Mavericks vs. Timberwolves is set for tip-off at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV on Thursday, November 12, with the Timberwolves being 5.5-point favorites for the spread on PrizePicks.
Both teams enter this matchup on winning streaks. The Timberwolves have won four games in a row to improve to 8-3, while the Mavericks have three consecutive victories and are nipping at Minnesota’s heels in the Western Conference at 7-4.
Below, we’ll break down our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction and NBA picks for Thursday, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, November 12
The Timberwolves enter Thursday’s game as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Mavericks, via PrizePicks, returning a 1.42x payout with a win.
Here are the full payouts for the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game. PrizePicks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Make your Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks.
The Timberwolves continue to play without SG Anthony Edwards (knee), who is expected to miss around two months in total. Since he went down, however, the team is 5-2, with four wins coming by at least 10 points.
Stepping up with Edwards out has been PG LaMelo Ball, who's averaged 22.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 5.5 assists, and 1.8 steals over the last six games.
The Mavericks come into this matchup healthy and having scored 255 points over their last two contests.
After sitting out all last season with a knee injury, PG Kyrie Irving has looked like his old self while averaging 22.9 points and shooting 48.7% from the field. That includes him shooting 39.5% from behind the arc.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction on Over/Under – 11/12/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction on the over/under for Thursday, November 12.
- The Timberwolves have the best defensive rating (105.1) in the league, per NBA.com.
- Minnesota allowing 107.1 PPG makes it one of only seven teams in the NBA that surrenders fewer than 110 points a night.
- The Timberwolves have been especially stingy at home, permitting just 102.8 PPG in the friendly confines of the Target Center.
- As good as the Mavericks have been lately, their three-game winning streak came against struggling teams in the Jazz, Nets, and Pacers.
- Dallas is 2-3 against clubs with a winning record. In those contests, they averaged 112.6 points. With that said, they produce 116.8 nightly points against losing squads.
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 11/12/26
Here are top Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks to target on Thursday, November 12. NBA picks for PrizePicks include Cooper Flagg and Jaden McDaniels.
Mavericks F Cooper Flagg vs. Timberwolves: 6 FT Attempted
- Flagg has played at least 39 minutes in five of his last eight games. Even with him leaving one tilt early because of an injury, he averages 34 MPG on the season.
- The second-year star has been more aggressive, increasing his usage rate from 26.9% last campaign to 30.0% this year.
- Flagg takes 7.2 trips to the free throw line per game. Last season, he averaged 4.9 tries.
- The Timberwolves are a good defensive team, but they also foul a lot. Last season, they gave up the fifth-most free throw attempts per game (25.3). Their mark is almost identical (24.6) now.
Add Cooper Flagg + Mavericks to win to your PrizePicks NBA lineup now!
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Timberwolves F Jaden McDaniels vs. Mavericks: 5 Rebounds
- McDaniels averages 34 minutes, which is on pace to be the highest mark of his career.
- With the former first-round pick playing more, he hauled in at least 6 rebounds in 10 of his 11 games.
- Helping McDaniels accumulate rebounds is Minnesota playing at the ninth-fastest pace (100.77) in the sport.
- The Timberwolves don’t have as much size as they did in seasons past after trading away PF-C Naz Reid and PF Julius Randle during the offseason. Other than C Rudy Gobert, no other player currently with the team averaged at least 6.0 rebounds in 2025-26.
Add Jaden McDaniels + Timberwolves to cover the spread to your PrizePicks NBA lineup now!
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The Timberwolves and Mavericks both take winning streaks into their matchup Thursday. With how well Minnesota has defended at home, we could be looking at a low-scoring battle.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks on PrizePicks now.
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