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PrizePicks NBA Cheat Sheet: Pacers vs. Thunder Picks – Monday, June 16

Thunder PF/C Chet Holmgren dunks in the NBA FInals. Holmgren is a top NBA Finals Game 5 pick on Monday, June 16, in the PrizePicks NBA Cheat Sheet.
AP Photo/Abbie Parr

The Thunder won on the road in Game 4 to tie the 2025 NBA Finals at 2-2. Now, the Pacers will hit the road to try and regain the lead in the series in a crucial Game 5. Game 5 will be played tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Below, we'll break down the top picks for Pacers vs. Thunder in NBA Finals Game 5 tonight on PrizePicks NBA, including the three top player projections to target.

PrizePicks is the easiest way to win cash with your NBA predictions in tonight’s NBA Finals Game 5 between the Pacers and Thunder. Pick More or Less on player stat projections — including for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Pascal Siakam —and get paid if your predictions are correct.

New to PrizePicks? Claim your free $50 bonus and start getting rewarded for your predictions here.

Pacers vs. Thunder Predictions – NBA Finals Game 5

Here are the top Pacers vs. Thunder picks and predictions for NBA Finals Game 5on the PrizePicks NBA board. Click to read more about each pick. 

Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – 12 Rebs+Asts

Pacers vs. Thunder Picks - SGA
  • Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous Alexander played 40 minutes in Game 4, but finished with only three rebounds and no assists.
  • Gilgeous-Alexander has recorded four or fewer assists in three of four games in the Finals.
  • Gilgeous-Alexander has finished with 12 or fewer combined rebounds and assists in three of four Finals games.
  • The Pacers allowed the ninth-fewest assists per game (25.0) in the league during the regular season.
  • SGA's Rebs+Asts average is 10.2 per game in his last five games.

Pacers PF Pascal Siakam – 19 Points

Pacers vs. Thunder Picks - Pascal Siakam
  • Pacers PF Pascal Siakam has scored at least 19 points in three of four NBA Finals games against the Thunder.
  • Siakam has averaged 7.3 free-throw attempts per game in the Finals. During the regular season, he averaged 3.9 free-throw attempts per game.
  • Siakam shot 78.3% from the free-throw line on the road during the regular season. At home, he shot 68.2%.
  • Siakam averaged 21.0 points per game on the road during the regular season.

Thunder PF/C Chet Holmgren – 24.5 Pts+Rebs

Pacers vs. Thunder Picks - Chet Holmgren
  • Thunder PF/C Chet Holmgren played 24 minutes in Game 1 and 28 minutes in Game 2 of the Finals.
  • The Thunder have gone to bigger lineups the last two games. Holmgren played 35 minutes in Game 3 and 37 minutes in Game 4 after playing just 24 minutes in the series opener.
  • When Holmgren plays at least 30 minutes this NBA Playoffs, he is averaging 19.4 points and 9.7 rebounds per game — good for 29.1 Pts+Rebs per game.
  • Holmgren posted at least 29 combined points and rebounds in both of the last two Finals games.
  • The Pacers allowed the ninth-most rebounds per game (45.0) in the league during the regular season.

Make NBA Finals Predictions on PrizePicks

NBA Finals Game 5 should bring plenty of excitement and tense moments with the NBA Finals tied at 2-2. Both teams should lean on their starters for major production in this key game.

For the Thunder, that means another big shooting performance from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and another big game from Chet Holmgren in extended minutes. For the Pacers, they will need Pascal Siakam to help take some of the scoring pressure off PG Tyrese Haliburton.

NBA Finals Game 5 between the Pacers and Thunder also provides the opportunity to win real money on PrizePicks.

Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the NBA Finals for more basketball analysis for your PrizePicks and NBA DFS Lineups.

Get in the Game! Sign up for PrizePicks and win real money with your picks. Play $5 to get $50 free with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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