Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction, MLB Picks for Wednesday, June 24

First pitch of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox (32-45) and the Colorado Rockies (31-49) is set for 3:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, June 24, with the Red Sox returning a 1.56x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

After losing on a walk-off in the first game of the series, the Red Sox were able to rebound behind an 11-strikeout performance from SP Sonny Gray for the 5-2 win. Boston will send out one of their top starters in the rubber match, while the Rockies will send their hurler with the fewest wins.

Below, we'll break down our Red Sox vs. Rockies prediction and picks for Wednesday’s MLB matchup, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Red Sox vs. Rockies prediction on PrizePicks for today’s game.

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Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, June 24

Ranger Suarez (3.62 xFIP in 76.2 IP, 14 starts) will get the nod for the Red Sox in the series finale. Suarez was a big free agent signing in the offseason for Boston, and he’s been well worth the investment. He has nine starts in which he's allowed 2 or fewer earned runs and six in which he hasn't allowed any, including two starts of 8 scoreless innings.

This season has been a disaster for the Red Sox, with the series opener encapsulating that. With the Rockies down 2-0 in the ninth, Colorado walked it off after hitting three straight singles, followed by a walk-off triple.

This is just another chapter in a season that’s been trouble from the jump. Boston fired manager Alex Cora after a 10-17 start, but interim manager Chad Tracy hasn't been much better, owning a 22-28 record.  

Part of the problem is that th Sox have never had their full roster; key players like SP Garett Crochet, SS Trevor Story, and DH Masataka Yoshida have spent significant time on the injured list.

The Rockies will counter on Wednesday ewith SP Kyle Freeland (4.38 xFIP in 66 IP, 13 starts). If there were a discussion of who's been one of the worst pitchers in baseball in recent years, he'd be a candidate.

He’s coming off a 2025 season where he led the league in losses (17) and allowed the fourth-most hits (193) and the 10th-most runs (90). This year hasn't been any better, coming with a 5.59 xERA, and he's giving up the fifth-most hits (88) and second-most earned runs (54).

It’s indicative of the recent history of mediocrity that has plagued the Rockies organization. They have three straight seasons of 100+ losses and have gone under .500 in seven consecutive years. 2026 looks like more of the same, as Colorado has the worst National League record and an MLB_worst -92 run differential.

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Red Sox vs. Rockies Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, June 24

The Red Sox enter Wednesday’s game as road favorites, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Red Sox vs. Rockies game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (1.85x payout)
• Over/Under: 10.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Red Sox 1.56x | Rockies 2.32x

Play the Red Sox vs. Rockies spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction on Winner – 6/24/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Red Sox vs. Rockies prediction on the winner for Wednesday, June 24.

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Unless otherwise referenced, stats used in this article are from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• The Red Sox have won four of Suarez’s last five starts against teams under .500.
• Suarez has pitched well in the high altitude of Coors Field, with a 3.20 ERA in 3 starts.
• The Red Sox starter does well at keeping the bats quiet with a 32.5% hard-hit rate that ranks in the 86th percentile. The Rockies' 36.9% hard-hit rate is the fourth-worst in baseball.
• The Rockies have lost eight of Freeland’s last 10 starts.
• Freeland ranks below the 10th percentile in several categories, including xBA (.299, second), xERA (5.49, ninth), and average exit velocity (90.9 mph, eighth).
• The Rockies struggle against left-handed pitchers to the tune of a .302 wOBA (22nd), which could benefit the southpaw Suarez.

Red Sox vs. Rockies Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 6/24/26

Here are the top Red Sox vs. Rockies picks to target on Wednesday, June 24. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Wilyer Abreu and TJ Rumfield.

Red Sox RF Wilyer Abreu vs. Rockies: 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

• Abreu has a .406 wOBA against left-handed pitchers, which is 17th in the league (minimum 70 at-bats).
• The right fielder has been Boston’s best hitter recently, as his 157 wRC+ since June 12 leads the team.
• Abreu has been solid at making contact, with his 11.0% barrel rate sitting in the 70th percentile. Freeland is allowing a 9.3% barrel rate (28th percentile).
• Abreu predominantly bats third in the order; Freeland is allowing the third batter in the lineup to post a .294 BA and .323 BABIP.

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Rockies 1B TJ Rumfield vs. Red Sox: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Rumfield has played very well lately, as his .934 OPS in June is his best mark for a full month this season.
• The Rockies first baseman plays better in the higher altitude, with a his home SLG (.485 vs. .474) and wOBA (.370 vs. .361) being better at Coors Field.
• Suarez could struggle to get Rumfield to swing-and-miss because he’s inducing just a 23.8% whiff rate that's in the 40th percentile. Rumfield has just a 19.5% whiff rate, which resides in the 76th percentile.
• That's especially relevant against the sinker, which is Suarez's most frequently thrown pitch (25.4%). Rumfield has a .300 xBA when facing the offering.

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We get a rubber match in Colorado between two last-place teams. The Red Sox have the advantage on the mound, but the Rockies have pulled off one miraculous win in this series. Can they do it again?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Red Sox vs. Rockies picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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