Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Tuesday, August 4

August 4, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Nick Wass
Baltimore Orioles 1B Pete Alonso runs during an MLB game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

All 30 teams are in action on the first Tuesday of August. As the weather heats up and the summer hits its peak, we have seven players with 30+ homers, with Houston’s Yordan Alvarez not only leading the home run race but also with a legitimate chance at the Triple Crown. 

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to make your MLB picks today. Some hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run picks from users for Tuesday, August 4, including who makes the best potential target for home run predictions today.

Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, August 4 on PrizePicks now.  

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Tuesday, August 4

There are plenty of factors to consider when projecting home runs, including the opposing pitcher, ballpark, weather, bat speed, barrel quality, and swing path.

Which players could be in good positions to hit a home run on Tuesday, August 4? Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

  1. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
  2. Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
  3. White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami
  4. Rockies C Hunter Goodman
  5. Tigers C Dillon Dingler
  6. Braves C Drake Baldwin
  7. Twins 1B Kody Clemens
  8. Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including MLB weather reports from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.


Orioles 1B Pete Alonso

Angels vs. Orioles – 6:35 p.m. ET

Angels Starting Pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez

MLB Weather Report: 83 degrees, 1% chance of rain, 4 mph winds

  • Pete Alonso’s 23 home runs lead the Orioles and are tied for 19th most in the majors.  
  • Per Statcast, the Orioles slugger ranks in the 98th percentile among MLB hitters in both exit velo (94.0 mph) and hard-hit percentage (55.1%).  
  • The former New York Met's 38 barrels are the most on the team and 19th in the majors.
  • Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez has a 1.84 HR/9 ratio, which is the 20th-worst ratio in the league for starters with at least 30 innings pitched. His 7.92 xERA is the worst among that group.
Add Pete Alonso to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Rockies C Hunter Goodman

Rays vs. Rockies – 8:40 p.m. ET

Rays Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta

MLB Weather Report: 79 degrees, 12% chance of rain, 8 mph winds

  • Hunter Goodman’s 33 home runs are tied for second-most in the majors with Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, trailing only Alvarez. 
  • In his last start, on Saturday vs. the Royals, Goodman had 2 homers and 5 RBI as part of a 4-for-5 night. 
  • The Rockies catcher is sixth in the league in both slugging percentage (.553) and barrel (16.7%) while sitting 17th in OPS (.878).
  • Goodman has faced Peralta in 8 previous plate appearances. He went deep once and walked 3 times.  
Add Hunter Goodman to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Tigers C Dillon Dingler

Tigers vs. Mariners – 9:40 p.m. ET

Mariners Starting Pitcher: Emerson Hancock

MLB Weather Report: Dome

  • Dillon Dingler’s 23 home runs lead the Tigers and are tied for 19th in the sport.
  • The Tigers slugger ranks in the 94th percentile among MLB hitters in sweet-spot percentage (40.2) and the 91st percentile in xSLG (.504) 
  • Dingler has been heating up since the All-Star break, hitting .313 with a .547 SLG, 4 homers, and 12 RBI.
  • Hancock ranks in just the 15th percentile in hard-hit rate (43.9%) and doesn't miss many bats, evidenced by a 19th-percentile chase rate (27.5%).
Add Dillon Dingler to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

A full slate of 15 MLB games is on tap tonight in the hot August air. Can catchers Dillon Dingler and Hunter Goodman continue to climb the home run leaderboard, or will Pete Alonso be able to lift his team after the departure of slugger Adley Rutschman?

Don’t wait until first pitch on Tuesday — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.