the 14th-worst wRC+ (97), 10th-worst wOBA (.312), and worst ISO (.114). There’s no doubt the Brewers miss the presence of OF Christian Yelich, who could be nearing a return from an adductor strain.
Yankees vs. Brewers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, May 10
The Yankees enter Sunday’s game as road favorites vs. the Brewers, returning a 1.78x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Yankees vs. Brewers game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (2.27x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (1.96x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Yankees 1.78x | Brewers 1.96x
Make your Yankees vs. Brewers prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Yankees vs. Brewers Prediction to Win – 5/10/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Yankees vs. Brewers prediction on the winner for Sunday, May 10.
Lock in your Yankees vs. Brewers prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Brewers have failed to win either of Henderson’s first two starts this season, losing by a combined score of 11-4 in those outings.
- Against right-handed pitching, the Yankees have the fourth-best wRC+ (118), fourth-best wOBA (.345), and best ISO (.194).
- On the flip side, the Brewers possess the third-worst wRC+ (79), fourth-worst wOBA (.286), and second-worst ISO (.088) against left-handed pitchers this season.
- Just last year, New York had the highest win rate (60.9%) in the league against non-divisional opponents. They’ve gone 19-11 (63.3%) against teams not residing in the AL East this season.
- Although the Yankees’ bullpen coughed up the lead on Saturday, they’ve been better than the Brewers’ bullpen in the early going. New York’s relievers have posted the fourth-best xERA (3.40) and 13th-best BABIP (.286).
- As for Milwaukee’s relievers, they have the seventh-best xERA (3.68) but the fifth-worst BABIP (.313).
Yankees vs. Brewers Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/10/26
Here are the top Yankees vs. Brewers picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, May 10. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Cody Bellinger and Jackson Chourio.
Yankees OF Cody Bellinger vs. Brewers Projection: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Cody Bellinger has tallied at least 1 hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances.
- During that 11-game span, Bellinger has totaled 7 doubles, 6 runs, 2 HRs, and 14 RBIs.
- Given the small sample we’ve seen from Henderson this season, it’s worth pointing out he had a 3.99 xFIP and 1.80 HR/9 to lefties in 2025, compared to a 2.45 xFIP and 0.00 HR/9 to righties.
- When facing right-handed hurlers this season, Bellinger boasts a 145 wRC+, .385 wOBA, and .184 ISO.
Add Cody Bellinger to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Brewers OF Jackson Chourio vs. Brewers Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Jackson Chourio has come out firing after beginning the season on the injured list, recording at least 1 hit in each of his first four games. He has 2 multi-hit outings, 3 doubles, 1 run, and 3 RBIs in his first four outings this year.
- Furthermore, of the 14 batted balls that Chourio has put in play, 8 have been hit at 94-plus MPH, per Baseball Savant.
- Chourio crushed left-handed pitching to the tune of a 168 wRC+, .411 wOBA, and .241 ISO a season ago.
- In 2025, Rodon had a 4.00 xFIP, 1.09 WHIP, and 1.02 HR/9 against right-handed sluggers, compared to a 3.51 xFIP, 0.91 WHIP, and 1.00 HR/9 when facing left-handed sluggers.
Add Jackson Chourio to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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The Yankees are looking to avoid their second sweep of the season on Sunday against the Brewers. Will Rodon help New York secure a victory in his season debut, or will Milwaukee pull out the brooms?
Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Yankees vs. Brewers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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