The NBA Finals has new juice with the Knicks leading the series 2-1. The Spurs struck back in New York with a 115-111 win in Game 3 on Monday. NBA Finals Game 4 between the Spurs and Knicks tips off on Wednesday, June 10, at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Tonight’s contest brings similar projections to Game 3, as PrizePicks Team Picks tabs New York as a 2.5-point favorite on the spread for Game 4.
Spurs C Victor Wembanyama and G Stephon Castle helped fuel a San Antonio win in Game 3, but will they carry that performance into Wednesday night? The Knicks would take a demanding 3-1 series lead with a dub in Madison Square Garden tonight, while a Spurs win ties the series at 2-2.
Below, we'll break down our Spurs vs. Knicks prediction and picks for the NBA Finals Game 4 matchup, featuring projections from PrizePicks.
Make your Spurs vs. Knicks picks on PrizePicks now for NBA Finals Game 4.
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NBA Finals: Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 4
Following Game 1’s 36.0% field goal percentage (FG%) and 95-point performance, we saw the Spurs respond with a strong second half in Game 2, finishing with a 47.4 FG% and 104 points.
NBA Finals Game 2 brought heartbreak to San Antonio with C Victor Wembanyama missing a potential game-winning shot. However, the offense may have cracked the code. We saw that carry to NBA Finals Game 3, as the Spurs scored a series-high 115 points and a solid 46.4 FG%.
Most importantly, Wemby was aggressive from start to finish by tallying 32 points on 11-of-18 shooting (61.1%), paired with 8 rebounds, 6 assists, and 3 blocks. While he got away with a potential flagrant foul in Game 3, there’s no denying he’s elevated his play in this series.
Furthermore, Spurs G Stephon Castle registered a monster 23-point performance while making 8 of 14 field goal attempts (57.1%). San Antonio also won the turnover battle for the first time in the NBA Finals, logging 8 turnovers in Game 3 compared to 14.5 per game in the first two matchups.
The Knicks are still in the favored role tonight, backed by a rowdy crowd in Madison Square Garden. Let’s break down the highly anticipated NBA Finals Game 4.
Spurs vs. Knicks Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Wednesday, June 10
The Knicks enter Wednesday’s NBA Finals Game 4 as 2.5-point favorites at home against the Spurs, returning a 1.75x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Spurs vs. Knicks game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Knicks -2.5 (1.88x payout)
- Over/Under: 216.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Spurs 2x | Knicks 1.75x
Make your Spurs vs. Knicks prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks Timeline, Matchup History
Here is the full Spurs vs. Knicks timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
The only past head-to-head playoff matchup came in the 1999 NBA Finals, when San Antonio defeated New York 4-1.
All-Time: Spurs, 65-50
Regular Season: Knicks, 2-1
Series: Knicks, 2-1
Spurs vs. Knicks NBA Finals Timeline, Schedule
- Game 1: Knicks 105, Spurs 95
- Game 2: Knicks 105, Spurs 104
- Game 3: Spurs 115, Knicks 111
- Game 4: Wednesday, June 10, 8:30 p.m. ET at New York
- Game 5: Saturday, June 13, 8:30 p.m. ET at San Antonio
- Games 6-7 if necessary
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Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction on Winner for NBA Finals, Game 4 – 6/10/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Spurs vs. Knicks prediction for the winner for NBA Finals Game 4 on Wednesday, June 10.
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- After hoisting 43 3-point shots in Game 1, the Spurs have narrowed their focus to attacking the rim, posting only 31.5 3-point shots per contest over the last two matchups.
- That’s helped produce 46.0 paint points per game since Game 2, compared to a series-low 42 paint points in the series opener.
- A more aggressive approach usually leads to more free throws, and that’s been the case with San Antonio’s 29.5 free throw shots per game over the last two compared to 25 in Game 1.
