Week 8 of the college football season features endless conference matchups, including Texas A&M vs. #13 Alabama on Saturday, October 24. Before kickoff takes place at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC, the Crimson Tide are heavy 13.5-point home favorites for the spread, per PrizePicks.
Texas A&M is looking to improve on its 1-3 record against SEC opponents this season when it faces Alabama. The Crimson Tide are desperate to get back in the win column after back-to-back losses to ranked conference foes.
Below, we'll break down our Texas A&M vs. Alabama prediction and picks for Saturday’s college football game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks on PrizePicks.
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Texas A&M vs. #13 Alabama Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, October 24
Alabama enters Saturday’s game as a 13.5-point home favorite against Texas A&M, with a 1.14x payout to win outright.
Here are the full payouts for the Texas A&M vs. Alabama game. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Make your Texas A&M vs. Alabama prediction on the over/under on PrizePicks.
Stats and data in this article are from PFF, Game on Paper, and Two Deep unless stated otherwise.
It has been a shaky season for QB Marcel Reed, who is in his fourth year at Texas A&M. Among the 70 college QBs with 200 or more dropbacks this season, Reed has the seventh-fewest yards per attempt (6.1), 10th-fewest passing TDs (7), and eighth-most INTs (6).
Partly as a result of Reed’s underwhelming play, the Aggies’ aerial attack is in just the fifth percentile in EPA/pass (-0.16). Texas A&M’s ground game is in the 60th percentile in EPA/rush (0.06), so pounding the rock and keeping the ball away from Alabama might just be the best course of action in this game.
As for the Crimson Tide, QB Keelon Russell has been as good as advertised, logging the 10th-most yards per attempt (9.0) and ninth-highest adjusted completion percentage (78.5%) in the same 70-QB sample from above. This has landed Alabama’s offense in the 67th percentile in EPA/pass (0.16).
Despite Russell’s solid metrics, he did have 2 of his 4 INTs come against #11 Tennessee in the double-digit loss in Week 7. Taking care of the football will be a primary focus for head coach Kalen DeBoer and the Crimson Tide on Saturday.
A third loss would prove to be costly for an Alabama program that has its sights set on making the College Football Playoffs. Missing out on the postseason could add some heat to DeBoer’s seat this offseason.
Over on PrizePicks, “Yes” for the Crimson Tide to make the playoffs has a 1.66x payout, while “No” holds a 2.12x payout.
Texas A&M vs. Alabama Prediction on Over/Under – 10/24/26
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Texas A&M vs. Alabama prediction on the total, which is set at 50.5 points for Saturday, October 24, on PrizePicks.
- A lack of a passing game isn’t going to do Texas A&M any good, especially against an Alabama defense that is in the 74th percentile in EPA/pass allowed (-0.04).
- The Crimson Tide’s defense is also in the 69th percentile in EPA/rush allowed (-0.03).
- Although Alabama’s offense has its positives, Texas A&M is in the 78th percentile or better in EPA/pass (-0.08) and EPA/rush allowed (-0.07).
- Texas A&M has the second-worst overall record to the over (2-5) in the SEC this season.
- Additionally, the Aggies have scored 6 points in two of their three conference losses, resulting in a 1-3 record to the over against SEC opponents.
- The Aggies have gone four straight games hitting the under, while the Crimson Tide have achieved the under in 2 straight.
Lock in your Texas A&M vs. Alabama prediction on PrizePicks before Saturday’s game.
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Pressure is mounting for a ranked Alabama team that has aspirations of making the College Football Playoffs for a second straight year. With the Crimson Tide looking to avoid a third consecutive loss, points could come at a premium in a defensive battle vs. the Aggies on Saturday.
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