Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Spread: Eye Rudy Gobert

Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert shoots a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Abbie Parr

Tonight at FedExForum in Memphis, the Minnesota Timberwolves (31-19) face the Memphis Grizzlies (18-29). The game tips at 7:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.

The Grizzlies are struggling without injured G Ja Morant and head into this matchup on a season-high six-game losing streak. After previously losing five straight, the Timberwolves are currently on a four-game winning streak.

Let’s look at the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies prediction and spread. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Spread

Minnesota and Memphis each have one win in the season series: The Grizz won 116-100 on December 17, 2025, while the Timberwolves secured a 131-114 victory on January 31, 2026.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Over/Under, Spread

The Timberwolves enter this matchup as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.29x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Grizzlies are home underdogs with a 3.33x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5
  • Over/Under: 230.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Timberwolves 1.29x | Grizzlies 3.33x

(Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change)


Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies injury report for Monday, via NBA.com.

Timberwolves Injury Report 

  • G Terrence Shannon (foot) - OUT
  • F Julius Randle (thumb) - Questionable
  • G Anthony Edwards (ankle) - Questionable

Grizzlies Injury Report 

  • G Ja Morant (elbow) - OUT
  • G Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe) - OUT
  • G John Konchar (neck) - OUT
  • F Santi Aldama (knee) - OUT
  • F Jaren Jackson Jr. (quadriceps) - Questionable

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Numbers to Know

Here are some facts and figures to get you set for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies tonight, including insights on our Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies prediction.

  • The Grizzlies are 3-9 against the spread as home underdogs.
  • Since January 26, the Timberwolves average 120.0 points per game, the third-most over that span.
  • Memphis struggles to cover after losses, posting a 12-16 record against the spread.
  • The Grizz put up 108.6 points per game in the five games after Morant’s injury on January 21, 24th in the league.
  • Minnesota ranks second in the NBA with a 1.169 offensive efficiency rating on the road.
  • The T-Wolves hold a 12-5 record when they are favorites on the road.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies NBA Player Picks

Here are two Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies picks to target on Monday: Grizzlies G Cam Spencer and Wolves C Rudy Gobert.

Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert vs. Grizzlies Projection: 13.5 Rebounds

  • Gobert has double-digit rebounds in 12 of his last 15 games.
  • The two-time Defensive Player of the Year has 16 rebounds in back-to-back games against the Grizzlies.
  • Memphis is allowing 16.2 rebounds per game to centers since January 18, 25th in the league.
  • According to databallr, the 12-year veteran’s 13 rebounds per 75 possessions are in the 82nd percentile.

Grizzlies G Cam Spencer vs. Timberwolves Projection: 5 Assists

  • Spencer is leading all active players on the Grizzlies with 7.6 assists per game in January.
  • The rookie out of UConn led the team in assists in 8 of the last 14 games.
  • The Timberwolves rank 20th in assists allowed per game on the road (27.4).
  • According to NBA Advanced Stats, since January 1, the 2025 53rd overall pick ranks eighth in the league with a 38.2 assist percentage.

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Make Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies picks aren’t the only way hoops fans can get in on today’s NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states. 

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about the author

John is a graduate from Quinnipiac University with a Master’s Degree in Sports Journalism. With almost 15 years working in radio, TV and blogs, it includes stops at ESPN, NBC Sports, and Audacy. Along with being an avid sports fan, he is into fitness and cooking.

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