Richmond vs. NC State Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks – Friday, September 11

NC State will help get Week 2 of the college football season underway on Friday, September 11, at 7 p.m. ET against Richmond on ESPNU. 

The Wolfpack enter Friday’s showdown as massive 30.5-point favorites at home. Will NC State bounce back from their lopsided Week 0 defeat to #25 Virginia, or will the Spiders make this one more competitive than expected?

Below, we'll break down our Richmond vs. NC State prediction and picks for Friday’s college football game, including the spread, over/under, and more on PrizePicks.

Make your Richmond vs. NC State picks for Friday on PrizePicks now!

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Richmond vs. NC State Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, September 11

Although Richmond is an FCS team, it's begun the season with a perfect 2-0 record. Wins over Bucknell and Howard have helped head coach Russ Huesman begin his 10th season at the helm on a positive note.

Even though senior QB Ashten Snelsire has completed only 57.1% of his attempts, he’s avoided tossing INTs while airing it out for 460 yards and 6 TDs. The Spiders’ defense has also racked up 9 sacks across two games, with edge rusher Camden Byrd already contributing 4 sacks.

Richmond last defeated an FBS program in 2016 in a 37-20 victory over Virginia.

NC State fell short against #25 Virginia in Week 0, losing 34-8. The Wolfpack totaled only 168 yards of offense and QB CJ Bailey led the team in passing (84 yards) and rushing (33 yards).

Meanwhile, Virginia racked up 413 yards of offense against NC State, with their ground game accruing 258 yards and 2 TDs. Losing the turnover battle 2-0 and earning 9 fewer first downs played a large role in the Wolfpack getting blown out in their season opener against the Cavaliers.

NC State head coach Dave Doeren also possesses a ton of experience, having coached the program since 2013. Doeren will have to right the ship quickly to avoid falling into a 0-2 hole, especially after the Wolfpack began last season with three straight wins. 

Richmond vs. NC State Spread, Over/Under – Friday, September 11

NC State enters Friday’s game as a 30.5-point home favorite against Richmond.

Here are the full payouts for the Richmond vs. NC State game on PrizePicks.

Make your Richmond vs. NC State prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks!

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Richmond vs. NC State Prediction on Over/Under – 9/11/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Richmond vs. NC State prediction on the over/under, set at 49.5 points for Friday, September 11.

• Despite NC State’s struggles in their Week 0 matchup, they were in the 72nd percentile in yards per dropback (7.3) and the 69th percentile in EPA/play (0.11) on offense in 2025, per Game on Paper.
• The Wolfpack also ranked in the 84th percentile in explosive play rate last season.
• NC State had 56% of their roster from a season ago return in 2026, including Bailey.
• Since 2021, the Wolfpack have faced an FCS team once each season, and every outing featured at least 52 total points scored.
• Furthermore, NC State has tallied 45+ points in the six matchups against an FCS program since 2021.
• Considering that Richmond last played on September 5 and NC State last played on August 29, it’s worth noting that the Wolfpack went 5-1 to the over with a rest advantage last year. 

Lock in your Richmond vs. NC State prediction on PrizePicks before Friday’s game.

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Make Richmond vs. NC State Picks on PrizePicks

NC State is heavily favored at home against Richmond on Friday, but a victory won’t be handed to them despite facing an FCS program. To avoid an upset, the Wolfpack will need to take care of the football and perhaps generate explosives both on the ground and through the air.

With the Wolfpack having an extra week to prepare and the Spiders flashing some firepower to start the year, points might not be tough to come by in Friday’s contest.

Don't wait until kickoff — make your Richmond vs. NC State pick on PrizePicks. Make picks on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, or pick More or Less on player stats for higher payouts!

Keep it here with the Playbook for continued college football picks, predictions, futures, and more as we jump into 2026.