Tennessee and Florida, SEC rivals, meet for the 36th consecutive year on Saturday evening in Gainesville.
The Volunteers, a College Football Playoff team one year ago, have three losses and most likely won’t make it back, while Florida’s loss last week to Ole Miss eliminated them from going to a bowl game. This game is set to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Rumors continue to swirl about Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin and the open head coaching job at Florida. In the meantime, Florida interim coach Billy Gonzales, who took over for Billy Napier before a Nov. 1 loss to Georgia, looks for his first win after starting 0-3. Saturday will feature Tennessee QB Joey Aguilar and Florida’s DJ Lagway behind center.
Below, we'll give you our Tennessee vs. Florida prediction and Saturday CFB picks for PrizePicks, including player picks for PrizePicks' real-money college football game.
Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction, Preview for Week 13
Tennessee and Florida meet for the 55th time, with the latter having a 32-22 series advantage. In Gainesville, the Gators have won 10 consecutive games vs. Tennessee and 17 of the last 19, with the Volunteers last winning there in 2003. The Volunteers won last year in Knoxville, 23-17.
Starting in 2026, the new SEC schedule format does not include the annual Florida-Tennessee game, meaning the two teams won't clash for the first time since 1989.
Tennessee Volunteers Preview vs. Florida
- A year after making the CFP 12-team field, No. 20 Tennessee is on the outside looking in. All three of its losses were to ranked SEC teams.
- Tennessee has one of the best offenses in the nation, sitting second in scoring (43.4 PPG), second in average total yards (495.0), and third in passing offense (318.3 yards per game).
- On defense, Tennessee is 41st against the run and 117th against the pass. They're 87th in total yards and 96th in scoring defense, allowing 28.9 PPG.
- The Volunteers are 130th out of 136 teams in time of possession, averaging just 26:48 a game.
Florida Gators Preview vs. Tennessee
- Tennessee will be the seventh ranked opponent Florida has faced this season. The first six ranked opponents were all in the top 10, with Florida went 1-5 against them.
- Gonzales followed a loss in his debut versus Georgia (24-20) with defeats to Kentucky (38-7) and Ole Miss (34-24). He took over the Gators four weeks ago after Napier's 3-4 start.
- Florida’s offense enters the week 113th in scoring at 20.8 PPG. They rank 108th in total offensive yards, 105th in rushing offense, and 81st in passing offense.
- On the other side, Florida’s defense has kept them in games. Florida is 62nd in scoring defense, allowing 23.6 PPG. They are 64th in yards allowed, 58th in rush defense, and 75th against the pass.
Tennessee vs. Florida Picks for PrizePicks
Here are three player picks to target in PrizePicks' real-money college football game, including Tennessee QB Joey Aguilar and Florida QB DJ Lagway.
Tennessee QB Joey Aguilar Projection vs. Florida: 272.5 Pass Yards
- Tennessee QB Joey Aguilar has thrown for 200+ yards in all 10 games, 250+ in seven of 10 games and 300+ in four games.
- The star QB has a passer rating of 159.9, which is 12th in the nation and best in the SEC.
- Aguilar has 10 INTs on the season, tied for fourth-most in the country.
- His 22 passing TDs rank ninth.
Florida QB DJ Lagway Projection vs. Tennessee: 228.5 Pass Yards
- Florida QB DJ Lagway rebounded from his benching vs. Kentucky to reach 200+ yards last week at Ole Miss — his sixth time in 10 games. He threw for all of 83 yards in the Kentucky game.
- After throwing 5 TD passes in the first three games of the season, Lagway has thrown 7 TDs in seven games since.
- Lagway’s 124.0 passer rating is 92nd among 114 qualified FBS QBs and last among 16 qualified SEC QBs.
- His 13 INTs are second-most in the nation, one behind FAU QB Caden Veltkamp.
Florida RB Jadan Baugh Projection vs. Tennessee: 80.5 Rush Yards
- Florida RB Jadan Baugh has 45+ rushing yards in all 10 games this season and 60+ rushing in 14 of his last 17 games dating back to 2024.
- Baugh rushed for a career-high 107 yards in Florida’s 29-21 upset win over ninth-ranked Texas. He now has four 100+ yard games in his career.
- The Florida RB had 25 yards on 12 carries last year against Tennessee. His 2.1 yards per rush was his lowest of any game.
- Baugh’s 808 rushing yards rank fifth in the SEC, while his 164 attempts are third.
Make #20 Tennessee vs. Florida Picks on PrizePicks
Tennessee and Florida, two SEC rivals with opposite records, meet up in Florida on Saturday evening. The Volunteers try to end a 10-game losing streak in Gainesville, while the Gators look to finish off the SEC season with a win over a bitter foe.
No matter what your take on this Saturday evening’s matchup is, you can win real money with your Tennessee vs. Florida predictions on PrizePicks while you watch.
Simply pick your players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and win cash if you're right. It's that easy.
