Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Monday, August 3

Tensions are high in the baseball world, as Monday brings the arrival of the 2026 MLB trade deadline at 6 p.m. ET. After the clock hits zero on the deadline, however, there’s an eight-game slate for fans to follow to close out the night. Which stars could shine to begin a new week? 

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to add to your MLB picks today. Many hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Monday, August 3, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions. 

Make your MLB home run picks for Monday, August 3 on PrizePicks now.  

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Monday, August 3

Rising temperatures and better conditions naturally lead to some impressive home runs being swatted during the summer. With playoff races heating up in the month of August as well, could players up their respective performances as a result?

The MLB home run leaderboard is chock-full of quality names, as the cream is rising to the top. Three dozen players have already reached the 20-homer mark on the year, which means they’re maximizing their swing path and pairing it with the optimal bat speed and launch angle to send the ball out of the park. 

Entering Monday’s play, some players are in better positions to take advantage of matchups and hot streaks than others. 

Which players could be in good positions to swat a homer on Monday? Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

1. Nationals OF James Wood
2. Phillies 1B Bryce Harper
3. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
4. Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
5. Blue Jays 3B Kazuma Okamoto
6. Padres 3B Manny Machado
7. Giants 1B Rafael Devers
8. Pirates 2B Brandon Lowe

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including a weather report from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

Astros DH Yordan Alvarez

Blue Jays vs. Astros – 8:10 p.m. ET

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher: Shane Bieber

MLB Weather Report: Played in a dome

• Alvarez is hitting the absolute cover off the baseball this season, owning a .320 ISO and .650 SLG in 111 games.
• MLB’s home run leader boasts a career-high 19.5-degree average launch angle, paired with a 118.5 mph max exit velocity that’s also a personal best.
• This is the first time in his career that Alvarez has produced a ground ball clip below 30% (29.1% in 2026).
• The superstar slugger is in the 99th or 100th percentile in barrel rate (18.4%), average exit velocity (94.5 mph), xSLG (.713), and more.
• In limited work this year, Bieber has an ugly 10.9% induced barrel rate and is giving up a 45.5% hard-hit share. 

Add Yordan Alvarez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Blue Jays 3B Kazuma Okamoto

Blue Jays vs. Astros – 8:10 p.m. ET

Astros Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier

MLB Weather Report: Played in a dome

• Toronto’s rookie infielder is already up to 24 home runs in his debut campaign, paired with a .219 ISO and .447 SLG. 
• Okamoto routinely maximizes his hacks, holding a 36.2% fast-swing rate and a 31.8% squared-up contact rate.
• The 30-year-old former NPB standout resides in the 87th percentile in barrel rate (13.3%) and the 72nd percentile in hard-hit clip (45.1%).
• After ceding 0.73 HR/9 in 2025, Javier’s mark is up to 1.27 this season. That comes with a career-worst 90.0 mph average exit velocity.
• Not only is Javier failing to avoid walks (14.9%) or achieve strikeouts (20.8%), but his 11.1% barrel rate allowed is troublesome. 

Add Kazuma Okamoto to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Pirates 2B Brandon Lowe

Pirates vs. Brewers – 7:40 p.m. ET

Brewers Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat

MLB Weather Report: Played in a dome

• This is shaping up to be Lowe’s best power effort in years. His ISO (.233) and SLG (.488) are his best since 2021, and he’s never posted a higher pull split (50.2%). 
• The aging curve apparently means nothing to the veteran second baseman. After putting up a 36.0% fast-swing rate in 2024, he’s improved that to 40.4% in 2025 and 40.5% in 2026. 
• Lowe’s barrel percentage (12.3%), average exit velo (90.9 mph), and xSLG (.452) all sit between the 76th and 79th percentiles. 
• Lowe is significantly better against righties than lefties, boasting a .552 SLG and 141 wRC+ in the former split compared to .341 and 62 in the latter. 
• Sproat is giving up 1.65 HR/9 and isn’t missing bats, evidenced by a 25.6% chase rate (sixth percentile). His 43.2% hard-hit rate given up is just a 17th-percentile figure. 

Add Brandon Lowe to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

There may be high drama in MLB on Monday, and not solely because of the trade deadline. Whether it’s the Alvarez-Okamoto-Lowe trio or another group of players, a bevy of home runs could be on the table to kick off the week of play. 

Don’t wait until first pitch — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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