Tigers vs. Mets is set for first pitch at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 14, with the Mets returning a 1.56x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
The Mets will start their young ace SP Nolan McLean (1-2, 2.78 ERA). For a Tigers team that's been hammered by injuries to their starting rotation, SP Keider Montero (2-2, 3.18 ERA) takes the mound.
Below, we’ll break down our Tigers vs. Mets prediction and picks for Thursday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Tigers vs. Mets picks on PrizePicks now.
{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Tigers vs. Mets Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, May 14
Despite winning their last two games, the Mets remain in last place in the National League East with a 17-25 record. Their lineup has been the main culprit, posting a .630 OPS that's the worst mark in baseball.
As underwhelming as the Mets’ lineup has been, the Tigers haven’t been much better. On the road, they only have a .692 OPS. Overall, they've hit the eighth-fewest home runs (38) in baseball.
Detroit could continue to have problems scoring runs with 2B Gleyber Torres (oblique) and OF Kerry Carpenter (shoulder) on the IL.
Tigers vs. Mets Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, May 14
The Mets enter Thursday’s game as a home favorite against the Tigers, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Tigers vs. Mets game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Mets -1.5 (2.17x payout)
- Over/Under: 7.5 runs (1.96x payout Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Mets 1.56x | Tigers 2.32x
Make your Tigers vs. Mets prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Tigers vs. Mets Prediction on Winner – 5/14/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Tigers vs. Mets prediction on the winner for Thursday, May 14.
Lock in your Tigers vs. Mets prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Tigers are 3-7 over their last 10 games. That includes them scoring a total of 4 runs while losing the first two games of this series against the Mets.
- On the road, Detroit is just 7-18 for the season.
- The Mets have allowed 2 or fewer runs in six of their last nine games.
- McLean hasn’t surrendered more than 3 runs in any of his eight starts. In four of them, he gave up just 1 earned run.
- The young righty being on the mound may not help the Tigers improve their home run total, considering he's been taken deep just three times over 45.1 innings.
Tigers vs. Mets Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/14/26
Here are top Tigers vs. Mets picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, May 14. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include Mets SP Nolan McLean and Tigers OF Matt Vierling.
Mets SP Nolan McLean vs. Tigers Projection: 6.5 Strikeouts
- McLean has followed up his 30.3% strikeout rate from last season with a 32.6% strikeout rate this year.
- The 24-year-old has posted at least 7 strikeouts in all four of his starts at home. In three of them, he finished with 8+.
- McLean has given the Mets a lot of length, logging at least 6 innings in four of his last six starts. He's also thrown 90+ pitches in six outings.
- The Tigers struck out 21 times over the first two games of this series. In the first game, Mets SP Freddy Peralta accumulated 7 strikeouts across 6 innings. Mets SP Christian Scott then had 5 strikeouts despite only logging 4.2 innings on Wednesday.
Add Nolan McLean to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Tigers OF Matt Vierling vs. Mets Projection: 5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Vierling is 0-for-8 with 2 walks and 2 strikeouts in the first two games against the Mets.
- In the month of May, the struggling outfielder is 6-for-38 (.158) with only 1 home run.
- Vierling has a .360 wOBA and a .229 ISO at home, but just a .233 wOBA and a .108 ISO on the road, per FanGraphs.
- McLean has limited right-handed hitters to a .270 wOBA and a .365 slugging percentage for his career.
Add Matt Vierling to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Tigers vs. Mets Picks on PrizePicks
The Mets try to sweep the Tigers on Thursday with their ace McLean looking to rack up strikeouts at home. Given how well McLean has performed versus right-handed hitters, Vierling could continue to struggle at the plate on the road.
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Tigers vs. Mets picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 MLB season.
