Arnold Allen looks to defend his spot in the featherweight rankings against the surging power of Jean Silva in a featherweight clash that promises to kick off the UFC 324 main card with a bang.
This fight pits elite technical striking against reckless aggression, making it a strong contender for Fight of the Night, even on a loaded card.
We’ll break down our Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva prediction and UFC 324 expert pick below, including PrizePicks UFC picks and key stats for Saturday, January 24, between two of the UFC’s best featherweights.
You can predict UFC winners on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn money if you're right, including on Allen vs. Silva, now available in 30 states.
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Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva Prediction, UFC 324 Preview
Arnold Allen makes his highly anticipated return to the octagon after an extended injury layoff that has kept him sidelined for over a year. Allen’s experience and technical edge become key if he shakes off the layoff and finds his rhythm early.
However, rust and lack of recent cage time will be critical factors in Allen's comeback bid.
Jean Silva arrives as the division's hottest prospect, armed with devastating power and suffocating pressure that have made him one of the most dangerous strikers at 145 pounds. Silva's precision, accuracy, and forward momentum have caught the attention of title contenders, positioning him as a legitimate threat to anyone in the featherweight division.
Allen's technical advantage and experience could prove valuable if he can shake off the layoff and find his rhythm early. Silva's aggressive approach and power striking will test Allen's defensive acumen in what shapes up as a crucial featherweight clash with significant divisional implications for both fighters.
UFC 324: Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva Payouts
Arnold Allen enters this featherweight bout as the underdog, returning a 2.85x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if he wins.
Jean Silva comes into this fight as the favorite with a 1.36x payout if he wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can pick UFC fight winners to earn real money in 30+ states.
Fight Winner Payout: Arnold Allen 2.85x | Jean Silva 1.36x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva Prediction for UFC 324
Here are some stats to help you make your Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva prediction for UFC 324 this Saturday night.
- Allen brings a 20-3 record (11-2 UFC) with wins over Calvin Kattar, Dan Hooker, and Giga Chikadze, proving he can outclass proven strikers.
- He’s historically tough to hit clean, absorbing just 2.88 strikes per minute and a 61% striking defense — compared to Silva, who is coming off a devastating KO loss to Diego Lopes.
- Allen averages around 0.93 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 47% takedown accuracy, giving him a reliable ability to mix in takedowns when needed against a dangerous striker.
- Silva’s 16-3 record, 12 knockouts, and 3 submissions (94% finishing rate), plus 4.7 significant strikes landed per minute, showcase the danger he poses in this matchup.
- The Brazilian has shown excellent defensive grappling, stuffing takedowns at a 78% clip in recent bouts, while racking up bonus-winning stoppages over Bryce Mitchell, Melsik Baghdasaryan, Drew Dober, and Charles Jourdain.
- Activity and momentum favor Silva, who has fought top competition consistently over the last two years, while Allen returns from an 18-month layoff and major shoulder surgery that could affect his timing, durability. and three-round pace.
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Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva Start Time, How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: Main Card – 9 p.m. ET | Allen vs. Silva Start Time – 9:15 p.m. ET (estimate)
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- TV: Paramount+
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva Tale of the Tape
Here are the key stats to know for Allen vs. Silva at UFC 324.
Arnold Allen Stats for UFC 324
Overall Record: 20-3
UFC Record: 11-2
Last 5 Fights: 3-2
Height: 5’8"
Reach: 70”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.4
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 0.93
Last Fight: Win vs. Giga Chikadze by Decision
Finishes: 13 (11 KO/TKO/2 SUB)
Jean Silva Stats for UFC 324
Overall Record: 16-3
UFC Record: 5-1
Last 5 Fights: 4-1
Height: 5'7"
Reach: 69”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 4.7
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 0.50
Last Fight: Loss vs. Diego Lopes by KO/TKO in Round 2
Finishes: 15 (12 KO/TKO/3 SUB)
Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva Pick for PrizePicks
Here is our expert UFC 324 prediction and pick for Allen vs. Silva. All picks are available via PrizePicks MMA board.
Allen vs. Silva Pick: Arnold Allen – 55.5 Significant Strikes
- Allen has cleared this significant strikes projection in his last two three-round fights, landing 61 significant strikes against Giga Chikadze and 59 against Movsar Evloev.
- Silva’s defense is porous, absorbing 4.69 significant strikes per minute — nearly 40% more than the typical UFC featherweight average.
- If this fight goes the full 15 minutes, Allen needs just 3.7 significant strikes per minute to clear 55.5.
- "Almighty" is a counter-striker who thrives on aggression, and Silva’s high-pressure style (4.79 SLpM) will force consistent pocket exchanges where Allen can land volume without chasing.
- Allen has never been finished in his career, and Silva’s toughness suggests this fight should at least reach the 10-minute mark, giving Allen time to compile volume.
Make UFC 324 Predictions on PrizePicks
The UFC 324 main card will get started with Allen vs. Silva, broadcast live on Paramount+ from T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, this Saturday, January 24.
This featherweight matchup pits two surging contenders, Arnold Allen and Jean Silva, looking for a statement win that could put them into title contention this weekend.
You can win real money by locking in your UFC 324 predictions on PrizePicks — from the first fight of the night all the way to the lightweight main event. Pick your fighters, and win cash if you're right. You can also predict UFC winners on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued UFC picks, predictions, and news.
