“Thug” Rose Namajunas is one victory away from getting a shot at championship glory at two weight classes. Standing in her way on the UFC 324 main card is the surging Brazilian Natalia Silva, looking to derail the Namajunas’ path back to the flyweight throne. Silva vs. Namajunas is an unofficial title eliminator — the winner at UFC 324 on Paramount+ is expected to claim the next shot at champion Valentina Shevchenko.
We’ll break down our Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas prediction and UFC 324 expert pick below, including PrizePicks UFC picks and key stats for this high-level showdown between two of the UFC’s best flyweight contenders.
You can predict UFC fight winners on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn money if you're right, including on Silva vs. Namajunas, now available in 30 states.
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Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas Prediction, UFC 324 Preview
Rose Namajunas enters UFC 324 at a career crossroads, chasing a title shot for the first time in her time at flyweight after capturing UFC gold twice at strawweight. The 33-year-old former champion has been promised a championship opportunity against Valentina Shevchenko with a victory.
However, her 3-2 record at 125 pounds includes decision losses to elite contenders Manon Fiorot and Erin Blanchfield. Those fights exposed her difficulty adapting to larger, stronger opponents.
Natalia Silva is the main obstacle between Namajunas and her dream of becoming a two-division champion. The #2-ranked Brazilian contender rides a 13-fight winning streak and a perfect 7-0 UFC record, beating former champion Alexa Grasso most recently in May 2025 while establishing herself as the division's most dangerous rising force.
Silva’s taekwondo-based striking produces 5.04 significant strikes per minute at 46% accuracy, and she uses constant movement and deceptive kicks that catch opponents off guard. Namajunas holds experience and championship pedigree advantages, but the younger, faster Silva enters as the favorite, putting pressure on ‘Thug Rose’ to deliver a signature performance in a high-stakes spot.
UFC 324: Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas Payouts
Natalia Silva enters this women’s flyweight bout as the favorite, returning a 1.25x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if he wins.
Rose Namajunas comes into this fight as the underdog with a 3.7x payout if she wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can pick fight winners to earn real money on every fight a UFC 324.
Game Winner Payout: Natalia Silva 1.25x | Rose Namajunas 3.7x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas Prediction for UFC 324
Here are some stats to help you make your Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas prediction for UFC 324 this Saturday night.
- Silva holds one of the highest striking differentials in the UFC women's flyweight division (2.58) and absorbs just 2.46 significant strikes per minute.
- The Brazilian boasts an elite 92% takedown defense.
- Silva enters on a 13-fight win streak with seven straight UFC victories, including a decisive win over former champion Alexa Grasso.
- "Thug Rose" is a former two-time UFC strawweight champion with four title fight victories, bringing championship pedigree and big-fight experience against elite competition.
- Namajunas averages 1.49 takedowns per 15 minutes with 50% accuracy, and her elite submission game (five career submissions) could capitalize if Silva makes a mistake.
UFC 324 Silva vs. Namajunas Start Time, How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: Main Card – 9 p.m. ET | Silva vs. Namajunas Start Time – 9:30 p.m. ET (estimate)
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- TV: Paramount+
UFC 324: Silva vs. Namajunas Tale of the Tape
Here are the key stats to know for Silva vs. Namajunas at UFC 324.
Natalia Silva Stats for UFC 324
Overall Record: 19-5-1
UFC Record: 7-0
Last 5 Fights: 3-2
Height: 5’4"
Reach: 65”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 5.04
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 0.34
Last Fight: Win vs. Alexa Grasso by Decision
Finishes: 12 (5 KO/TKO/7 SUB)
Rose Namajunas Stats for UFC 324
Overall Record: 14-7
UFC Record: 12-6
Last 5 Fights: 3-2
Height: 5’5"
Reach: 65”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.6
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 1.49
Last Fight: Win vs. Miranda Maverick by Decision
Finishes: 7 (2 KO/TKO/5 SUB)
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Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas Pick for PrizePicks
Here is our expert UFC 324 pick for Silva vs. Namajunas on PrizePicks. Picks are available via PrizePicks MMA board.
Silva vs. Namajunas Pick: Natalia Silva 62.5 Significant Strikes
- Silva averages 5.04 significant strikes landed per minute, which projects to roughly 78 landed strikes over a full 15-minute fight.
- In her recent decision win over former champion Alexa Grasso, Silva landed 65 significant strikes, outstriking Grasso to a unanimous decision.
- The Brazilian holds one of the best striking differentials in the division (+2.58), consistently out-landing her opponents in all seven UFC fights.
- Namajunas absorbs 3.38 significant strikes per minute and has historically struggled with volume strikers who stay at range, allowing Silva's taekwondo style to rack up numbers without entering the pocket.
Make Silva vs. Namajunas Picks on PrizePicks
This women’s flyweight bout pits the surging contender Natalia Silva against former strawweight queen Rose Namajunas, looking to take that step forward toward a flyweight title shot.
Silva vs. Namajunas on the UFC 324 main card will be broadcast live on Paramount+ from T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas this Saturday, January 24.
You can win real money by locking in your UFC 324 predictions on PrizePicks — from the first fight of the night all the way to the main event. Pick your fighters, and win cash if you're right. You can also predict UFC winners on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued UFC picks, predictions, and news.