- After tallying 10 total turnovers in the first two games of the NBA Finals, Wembanyama finally took care of the ball with 1 turnover on Monday night. Naturally, the Spurs then won the turnover battle for the first time in the series (+5 margin).
- If San Antonio continues to take care of the ball, this helps even the field against New York’s elite 33.5% offensive rebounding rate in the playoffs (third), per NBA.com.
- In the regular season, the Knicks forced only 14.4 turnovers per game (19th). That average is in the same ballpark with 14.8 turnovers per contest in the postseason (eighth).
- New York has also shot only 42.8% from the field and 35.1% on 3-pointers in this series, compared to 49.9% (first) and 39.1% on triples (first) across the entire playoffs.
- When Wembanyama (100.3 defensive rating in playoffs) is on the court, this Spurs defense is giving the Knicks fits — further proven by New York G Jalen Brunson shooting 37.0% in the NBA Finals.
Spurs vs. Knicks Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks for Game 4 Tonight
Here are the top Spurs vs. Knicks picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, June 10, in NBA Finals Game 4. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include Julian Champagnie and OG Anunoby.
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Spurs G Julian Champagnie vs. Knicks: 2 Made 3-Pointers
- The Spurs have lowered their volume from deep in the last two games, but G Julian Champagnie remains in his 3-point specialist role with 6.0 attempted treys per game over his last two outings.
- Champagnie is logging 7.3 3-point shots per game in the NBA Finals, elevated from 6.6 in the playoffs.
- Even his exceptional 40.3% 3-point percentage is up to a red-hot 45.5% vs. the Knicks.
- The St. John’s product has recorded 3.3 made triples per game in the NBA Finals, reaching at least 3 treys in two of three contests.
- With New York ceding 36.5 3-point shots per game in the playoffs (13th), Champagnie will likely keep getting looks from beyond the arc in NBA Finals Game 4.
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Knicks F OG Anunoby vs. Spurs: 16.5 Points
- Knicks fan-favorite, F OG Anunoby, erupted for 28 points in Game 3’s losing effort.
- Across three NBA Finals matchups, OG has tallied 20.7 points per game (PPG), a 54.3 FG%, and a 44.4% mark on 3-pointers.
- Similar to New York, the Spurs will give you looks from deep by permitting 11.9 made triples per game in the postseason (11th).
- Anunoby is posting 2.7 made 3-pointers and 6.0 attempts from deep per game in this series — which surpasses his 2.4 and 5.1 averages across the playoffs.
- The two-way star, who averages 19.9 PPG in the playoffs, reached 17 points in five consecutive games and in 12 of 15 postseason appearances.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Spurs vs. Knicks on PrizePicks for Game 4
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Spurs vs. Knicks live picks in tonight’s NBA Finals Game 4.
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- The Knicks won the fourth quarter 29-19 in Game 1, fueling the series opener’s comeback 105-95 win. However, the Spurs have won the final 12 minutes in back-to-back contests by an average margin of +5.5 points.
- Furthermore, New York has posted only 20.5 points per fourth quarter since Game 2.
- NBA.com credits the Knicks with an elite 100.8 defensive rating during fourth quarters in the playoffs (first). Defense has dominated the final 12 minutes in the NBA Finals.
- Despite Jalen Brunson’s efficiency troubles in the NBA Finals, he’s still capable of clutch performances. He posted 13 points in the fourth quarter of Game 1.
- Inpredictable gives Brunson a career 51.5% effective field goal percentage during the clutch in the playoffs, compared to his 50.9% mark during normal minutes.
- Wembanyama is the opposite of Brunson, producing a 51.8 eFG% in playoff clutch minutes compared to 55.1% in normal minutes.
Make Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 Picks on PrizePicks
Will the Spurs continue to ride their newfound success on offense and tie the NBA Finals at 2-2? We have never seen the away team win the first four games of the NBA Finals. Does that mean a suffocating 3-1 lead for the Knicks is ahead?
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