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Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks: Wild Card with Max Fried, Cody Bellinger, More

Yankees P Max Fried throws a pitch in an MLB game.
AP Photo/Noah K. Murray

New York Yankees. Boston Red Sox. Wild Card. Best. Rivalry. Ever.

On Tuesday night in the opener of New York and Boston's respective postseasons, Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet will take the mound in what will be his first postseason start.

The Bronx Bombers will counter with a seasoned October arm in Max Fried, who made a bit of playoff noise while starring in Atlanta.

Since the start of last season, Boston has won 15 of their 26 games against the Yanks, but here in 2025, the Sox have taken it next level, posting a 9–4 record in head-to-head matchups.

Whether you’re backing a pitcher's earned runs or a hitter’s total bases, Tuesday's MLB slate is stacked with opportunities on PrizePicks to pick More or Less and cash in.

Get started on PrizePicks today to get $50 free after your first $5 Lineup.

Reds vs. Dodgers Prediction, Picks

Here are the top MLB picks and predictions for PrizePicks today. Use this analysis to build your Lineups on PrizePicks MLB on Tuesday, September 30. Click to read more about each pick.

Red Sox P Garrett Crochet: 39.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score

  • In his last 125 plate appearances, Crochet has allowed just a 7.5% barrel rate, a 46.2% hard-hit percentage, and a low 22.5% fly-ball rate.
  • Over his last four starts, Crochet has surrendered only 6 earned runs while racking up 37 strikeouts.
  • Crochet has gone at least six innings in each of his last 13 starts.
  • In his last four outings against the Yankees, Crochet struck out 9, 7, 11, and 12 batters.
  • The Yankees, in 223 plate appearances against left-handed pitching this season, own a 26.4% strikeout rate.

Yankees P Max Fried: 34.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score

  • In his last 134 plate appearances, Fried has limited hitters to a 5.6% barrel rate, a 41% hard-hit percentage, and an 18% fly-ball rate.
  • Over his final three starts to end the season, Fried recorded 26 K's while allowing only 3 earned runs across 19.1 innings pitched.
  • In his last four starts against the Red Sox, Fried produced strikeout totals of 13, 9, 7, and 6. 
  • Over his two outings against Boston, Fried threw for 11.1 and allowed only 2 earned runs.

Yankees OF Cody Bellinger: 5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Over his last 35 plate appearances against left-handed pitching, Bellinger owns a 28.6% fly-ball rate, a 9.5% barrel rate, and an impressive .300 BABIP.
  • Against Crochet in his career, Bellinger has 5 hits in 14 plate appearances, including a home run, for a .357 batting average.
  • In September, Bellinger has launched 3 dingers, collected 22 hits in 94 at-bats, and is currently riding a five-game hit streak.
  • Bellinger is slashing for a .211 postseason average with 9 home runs.

Make MLB DFS Picks on PrizePicks

Tuesday's Red Sox vs. Yankees playoff game provides plenty of MLB action to make your predictions as we launch into the playoffs.

Just build your MLB DFS Lineup on PrizePicks with your favorite MLB players and win real money if your picks are correct. All you have to do is pick More or Less on at least two player projections — like hits+runs+RBIs or pitcher fantasy score — to win.

Whether you’re going with pitchers or hitters, there’s always real money sports action waiting for you on PrizePicks. Stay locked in on the Playbook all season long for MLB DFS picks for PrizePicks every day.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Shayne Trail is a Penn State Smeal College of Business graduate, and is the President of the @HallofFameFund (on X) where he positions historically profitable sports trends into investments. Shayne has expertise in all major sports, but writes mostly about NFL, MLB, and NBA for Playbook.

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