#7 Ole Miss vs. #19 Texas Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks – Saturday, October 24

Two teams headed in different directions, but with a lot to play for, square off in a key SEC game as the #7 Ole Miss Rebels are in Austin to face the #19 Texas Longhorns. The #19 Longhorns enter as a 3.5-point favorite on the spread, returning a 1.61x payout with a win via PrizePicks. Kickoff in Austin is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Last week, Texas lost at home to Florida, its second straight loss to an unranked team, weeks after rising to #1 in the country. Meanwhile, Ole Miss ended Missouri’s run of upsets with a 31-3 win to rise back up to #7 in the country. 

Below, we’ll break down our Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction and picks for Saturday’s college football game, including the game winner, spread, and over/under for PrizePicks.

Make your Ole Miss vs. Texas picks on PrizePicks for Saturday’s game.

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Ole Miss vs. Texas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, October 24

Texas enters Saturday’s game as a 3.5-point favorite vs. Ole Miss, returning a 1.61 payout if they win outright, according to PrizePicks. 

Here are the full payouts for the Ole Miss vs. Texas game. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction on the spread on PrizePicks!

Ole Miss is led by Heisman Trophy candidates QB Trinidad Chambliss and RB Kewan Lacy, who is back from his shoulder injury.

The Rebels knocked off former head coach Lane Kiffin and LSU in the season’s third week before falling in Gainesville to Florida the next week. Since then, the Rebels have knocked off Vanderbilt and Missouri, averaging 42.0 points and 453.5 yards per game. 

This season, Ole Miss is second in the SEC and 13th nationally with 290.7 passing yards per game, completing 66.7% of its passes. The Rebels are also averaging 444.5 total yards (36th nationally) and 37.5 points per game (20th). 

Now the Rebels head to Austin and face a reeling Longhorns team that has lost two conference games. Neither team can afford a loss if they want to stay in the SEC and CFP races.

The Longhorns’ offense continues to be an issue, as they failed to crack 300 yards of offense for the second time in the last three games. Texas has averaged only 305.3 total yards over its last three games (all SEC games), compared to 417.3 over its first three (no SEC games). Running has been a big problem, with Texas averaging just 94.0 rush yards per game. 

The Longhorns ranks outside the top 100 nationally in yards per play and rushing offense and is 93rd in total offense. Sustaining drives has also hurt the Longhorns, as they have converted only 8 of 36 third downs over the last three games (22.2%). Over those SEC games, Texas’ offensive EPA is -0.120, per Fourth Down Data. 

The struggles on offense could also lead to more playing time for redshirt freshman QB KJ Lacey Jr., per reports. 

This is the first meeting between the two schools since Texas joined the SEC. They met eight previous times, with the Longhorns winning six of them. 

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Ole Miss vs. Texas Prediction on Spread – 10/24/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction on the spread for Saturday, October 24.

• Ole Miss has more wins against AP Top 25 teams this season (two) than Miami, BYU, Notre Dame, Georgia, and Indiana (one). 
• The Rebels have scored on all 24 red-zone trips this season, with 21 touchdowns and 3 field goals. Their 87.5% red zone touchdown rate leads the SEC.
• After covering as a 29.5-point favorite vs. Texas State in the season opener, Texas has failed to cover in its last five games, all as the favorite. 
• The five non-covers as a favorite are tied with Washington and Indiana for most in the country. 
• Texas has gone three-and-out on 34.3% of its possessions, the highest rate in the SEC, which should give Ole Miss an opportunity to win the possession battle and generate additional scoring chances. 

Lock in your Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction on PrizePicks now!

Ole Miss vs. Texas Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 10/24/26

Here are the top Ole Miss vs. Texas picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, October 24. Today’s college football picks for PrizePicks include QB Trinidad Chambliss and QB Arch Manning.

Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss vs. Texas: 233.5 Passing Yards

• Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss has passed for 225+ yards in 11 of 12 starts and in 17 of 19 games since taking over the starting role. That includes 10 games of 300+ yards. 
• The Ole Miss QB is averaging 279.3 yards, ranking 13th in the country and second in the SEC. 
• The Heisman candidate is 7-3 in his career vs. ranked opponents, averaging 304.4 yards per game, with 17 TDs and 3 INTs. 
• Chambliss has thrown for at least 240+ yards in all 10 games vs. ranked opponents in his career, including 277+ in three College Football Playoff games last season. 

Add Trinidad Chambliss to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Texas QB Arch Manning vs. Ole Miss: 238.5 Passing Yards

• Texas QB Arch Manning has averaged 215.8 passing yards per game and completed a season-low 14 passes last week in the loss to a Florida team that was ranked 129th in passing defense.  
• The offensive line has not helped Manning, as he was sacked 5 times vs. Florida and 13 times over the three SEC games this season. 
• Peyton and Eli’s nephew recorded a 20.4 QBR last week vs. Florida, and it was not his lowest of the season, as he produced a 19.6 QBR in a win over UTSA.
• Manning has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in four of his six starts against AP top-10 opponents, despite Texas winning four of those games.

Pick Arch Manning + Texas to win on PrizePicks!

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Make Ole Miss vs. Texas Picks on PrizePicks

Can Texas end its two-game losing streak and keep its season alive at home vs. Ole Miss? Or will the Rebels earn a key road win for their College Football Playoff hopes?

Don’t wait until kickoff — make your Ole Miss vs. Texas picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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