Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Sunday, August 2

MLB action features a 15-game slate with several intriguing matchups on Sunday, August 2. The schedule gets started with the Baltimore Orioles hosting the Philadelphia Phillies at 1:35 p.m. ET, while the final game features the Boston Red Sox taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers at 7:20 p.m. ET on Sunday Night Baseball.

PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for all your MLB picks, and many hitters have already been targeted by users as some of the most popular home run picks throughout Sunday’s action.

Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Sunday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick.

Make your MLB home run picks for Sunday, August 2, on PrizePicks now.

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Sunday, August 2

Slugging a home run is one of the more difficult feats that a player can achieve on the diamond. As a result, it can be incredibly difficult to predict which player could launch the ball over the fence on a given day.

Several factors can contribute to a home run being hit on a specific day. How hard has a player been hitting the ball lately? Has the opposing starter been serving up several fly balls? Could weather conditions be a factor? 

Home run projections are labeled as Demons on PrizePicks, which comes with a higher payout. You can only choose “More” on home run projections, which are set at 0.5.

Here’s a look at the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.

1. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
2. Phillies DH Schwarber
3. Rays 3B Junior Caminero
4. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
5. Rockies C Hunter Goodman
6. White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami
7. Cardinals OF Jordan Walker
8. Nationals OF James Wood
9. Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani
10. Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong

Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.

Astros DH Yordan Alvarez 

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros – 2:10 p.m. ET

Rangers Starting Pitcher: Kumar Rocker (23 GS, 4-8, 4.16 xFIP, 42.1% hard-hit, 37.5% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: This game is played in a dome at Daikin Park.

• Holding a 2-home run advantage over Philadelphia Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber for the league lead, Alvarez has blasted an MLB-best 35 home runs in 2026.
• The Astros’ star has slugged 26 of his 35 home runs against right-handed pitching this season.
• Alvarez has tallied a 23.0% home run-to-fly ball rate (HR/FB) during the 2026 season, including 1 home run in his last four games.
• Rangers SP Kumar Rocker has yielded a career-worst 37.5% fly ball rate, while the Houston slugger has compiled a career-high 48.3% fly ball rate this season.
• Alvarez has racked up a .713 xSLG (100th percentile), an 18.5% barrel rate (99th), and a 53.7% hard-hit rate (96th).
• Rocker has surrendered 5 home runs across his last four starts. The Rangers’ SP has given up a 1.14 HR/9 to go along with an 11.5% HR/FB rate in 2026. 

Add Yordan Alvarez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Yankees 1B Ben Rice

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs – 2:20 p.m. ET

Cubs Starting Pitcher: Colin Rea (18 GS, 8-7, 4.72 xFIP, 40.4% hard-hit, 38.4% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 72 degrees, clear skies, and 17 mph winds out to N

• Rice has slugged a team-high 31 home runs this season, which is tied for third in the majors.
• The Yankees’ first baseman has cranked 22 of his 31 home runs against right-handed pitchers in 2026.
• Rice has compiled a career-high 27.7% HR/FB throughout the 2026 campaign.
• Thanks to a 39.3% fly ball rate this season, Rice will look for lift with Rea surrendering a 38.4% fly ball rate.
• Rice has recorded a .526 xSLG (97th percentile), a 15.8% barrel rate (95th), and a 48.4% hard-hit rate (85th).
• After allowing 5 long balls in his last five appearances, the Cubs’ SP now has 1.37 HR/9 and a 12.6% HR/FB this season.

Add Ben Rice to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Cardinals OF Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays – 1:37 p.m. ET

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer (7 GS, 1-4, 6.18 xFIP, 36.9% hard-hit, 52.4% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: This game is played in a dome at Rogers Center.

• Walker has already belted a career-high 22 home runs during the 2026 season, aided by a career-high 19.1% HR/FB.
• The Cardinals’ outfielder has blasted 16 of his 22 home runs against right-handed hurlers.
• The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby winner has tallied a 37.8% fly ball rate this season, while Scherzer has yielded a 52.4% fly ball rate (second-highest of his career).
• Walker has produced an impressive season that includes a 93.2 mph average exit velocity (96th percentile), a 13.5% barrel rate (87th), and a 48.7% hard-hit rate (86th).
• In his limited sample size in 2026, Scherzer has surrendered 9 home runs in 24.2 innings of work. He has also recorded 3.28 HR/9 and a career-high 20.5% HR/FB this season.

Add Jordan Walker to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Astros DH Yordan Alvarez has been arguably the most dangerous hitter in the majors throughout the 2026 season. He’ll look to continue that reign of terror on Sunday, while Yankees 1B Ben Rice and Cardinals OF Jordan Walker will also look to go yard.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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