The Boston Red Sox (59-51) and Los Angeles Dodgers (69-42) finish their three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball at 7:20 p.m. ET on August 2. The Dodgers are home favorites, and a win would return a 1.51x payout, per PrizePicks.
The Red Sox just finished a ridiculous 21-4 July, the best month in franchise history. They’ve carried that hot play into August, with yesterday's 3-2 win, taking the first two games of this series. Now they'll look to finish off the sweep.
Of course, the Dodgers are still one of MLB’s best teams, and they’re only going to get scarier after reportedly acquiring SP Tarik Skubal from the Detroit Tigers.
Below, we'll break down our Red Sox vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Sunday Night Baseball, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, August 2
The Dodgers will begin with SP Emmet Sheehan on the mound tonight, and while the righty enters with an unsightly 4.95 ERA, his underlying metrics leave room for optimism. Over his 19 starts this season, Sheehan has produced a 3.77 xERA, 26.3% strikeout rate, and 7.3% walk rate, per Baseball Savant.
While he’s allowed 17 home runs (1.65 HR/9), Sheehan’s 13.1 xHR total suggests he’s been somewhat unlucky in the power department. Additionally, his 14.3% HR/FB rate sits well above the league average (11.7%), which could also point toward positive regression moving forward.
SP Jake Bennett will start for the Red Sox, and he boasts a 3.07 xERA across his 11 outings. Although the southpaw has an underwhelming 18.0% K rate, he’s in the 80th percentile or better in walk rate (4.3%), ground-ball rate (49.2%), and barrel rate (5.6%).
Offensively, the Dodgers have been the far better team at the plate this year. According to FanGraphs, Los Angeles leads MLB with a 113 wRC+, whereas Boston ranks 22nd with a 95 wRC+.
That being said, the Red Sox have flipped the script since their hot streak began at the start of July, sporting a 108 wRC+. In contrast, the Dodgers have dropped to a 95 wRC+ during that same stretch.
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, August 2
The Dodgers enter Sunday’s game as a home favorite against the Red Sox, returning a 1.51x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Red Sox vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks.
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction on Over/Under for Sunday Night Baseball – 8/2/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Red Sox vs. Dodgers prediction on the over/under for Sunday, August 2.
- Both starting pitchers enter tonight’s matchup with above-average expected ERAs. Sheehan’s 3.77 xERA ranks in the 61st percentile, while Bennett’s 3.07 xERA sits in the 86th percentile, highlighting the quality of both arms.
- Since the beginning of July, the Red Sox bullpen has posted the league’s second-best xERA (2.78) and second-best xFIP (3.41).
- Boston’s offense could be showing signs of slowing down. Since the All-Star break, they rank 16th in xwOBA (.306) and 21st in hard-hit rate (37.4%).
- The Dodgers’ bats aren’t quite as lethal versus left-handed pitchers, showing a .325 wOBA and .166 ISO compared to a 116 wRC+ and .172 ISO against righties.
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Red Sox vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/2/26
Here are the top Red Sox vs. Dodgers picks to target on PrizePicks on Sunday, August 2. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Jake Bennett and Wilyer Abreu.
Red Sox SP Jake Bennett vs. Dodgers: 21.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score
- Bennett has scored 45, 43, 37, 26, and 26 fantasy points over his last five starts.
- The left-hander has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs while going 5+ innings in eight straight starts. He’s logged six quality starts over that span.
- Bennett has posted a 2.89 xFIP, 22.2% strikeout rate, and 56.8% ground-ball rate versus left-handed batters this year, potentially giving him a better shot at putting the clamps down on some of the Dodgers’ best hitters in Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Max Muncy.
- Despite Bennett’s modest K rate, he’s recorded a 37.8% chase rate (97th percentile).
Add Jake Bennett to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Red Sox OF Wilyer Abreu vs. Dodgers: 4.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Abreu is showing solid Statcast metrics this year, including a .335 xwOBA (66th percentile), .454 xSLG (76th percentile), and 12.2% barrel rate (79th percentile).
- While the Boston outfielder didn’t hit for average in July, he produced a .247 ISO this past month.
- Over his career, the lefty slugger has hit 48 of his 55 home runs against right-handed pitching.
- As noted earlier, Sheehan might be due for positive regression when it comes to allowing home runs, but the problem is unlikely to completely go away due to a 34.8% ground-ball rate (12th percentile) and 9.8% barrel rate (16th percentile).
- Abreu typically bats third for Boston, a premium lineup spot that provides plenty of opportunities to accumulate runs and RBIs.
Add Wilyer Abreu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Red Sox vs. Dodgers Picks for Sunday Night Baseball on PrizePicks
The Boston Red Sox continue to stay hot and will attempt to complete a sweep against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Will the Dodgers strike back on Sunday Night Baseball?
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Red Sox vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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