Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Tuesday, May 26

May 26, 2026

4 min read

Foto AP/Jayne Kamin-Oncea
MLB

On Tuesday, MLB has a full 15-game slate with several intriguing matchups. Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani is one of several batters who are worth keeping an eye on throughout Tuesday’s schedule.

PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for all your MLB picks, and many hitters have already been targeted by users as some of the most popular home run picks throughout Tuesday’s action.

Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick.

Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, May 26, on PrizePicks now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}


Top Home Run Picks Today – Tuesday, May 26

Belting a home run is one of the toughest achievements that a player can complete on the diamond. As a result, it can be quite difficult to predict which player could go yard on a given day of the season.

Several factors can contribute to a home run being hit over the fence. How hard has a player been hitting the ball lately? Has the opposing starter been serving up several fly balls? Could weather conditions play a role?

Home run projections are labeled as Demons on PrizePicks, which comes with a higher payout. You can only choose “More” on home run projections, which are set at 0.5.

Here’s a look at the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.

  1. Yankees OF Aaron Judge
  2. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
  3. Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani
  4. Nationals OF James Wood
  5. Orioles 1B Pete Alonso
  6. Rays 3B Junior Caminero
  7. Diamondbacks 2B Ketel Marte
  8. Angels OF Mike Trout
  9. Pirates OF Oneil Cruz
  10. Blue Jays DH George Springer

Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.


Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – 10:10 p.m. ET

Rockies Starting Pitcher: Kyle Freeland (8 GS, 1-5, 4.36 xFIP, 40.2% hard-hit, 37.6% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 59 degrees, clear skies, and winds 10 mph to center field

  • Ohtani has blasted 8 home runs in 2026, which ranks third on the Dodgers behind Max Muncy (12) and Andy Pages (11).
  • The Dodgers’ designated hitter has belted 3 of his 8 home runs against left-handed pitchers.
  • Ohtani has tallied a 15.1% home run-to-fly-ball rate and has slugged two career home runs in 7 at-bats vs. Rockies SP Kyle Freeland.
  • The Dodgers’ superstar has recorded a 38.4% fly ball rate, while Freeland has surrendered a 37.6% mark.
  • Ohtani has also racked up a 93.1 mph average exit velocity (95th percentile), a 16.4% barrel rate (93rd), and a 48.9% hard-hit rate (87th).
  • Freeland has yielded 9 home runs this season while also surrendering a 2.11 HR/9 and a 19.1% HR/FB rate.
Add Shohei Ohtani to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Orioles 1B Pete Alonso

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles – 6:35 p.m. ET

Rays Starting Pitcher: Griffin Jax (5 GS, 1-2, 4.31 xFIP, 35.9% hard-hit, 36.0% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 75 degrees, clear skies, and winds 3 mph to left field

  • Alonso has slugged 10 home runs, ranking second on the Orioles behind Gunnar Henderson (11).
  • The Orioles’ stud first baseman has blasted 8 of his 10 homers against right-handed pitching.
  • Alonso has recorded a 16.4% home run-to-fly-ball rate and has belted 2 home runs in his last five contests.
  • The Orioles’ slugger has also recorded a 40.1% fly ball rate, while Jax has tallied a 36.0% fly ball rate (his highest since 2022).
  • Alonso boasts a 95.1 mph average exit velocity (99th percentile), a 54.7 hard-hit rate (97th), and a .508 xSLG (88th).
  • Jax has surrendered 4 home runs while also yielding a 1.29 HR/9 and a 14.8% HR/FB rate.
Add Pete Alonso to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}


Diamondbacks 2B Ketel Marte

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants – 9:45 p.m. ET

Giants Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle (10 GS, 1-6, 3.81 xFIP, 36.7% hard-hit, 39.7% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 58 degrees, clear skies, and winds 21 mph to center field

  • Marte has slugged 8 home runs throughout the 2026 season.
  • The Diamondbacks’ second baseman has belted 7 of his 8 home runs against right-handed pitchers.
  • Marte has registered a 15.1% home run-to-fly-ball rate with 2 home runs in his last six games.
  • The Diamondbacks’ star has tallied a 31.9% fly ball rate, while Mahle has surrendered a 39.7% clip.
  • Marte has also recorded a .308 xBA (98th percentile), a 46.3% hard-hit rate (77th), and an 11.6% barrel rate (73rd).
  • Mahle has yielded 10 home runs while also coughing up a 1.74 HR/9 and a 16.7% HR/FB rate.
Add Ketel Marte to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

Shohei Ohtani, Pete Alonso, and Ketel Marte all face advantageous pitching matchups on Tuesday evening. Who will go yard on Tuesday?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 MLB season.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.