Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Monday, August 10

August 10, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Nick Wass
Cardinals OF Jordan Walker watches his hit during a game vs. the Nationals.

The second week of August begins with 10 evening games across the MLB landscape on Monday, August 10. As the weather heats up and the summer hits its peak, we have seven players with 30+ homers. Houston’s Yordan Alvarez and Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber lead the way, tied with 35 apiece. 

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to make your MLB picks today. Some hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run picks from users for Monday, August 10, including who makes the best potential target for home run predictions today.

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Monday, August 10

There are plenty of factors to consider when projecting home runs, including the opposing pitcher, ballpark, weather, bat speed, barrel quality, and swing path.

Which players could be in good positions to hit a home run on Monday, August 10? Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

  1. Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong
  2. Yankees 1B Luis Garcia Jr. 
  3. White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami
  4. Rockies C Hunter Goodman
  5. Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras
  6. Mets LF Juan Soto
  7. Royals OF Jac Caglianone
  8. Pirates 2B Brandon Lowe
  9. Yankees 1B Ben Rice

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including MLB weather reports from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.


Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras

Red Sox at Blue Jays – 7:07 p.m. ET

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon (2-6, 6.05 xERA, 4.75 xFIP)

MLB Weather Report: Weather is not a factor in the domed Rogers Centre.


  • Willson Contreras’s 23 home runs lead the Red Sox and are tied for 23rd-most in the majors. 
  • Contreras is fourth in baseball with a .929 OPS and seventh in BABIP at .349. 
  • Per Statcast, the Red Sox slugger ranks in the 97th percentile among MLB hitters in bat speed (77.1) and 92nd in barrel percentage (14.5).  
  • Among starting pitchers, Blue Jays starter Jameson Taillon’s 6.05 xERA is sixth-worst, while his 4.75 xFIP is in the bottom 20 of the league. 
Add Willson Contreras to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Cardinals OF Jordan Walker

Phillies vs. Cardinals – 7:45 p.m. ET

Phillies Starting Pitcher: Andrew Painter (1-8, 5.13 xERA, 4.67 xFIP)

MLB Weather Report: 95 degrees, 2% chance of rain, 5 mph winds out to LF

  • Jordan Walker’s 23 home runs lead the Cardinals and are tied for 23rd-most in the majors.  
  • Walker went deep on Saturday vs. Colorado, his first homer since winning the HR Derby in Philadelphia last month. 
  • According to Statcast, the Cardinals slugger has the top bat speed in the majors at 79.2 mph. He also ranks in the 94th percentile for average exit velocity at 92.7 mph. 
  • Phillies SP Andrew Painter has allowed 8 home runs over his past 6 starts.
Add Jordan Walker to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Rockies C Hunter Goodman

Rockies at Diamondbacks – 9:40 p.m. ET

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher: Michael Soroka (8-3, 4.00 xERA, 3.60 xFIP)

MLB Weather Report: Weather is not a factor in the domed Chase Field.

  • Hunter Goodman’s 34 home runs are tied for third-most in the majors, behind Houston’s Yordan Alvarez and Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber. 
  • Goodman homered on Sunday vs. Cardinals RP George Soriano to momentarily tie the game. 
  • The Rockies catcher is 16th in the league in slugging percentage (.539), 21st in barrel (16.7%), and 36th in OPS (.858).
  • Diamondbacks starter Michael Soroka is making his first start since mid-June after an IL stint with a strained left glute. He gave up homers in two of his previous three starts before the injury. 
Add Hunter Goodman to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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A full slate of 10 MLB games is on tap tonight in the hot August air. Will Willson Contreras and Jordan Walker add to their home run totals after participating in last month's Home Run Derby? Can Hunter Goodman pull even atop the MLB home run leaderboard? 

Don’t wait until first pitch on Monday — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.