Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Tuesday, June 16

After a bit of a quiet Monday night slate, each and every MLB team is set to play on Tuesday night. There could be plenty of fireworks throughout the evening slate, but which players could bring the boom with their bats via a tape-measure home run? 

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to add to your MLB picks today. Many hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Tuesday, June 16, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions. 

Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, June 16 on PrizePicks now.  

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Tuesday, June 16

Over 5,000 home runs have typically been hit during recent MLB seasons. That naturally leaves the door open for the possibility of several each day, but swatting a ball out of the park remains a challenging feat nonetheless.

Several factors play a role in whether a well-struck ball ends up a home run. First and foremost, which part of the bat was contact made at, and at what angle and speed? What are the dimensions of the outfield fences? Are there weather elements to consider?

That’s just the tip of the iceberg, making each at-bat even more intriguing to predict. 

Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

1. Mets LF Juan Soto
2. Nationals OF James Wood
3. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
4. Braves 1B Matt Olson
5. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
6. Twins CF Byron Buxton
7. Astros 1B Christian Walker
8. Cardinals RF Jordan Walker
9. Angels CF Mike Trout
10. Rockies C Hunter Goodman

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including a weather report from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber

Marlins vs. Phillies – 6:40 p.m. ET

Marlins Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips

MLB Weather Report: 77 degrees, clear skies, 6 mph southwest wind

• Despite striking out 34.1% of the time, his highest full-season mark ever, Schwarber makes up for it with a tremendous .316 ISO. His SLG is also .563 for the second year in a row.
• A healthy 49.7% fly ball rate, paired with a career-high 56.7% pull percentage, allows the All-Star to tap into his pull-side power with regularity.
• The veteran slugger’s 21.0% barrel rate barely edges out 2025 (20.8%) and 2022 (20.1%) as the best of his illustrious career. 
• Schwarber ranks in the 99th percentile with the aforementioned barrel rate, and his 77.0 mph bat speed resides in the 97th percentile.
• Phillips may be allowing just 0.37 HR/9, but he’s allowing opponents to hit .294 against his sinker with a .435 xSLG. Schwarber is hitting .368 and slugging .737 when seeing the offering. 

Add Kyle Schwarber to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Yankees 1B Ben Rice

White Sox vs. Yankees – 7:05 p.m. ET

White Sox Starting Pitcher: Davis Martin

MLB Weather Report: 76 degrees, clear skies, 8 mph south wind

• Rice has built on his excellent 2025 campaign by raising his ISO 74 points and his SLG by a whopping 112 points.
• The star first baseman owns a terrific home-run-to-fly-ball ratio of 29.2% this year. It was 17.1% in 2025 and 14.6% in 2024. 
• Advanced metrics are also in Rice’s favor, as his launch angle sweet-spot rate of 40.9% and his 15.3% barrel rate are both 93rd-percentile marks.
• Even with all of his success this year, Martin’s 46.5% hard-hit rate allowed is the worst of his four-year career, sitting in the ninth percentile. 
• Martin occupies the 21st percentile in average exit velocity (90.2 mph).

Add Ben Rice to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Cardinals RF Jordan Walker

Padres vs. Cardinals – 7:45 p.m. ET

Padres Starting Pitcher: Michael King

MLB Weather Report: 81 degrees, clear skies, 9 mph west wind

• The longer Walker continues to perform, the less this looks like a fluke. The fourth-year man is up to a .256 ISO and .553 SLG through 69 games, also boasting a career-high 18 home runs.
• Walker owns new personal bests for launch angle (13.3 degrees), barrel rate (14.1%), and hard-hit rate (53.0%). 
• The Cardinals’ star right fielder is in the 100th percentile in bat speed (79.1 mph) and the 99th percentile in average exit velo (94.7 mph).
• King is surrendering 1.12 HR/9, the second straight year he’s checked in above 1.0. The same can be said about him giving up a double-digit barrel rate (10.1% in 2026, 11.4% in 2025).
• The 31-year-old owns an ugly peripheral profile, evidenced by his barrel rate being in the 21st percentile and him inducing a 23rd-percentile chase rate (27.4%). 

Add Jordan Walker to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Anything is possible when it comes to home runs, but the trio of Schwarber, Rice, and Walker might just be set up for success on Tuesday based on their matchups and recent performance.

Don’t wait until first pitch — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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