The USA will face Belgium in the Round of 16 matchup on Monday, July 6, at 8:00 p.m. ET on FOX and Telemundo. Ahead of kick-off at Lumen Field in Seattle, Wash., the USA enters as the favorite with a 1.75x payout to advance via PrizePicks Team Picks.
The winner of today’s USA vs. Belgium Round of 16 match will face the winner of the Portugal vs. Spain match in the quarterfinals on Friday, July 10 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif.
The USA has advanced past the group stage in its last four World Cups, dating back to 2010. However, they have advanced to the quarterfinals only once, back in 2002.
Belgium is in the Round of 16 for the fourth time in the last five World Cups, finishing third in 2018, and defeating USA in the Round of 16 in 2014.
Plenty of stars will be on the pitch, from USMNT’s ST Folarin Balogun, who shockingly got his red card suspension suspended, LW Christian Pulisic, and goalie Matt Freese, as well as Belgium MF Kevin De Bruyne. Which players could thrive in Monday night’s Monday Night Football match?
Below, we’ll break down our USA vs. Belgium picks for World Cup 2026 player projections on PrizePicks.
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USA vs. Belgium Picks for World Cup Round of 16 – Monday, 7/6/26
After winning the first two group stage matches for the first time since 1930, the USMNT won Group D and advanced to the Round of 16, defeating Bosnia and Herzegovina for the country’s second-ever knockout stage win.
The Americans have struck a good balance on both sides of the pitch, scoring 2.5 goals per match, tied for fifth overall in the World Cup, while conceding only 4 goals in four matches, the 14th-best mark. Among teams that have only played four matches, the USA is sixth with 12 big chances and has averaged 57.1% of possession time, 14th among all teams.
Striker Folarin Balogun is expected to be in the lineup tonight after FIFA suspended his one-game red-card ban and leads the USMNT with 3 goals and 1.3 expected goals, per FotMob.
After struggling to draw with Egypt and Iran, Belgium defeated New Zealand to win Group G and advance. They then trailed Senegal in the Round of 32, 2-0, before rallying and winning in extra time. Despite the early struggles, Belgium has a FotMob rating of 7.14, sixth best in the tournament, and is 12th in time of possession at 57.6%.
The Red Devils are no strangers to the knockout round, advancing in six of the past eight World Cups. In 2014, Belgium defeated the USA in the Round of 16, 2-1, in extra time in an unforgettable match, before losing to Argentina.
Find our full USA vs. Belgium prediction on winner + expert picks here!
Here are the top United States vs. Belgium picks on players to target on PrizePicks for Monday, July 6. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Folarin Balogun and Kevin De Bruyne.
USA ST Folarin Balogun vs. Belgium – 0.5 Passes Attempted (Promo)
Folarin Balogun Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Shots, 1.5 Attempted Dribbles, 0.5 Goals (Demon), 11 Fantasy Score
- PrizePicks is offering a Max Discount promo on Flo Balogun — if he attempts just one pass vs. Belgium, he’ll cash this pick! It’s as close to a free pick as you can get, only on PrizePicks for today’s match. Claim the Flo Balogun promo for 0.5 passes attempted here!
- Balogun is averaging 9.2 completed passes per 90 minutes in the World Cup, completing only 62.2%, per Fotmob. He only needs one to top 0.5 for the Max Discount.
- In three World Cup matches (sat out in final group stage match), Folarin Balogun has 3 goals on a team-leading 11 shots (4 shots on goal).
- During the Round of 32 match vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Balogun scored his 3rd goal and then received a red card, being sent off.
- In match one vs. Paraguay, Folarin Balogun became the first American to have two goals in a World Cup match since Bert Patenaude in the very first World Cup in 1930.
- Balogun’s expected goals on target (xGOT) are 1.8, 20th among all strikers at the World Cup.
- Balogun is averaging 1.6 shots on target per 90 minutes in the World Cup.
- According to Footy Stats, Balogun averaged 3.09 shots taken per 90 minutes for AS Monaco in 2025-26, which ranked in the 95th percentile.
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USA LW Christian Pulisic vs. Belgium
Christian Pulisic Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals + Assists (Demon), 2 Shots, 14.5 Fantasy Score, 28.5 Passes Attempted
- In three World Cup matches (two starts), Christian Pulisic does not have a goal, attempting 4 shots, 2 on goal.
- Pulisic is averaging 2.18 shots per 90 minutes, and 1.09 on goal during the World Cup, per Fotmob.
- During the four international friendlies the USA played before the World Cup, Pulisic had 2+ shots in all four matches, totaling 11 shots, with one goal and one assist, both vs. Senegal.
- Pulisic has 33 goals for the USMNT, the fifth most in team history.
- According to Footy Stats, Pulisic averaged 3.01 shots taken per 90 minutes for AC Milan in 2025-26, which ranked in the 94th percentile.
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USA GK Matt Freese vs. Belgium
Matt Freese Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Goalie Saves, 1.5 Goals Allowed (Demon), 9.0 Fantasy Score
- USMNT goalkeeper Matt Freese started three of the four World Cup matches, allowing 1 total goal, with 5 saves.
- His 3 saves vs. Australia were part of his second straight and fifth career clean sheet for USMNT.
- Freese’s 83.3% save percentage is fifth among all World Cup goalies.
- Freese’s xGOT conceded (expected goals on target) is 0.7, second-best among all goalkeepers, per Opta. Only Spain’s Unai Simon has a lower one.
- According to Footy Stats, Freese averaged 1.13 goals conceded per 90 minutes for NYCFC in 2025-26, which ranked in the 77th percentile.
- It’s just a foot note, as these two sides are now in much different places; but in the 2014 World Cup match, USA GK Tim Howard tallied a World Cup record 16 saves.
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Belgium MF Kevin De Bruyne vs. USA
Kevin De Bruyne Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots, 13.5 Fantasy Score, 37.5 Passes Attempted, 2 Shots Assisted
- Kevin De Bruyne is averaging 2.99 chances created per 90 minutes through four games for Belgium.
- After being held scoreless in the first two Group Stage matches, KDB got the ball in the net on one of his 7 shots vs. New Zealand.
- De Bruyne’s 9 chances created are tied for the third-most chances created by midfielders at the World Cup.
- During UEFA World Cup qualifying, the Belgian midfielder had 6 goals on 23 shots over the six matches, helping Belgium win the qualifying group.
- He also averaged 4.02 in UEFA Qualifying.
- According to Footy Stats, De Bruyne averaged 56.97 passes per 90 minutes for Napoli in 2025-26, which ranked in the 88th percentile.
- Note: Check KDB’s injury status before the game on Playbook, as there are rumors he is not fully fit and is in question for the starting XI vs. USA.
Combine Belgium + Kevin De Bruyne World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
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Make Your USA vs. Belgium World Cup Predictions on PrizePicks
Can the USA win multiple knockout stage matches for the first time ever and advance to the quarterfinals for the first time since 2002? Or will Belgium knock the USA out again — like they did in 2014 — and continue its quest?
Don’t wait until the 8 p.m. ET lock to make your picks tonight. Make your USA vs. Belgium picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.
Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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