To get this weekend’s English Premier League action underway, Wolves will host Aston Villa in a West Midlands Derby on Friday at 3:00 p.m. ET on Friday, February 27, live on USA Network.
For the majority of the season, Wolverhampton (1-7-20) has been sitting comfortably in the relegation zone, currently dead last in the EPL table with just 10 points. Wolves' recent fixture results haven’t improved their chances of remaining in the EPL.
On the other hand, Aston Villa (15-6-6)is holding the No. 3 spot in the Premier League table, though a recent surge by Manchester United — who are fourth — has them just three points ahead now.
Below, we’ll breakdown our Wolves vs. Aston Villa Premier League prediction, picks, and tips for PrizePicks in Friday’s clash at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, England.
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Wolves vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks – Friday, February 27
Winning games has been a nearly impossible feat for Wolves, who have just one win all season in the EPL. Their lone win in the Premier League came against West Ham on January 3, but that success was short-lived, as they’ve gone 0-4-4 in their last eight matches.
Following a stellar stretch in November and December where they strung together eight straight victories, Villa has cooled off a bit recently after losing midfielder Boubacar Kamara to a season-ending injury, going 3-3-3 in their last nine contests.
Villa has much more to play for in this game, as Wolves are a virtual lock for relegation. Even if Aston Villa faces an uphill climb to catch Arsenal and Man City atop the league table, manager Unai Emery would love to maintain a top-five spot to secure Champions League qualification for 2026-27.
Wolves vs. Aston Villa Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Aston Villa enters Tuesday’s match as road favorites, returning a 1.81x payout ($100 entry pays out $181) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Wolves are home underdogs with a 4x ($400 payout on a $100 entry) payout if they find a way to notch their second win. of the season, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Winner Payout: Aston Villa – 1.81x | Tie – 3.57x | Wolves – 4x
Spread: Aston Villa -1.5 (3.33x Payout)
Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.96x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.75x | No 2.08x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Wolves vs. Aston Villa Prediction to Win
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Wolves vs. Aston Villa prediction on Friday, February 27.
- Fewer than 3 total goals have been scored in each of Aston Villa’s seven matches.
- Outside of a 3-1 loss to Newcastle in the FA Cup, where all three goals came while Aston Villa played with 10 men, Villas has not conceded more than 2 goals in a game.
- Over their last nine matches since their first — and only — win of the campaign, Wolves have been outscored 9-4.
- According to Fotmob.com, Villa is seventh in shots on target per match (4.3), while Wolverhampton sits all the way down at 18th (3.3) in the same metric.
- Wolves have failed to score a goal in 15 of 28 (53.6%) of their Premier League matchups.
- Despite sitting third in the EPL standings, Villa ranks 12th in expected goal difference (-4.3).
- At the same time, Aston Villa is fifth in average possession (53.7%) and sixth in touches in the opposition’s box (731).
- Home-field advantage has been nonexistent for Wolves, registering a 1-3-10 record in that split
- Wolves has been outscored 30-13 in their home matches in this EPL season.
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Wolves vs. Aston Villa Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Wolves vs. Aston Villa lineups for today's Premier League match. Lineups are not official.
Wolves Lineup vs. Aston Villa: Projected 3-4-2-1
- Goalkeeper: Jose Sa
- Defense: Toti Gomes, Santiago Bueno, Yerson Mosquera
- Midfield: Hugo Bueno, Andre, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, Jackson Tchatchoua
- Forwards: Adam Armstrong, Mateus Mane, Tolu Arokodare
Aston Villa Lineup vs. Wolves: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martinez
- Defense: Ian Maatsen, Tyrone Mings, Ezri Konsa, Matty Cash
- Midfield: Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz
- Forwards: Emiliano Buendia, Morgan Rogers, Leon Bailey, Ollie Watkins
Wolves vs. Aston Villa EPL Picks: Friday, February 27
Here are the top Wolves vs. Aston Villa picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, February 27. Player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Morgan Rogers and Emiliano Buendia.
Aston Villa F Morgan Rogers vs. Wolves
Morgan Rogers Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Assists (Demon)
- Morgan Rogers has notched 2 or more shots in 10 of his last 11 EPL matchups.
- Rogers has logged at least 1 shot on target in 9 of his last 11 outings.
- Throughout Villa’s first 27 league matches, Rogers leads them in assists (5) and chances created (34).
- Wolves have given up 14 or more shot attempts in three of their last four games against Premier League opponents.
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