All but two NBA teams are in action on Wednesday night, providing fans with plenty of intriguing matchups to choose from. One of the late-window clashes sees the Oklahoma City Thunder square off against the Phoenix Suns in a potential playoff preview.
With OKC missing its best player and Phoenix looking to climb out of play-in territory, Wednesday’s game (9:00 p.m. ET) still carries ample hype.
Below, we’ll break down our Thunder vs. Suns prediction and picks for Wednesday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Another year with head coach Mark Daigneault at the helm sees the Thunder emerge as the class of the NBA once again. With that said, they’re just 5-5 in their last 10 games and are a mere 3.5 games ahead of the San Antonio Spurs for the top Western Conference seed.
With first-year head coach Jordan Ott leading the way, the Suns are pacing for massive year-over-year improvement. After winning just 36 games a season ago, they’re already at 32 victories in 2025-26. On the other hand, they’re also .500 in their last 10 outings.
Wednesday marks the 263rd all-time regular-season bout between these two sides. Phoenix leads the series 137-125, including a win back on January 4.
Thunder vs. Suns Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder enter Wednesday’s game as 6.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.35x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Suns are home underdogs with a 2.94x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5
- Over/Under: 217.5
- Game Winner Payout: Thunder 1.35x | Suns 2.94x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Thunder vs. Suns Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Thunder vs. Suns injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal): OUT
- SG Ajay Mitchell (abdominal): OUT
Phoenix Suns Injury Report
- N/A — not submitted
Per ESPN, SG Grayson Allen (knee) is being reevaluated after the All-Star break, as is F Isaiah Livers (shoulder).
Thunder vs. Suns Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Thunder vs. Suns prediction on Wednesday, February 11.
- Wednesday’s matchup features a Thunder team that’s just 26-28 against the spread. The Suns, meanwhile, lead the NBA at 35-19.
- Although OKC is the second-best scoring offense, they’re averaging 4.1 fewer points without Gilgeous-Alexander.
- Defensively, the Thunder are stout but allow the 26th-ranked 3-point percentage (37.1). The Suns post the No. 10 clip from deep (36.4%).
- Phoenix gets its wins on the margins, snagging the fifth-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) and averaging the second-most steals (10.2).
- On defense, the Suns rank fourth at limiting assists (24.7 per game) and trey balls (34.6%).
Thunder vs. Suns Picks for PrizePicks Today: Wednesday, February 11
Here are three top Thunder vs. Suns picks to target for Wednesday, February 11 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F-G Jalen Williams, SG Devin Booker, and F Dillon Brooks.
Thunder F-G Jalen Williams vs. Suns Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- On the year, Williams produces a combined average of 27.2 points, rebounds, and assists each night.
- In his first game back from injury on February 9, Williams scored 23 points, largely thanks to 11 made free throws.
- In 25 games played, J-Dub is posting a career-high 27.5% assist clip.
- Per databallr, in 294 minutes without Gilgeous-Alexander in the lineup this season, Williams’ usage rate spikes 7.3%.
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Suns SG Devin Booker vs. Thunder Projection: 32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- In year No. 11, Booker brings home 35.5 PRA each night. In his two games since returning from injury, however, that figure is down to 30.5.
- Booker’s 58.0 true shooting percentage is the fifth-lowest of his NBA tenure, primarily due to a personal worst 31.1% 3-point clip.
- The face of the Suns franchise owns a 13.3% turnover rate, his highest since 2019-20 (14.9).
- D-Book’s 2.1% self-rebounding rate and 9.6% defensive rebound rate sit in the 37th and 43rd percentiles, respectively.
Suns F Dillon Brooks vs. Thunder Projection: 19.5 Points
- Brooks continues to enjoy a career year, pouring in 21.2 points on a nightly basis. In his last nine contests, that average is 25.2.
- Midrange mastery is a key that helped unlock Brooks’ scoring output. He’s canning 49.7% of his shots from 3-10 feet and 46.7% of his looks from 10-16 feet.
- The former Memphis Grizzlies star spends 16.4% of his time on the ball, a 70th-percentile figure.
- According to NBARAPM, Brooks’ 29.9 true shot attempts per 100 place him in the 98th percentile.
Make Thunder vs. Suns Picks on PrizePicks
Thunder vs. Suns picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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