Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction, MLB Picks for Tuesday, June 23

June 23, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Brynn Anderson
Boston Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras hits a ball against the Atlanta Braves.

The Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies game is slated to get underway at 8:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, June 23, with the Red Sox favored and returning a 1.56x payout if they come out on top, per PrizePicks.

The Red Sox held a 2-0 lead entering the ninth of Monday’s series opener against the Rockies. However, Rockies OF Jake McCarthy laced a three-run, game-winning triple to lead Colorado to a come-from-behind 3-2 victory in walk-off fashion. What's in store for Tuesday?

Below, we'll break down our Red Sox vs. Rockies prediction and picks for Tuesday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, June 23

In Tuesday’s matchup, Red Sox SP Sonny Gray (3.83 xFIP across 69.1 innings) will go head-to-head with Rockies SP Sean Sullivan (7.52 xFIP in 7.0 innings) on the mound.

Gray has allowed 1 or fewer earned runs in five of his last eight starts while yielding no more than 3 earned runs in any start during that stretch. He's relied heavily on the ground ball in 2026, inducing a 48.1% clip (76th percentile).

Meanwhile, Sullivan was called up by the Rockies earlier this month and has surrendered 8 earned runs across two MLB starts. According to MLB.com, Sullivan was ranked as the Rockies’ No. 11 prospect entering the 2026 campaign.

Offensively, the Red Sox have been one of the poorer lineups around the majors, ranking 29th in wRC+ (88) and scoring the fewest runs (294) in all of baseball. 

Meanwhile, the Rockies have been substantially more productive, as they rank 12th in runs (356) and are averaging 4.2 per game over their last five contests.

Red Sox vs. Rockies Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, June 23

The Red Sox enter Tuesday's game as an away favorite against the Rockies, returning a 1.58x payout if they win outright via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Red Sox vs. Rockies game on PrizePicks.

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (1.85x payout)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Red Sox 1.56x | Rockies 2.27x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Red Sox vs. Rockies Prediction on Over/Under – 6/23/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Red Sox vs. Rockies prediction on the over/under for Tuesday, June 23.

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  • The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the Red Sox and Rockies.
  • Since the start of 2024, an MLB-best 125 runs have been scored at Coors Field, per Baseball Savant Park Factors.
  • In his last start against the Chicago Cubs, Sullivan surrendered 8 earned runs on nine hits, also serving up 2 home runs in just 4.0 innings.
  • Sullivan registered a 5.48 xFIP in 11 starts at the AAA level with the Albuquerque Isotopes before being recalled by the Rockies. He also recorded a 5.60 ERA during his time with the Isotopes.
  • If Sullivan struggles, the Rockies’ bullpen also hasn’t been extremely productive. Colorado owns a 5.09 bullpen ERA, the second highest in baseball behind only the Minnesota Twins (5.17).
  • Gray has produced a 19.4% strikeout rate, ranking in just the 30th percentile.

Red Sox vs. Rockies Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 6/23/26

Here are the top Red Sox vs. Rockies picks to target on Tuesday, June 23. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Willson Contreras and Hunter Goodman.

Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras vs. Rockies: 1.5 Total Bases

  • Contreras is hitting just .115 (3-for-26) across his last seven games.
  • The Red Sox first baseman has tallied only 8 of his extra-base hits against left-handed pitching in 2026.
  • According to Baseball Savant, Contreras has notched an 18.1% squared-up rate, which ranks in the fifth percentile.
  • Contreras has managed to tally a lone extra-base hit in his last seven games.
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Rockies C Hunter Goodman vs. Red Sox: 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Goodman is hitting .300 (9-for-30) with 3 home runs and 6 RBI over his last eight games.
  • The veteran catcher has registered a 16.0% barrel rate in 2026, which ranks in the 95th percentile.
  • Goodman has slugged 16 of his 21 home runs against right-handed pitching.
  • The Rockies’ rising slugger has tallied a 45.2% hard-hit rate, occupying the 73rd percentile.
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Coors Field has always been a hitter’s paradise and is always prone to producing high-scoring affairs. Despite a low-scoring outing in the series opener, a high run total could be in the cards when the Rockies host the Red Sox on Tuesday.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Red Sox vs. Rockies picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.