The Thunder have a 3-2 series lead and have a chance to win their first NBA Championship since the organization moved to Oklahoma City on Thursday in Game 6. They were the best team during the regular season, but that doesn’t guarantee a championship. They could become the first team since the Celtics in 2008 to have the best regular season record and win the NBA Finals.
OKC’s roster is deep, but this offense runs through the NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. In a close-out game, this is when the stars step up, and Gilgeous-Alexander has the chance to have a memorable series clincher.
Below, we’ll give you the top Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projections for Thunder vs. Pacers on Thursday, June 19, in the NBA Finals, plus a PrizePicks NBA pick.
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Top Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projection, Pick vs. Pacers Today
Here is the top SGA projection and pick for the Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 6 via the PrizePicks NBA board.
Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — 33.5 Points

- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a prominent part of the Oklahoma City offense, scoring 30+ points in 11-of-15 games and four of five in the NBA Finals.
- This is the first time the projection is set at 33.5 points since Game 1 of the NBA Finals, where he scored 38 points.
- Gilgeous-Alexander is not afraid to attack the basket to look for a close-range shot attempt, and his 20.3 drives per game lead the playoffs.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is second in the playoffs with 14.0 drive points per game.
- SGA carries this team by shooting in volume. He has at least 20 field goals in nine of ten games, with the one being the blowout loss to Minnesota.
- He’s able to add points at the free-throw line and has made at least ten free throws in six of his last ten games.
- When there is a chance to end a series, Gilgeous-Alexander has come up big by scoring 34+ points in the three series-clinching games in the 2025 NBA Playoffs.
All Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projections vs. Pacers in NBA Finals

Here are other top Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projections vs. the Pacers in Game 6 of the NBA Finals via the PrizePicks NBA Board.
- 0.5 Blocked Shots (Goblin)
- 54.5 Fantasy Score
- 5 Rebounds
- 6.5 Assists
- 45.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- 40.5 Pts+Asts
- 38.5 Pts+Rebs
- 11.5 Rebs+Asts
- 1.5 Steals
- 1.5 3-PT Made
- 8.5 Free Throws Made
Make NBA Finals Predictions on PrizePicks
NBA Finals Game 6 is set for Thursday, June 19, at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC in Indiana. With the Thunder holding a 3-2 lead, they have a chance to win their first NBA championship since 1979 when they were the Seattle SuperSonics, and first in Oklahoma City.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has the potential to become onlythe second player to win the NBA regular season MVP, scoring title, and Finals MVP in the same year (Michael Jordan 1991, 1992, 1996, 1998).
On PrizePicks, you can get paid for your NBA predictions every night of the NBA Finals, just by picking More or Less on Finals player projections.
For every game, there are countless player stat projections to pick from on PrizePicks — from points, rebounds, assists, threes, and combos — so you can build your Lineup however you’d like and cash in if you pick right.