USA vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup Round of 32

USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina are squaring off in a Round of 32 matchup on Wednesday, July 1, at 8:00 p.m. ET on FOX and in Spanish on Telemundo and FOX One. The match is at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.

Ahead of kick-off, the USA enters as the favorite with a 1.14x payout to advance to the Round of 16, via PrizePicks Team Picks. 

The winner of today’s match will face the winner of the Belgium vs. Senegal match in the Round of 16 on July 6 at Lumen Field in Seattle. The USA has advanced past the group stage in its last four World Cups dating back to 2010. As its own independent country, this is Bosnia and Herzegovina’s first trip to the knockout round.

As part of Yugoslavia, the country advanced to the quarterfinals in 1990.  

Below, we’ll break down our USMNT vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction and picks for Wednesday’s Round of 32 World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!

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USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina World Cup Round of 32 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 1

How to watch USMNT vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: FOX (English) | Telemundo and FOX One (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

After winning the first two group stage matches for the first time since 1930, the USMNT won Group D and advanced to the Round of 32. The USA defeated Paraguay and Australia by a combined 6-1 score before dropping the group finale to Türkiye 3-2 in stoppage time. 

While the USA has a recent track record of getting out of the group stage, they're 0-3 in the first knockout game over that time, dropping a 3-1 match to the Netherlands in 2022, losing in extra time to Belgium in 2014, and falling short to Ghana in 2010. 

The USMNT has done it this time around with an attacking offense that's scored 2.7 goals per match, fourth-most in the World Cup. It also sits 10th in big chances with 10 and is 10th in possession at 59.9%, per FotMob.

Bosnia and Herzegovina qualified as one of the top third-place teams, drawing Canada 1-1, losing to Switzerland 4-1, and beating Qatar 3-1 to advance out of Group B. 

The Dragons have one of the worst possession numbers, holding the ball for only 43.7% of matches, 33rd among all teams. The squad’s xG is 1.9, 39th of the 48 teams, and it is attempting only 3.7 shots on target per match (26th).

USMNT vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total Goals – Wednesday, July 1

The USMNT enters Wednesday's Round of 32 match as the favorite, returning a 1.14x payout to advance, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Bosnia and Herzegovina will look to slow down the USA's offense.

Here are the full payouts for the USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina match on PrizePicks.

• Payout to Advance: USA – 1.14x | Bosnia and Herzegovina – 5x
• Spread: USA -1.5 (2x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.75x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 2.04x | No 1.72x

Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included. 

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Round of 32 Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup 2026 

Here are the key stats and trends for USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• This is the fourth all-time meeting between the two countries, with the USMNT winning 2 matches and the third one being a draw. The last meeting was a 1-0 USA win in 2021.
• The USMNT has scored in 11 of the past 12 matches, scoring 2+ goals in eight of the past 10 matches, including all 3 World Cup outings this year. 
• The Americans have also only had 1 clean sheet on defense over their last 11 matches, only blanking Australia in the second World Cup match. 
• Bosnia and Herzegovina has allowed opponents to generate 2.0 expected goals (xG) per match, 34th of 48 World Cup teams. 
• The Dragons have allowed at least 1 goal in each of their 3 World Cup matches and in 11 of the past 12 overall.  
• During UEFA qualifying and the playoff, Bosnia and Herzegovina went 3-1-4, ceding 9 total goals.  

Lock in your USMNT vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Round of 32 Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Wednesday, July 1

Here are the projected USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina lineups for Wednesday’s World Cup group stage match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

USA Lineup vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Today

Projected Formation:  4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Matt Freese
• Defense: Alex Freeman, Tim Ream, Chris Richards, Antonee Robinson
• Defensive Midfield: Tyler Adams, Malik Tillman
• Attacking Midfield: Sergino Dest, Weston McKennie, Christian Pulisic 
• Forwards: Folarin Balogun

Bosnia and Herzegovina Lineup vs. USA Today

Projected Formation: 4-4-2

• Goalkeeper: Nikola Vasilj
• Defense: Amar Memić, Nikola Katić, Tarik Muharemović, Sead Kolašinac
• Midfield: Esmir Bajraktarević, Ivan Bašić, Ivan Šunjić, Kerim Alajbegović
• Forwards: Ermedin Demirović, Edin Džeko

USMNT vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Round of 32 Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 7/1/26

Here are the top United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina player picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, July 1. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Folarin Balogun and Matt Freese. 

USA Striker Folarin Balogun vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina 

Folarin Balogun Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Shots (Goblin), 14.5 Pass Attempts, 10.5 Fantasy Score

• In two World Cup matches (did not play in the third match), Folarin Balogun has 2 goals on 7 shots (3 shots on goal).
• On Matchday 1 vs. Paraguay, Balogun became the first American to have 2 goals in a World Cup match since Bert Patenaude in the very first World Cup in 1930. 
• Balogun’s expected goals on target (xGOT) are 1.6, 15th among all strikers.
• According to Footy Stats, Balogun averaged 3.09 shots taken per 90 minutes for AS Monaco in 2025-26, which ranked in the 95th percentile.

Combine United States + Folarin Balogun World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

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USA GK Matt Freese vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina

Matt Freese Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Goalie Saves (Goblin), 0.5 Goals Allowed, 10.5 Fantasy Score

• USMNT goalkeeper Matt Freese started the first two matches, allowing 1 total goal with 2 saves. His 2 saves vs. Australia were part of his fourth career clean sheet for the USMNT. 
• Through two games, Freese’s 17 actions inside the penalty area were the fourth-fewest among goalkeepers. His 15 actions outside the penalty area are tied for third-fewest.
• Freese’s 0.5 xGOT conceded (expected goals on target) is 0.5, third-best among all goalkeepers, per Opta. 
• Freese averaged 1.13 goals conceded per 90 minutes for NYCFC in 2025-26, which ranked in the 77th percentile.

Combine USA + Matt Freese World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Make Your USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Round of 32 Prediction on PrizePicks

Can the USA win a knockout stage match for the first time since 2002 and keep their title hopes alive, or will Bosnia and Herzegovina play spoiler and advance to the Round of 16?  

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