A highly anticipated AL East divisional matchup between the Rays vs Red Sox has the potential to alter the playoffs in a tight AL East race.
The Rays vs Red Sox four-game series gets underway in Boston tonight at 7:10 p.m. ET, as the East's fourth-place Red Sox host the third-place Tampa Bay Rays.
We'll break down the top Rays vs Red Sox predictions and picks, including pitcher projections to target for Thursday, July 10 in the matchup between Taj Bradley and Walker Buehler.
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Rays vs Red Sox Predictions for July 10
Here are the top Rays vs. Red Sox predictions and picks for PrizePicks today. Use this analysis to build your Lineups on PrizePicks MLB on Thursday, July 10. Click to read more about each pick.
- Red Sox P Walker Buehler – 20.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score
- Rays 1B Jonathan Aranda – 0.5 Runs
- Rays P Taj Bradley – 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Find more MLB picks to build your Lineups today in the MLB Cheat Sheet.
Red Sox P Walker Buehler – 20.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score
- Over 331 plate appearances this season, Red Sox SP Walker Buehler has surrendered a 9.5% barrel rate, a 45% hard-hit rate, and a 25% fly-ball rate, marking a significant uptick in damaging contact.
- In his last 16.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 19 earned runs, a rough patch on the mound for Buehler
- Buehler has cleared at least three strikeouts only once in his last six starts, pointing to diminished swing-and-miss effectiveness.
- The Rays are only striking out at a 20.2% clip over the last 30 says — ninth lowest in MLB.
- The Rays also have the second highest wRC+ in that span as a team.
Rays 1B Jonathan Aranda – 0.5 Runs
- In 262 plate appearances against right-handed pitching this season, Aranda has produced a 67% hard-hit rate, a 15% barrel rate, and a 31% fly-ball rate, demonstrating his ability to drive the ball.
- Those same 262 plate appearances have yielded a .402 wOBA and a .205 ISO, reflecting elite run-creation against right-handed arms.
- Over his last 87 plate appearances, Aranda has maintained a .368 BABIP, indicating a sustained ability to find gaps and turn his hard contact into hits.
- Aranda has hit second in the Rays' lineup for the last three days, a solid spot for runs, as he's been followed by Junior Caminero (.339 xwOBA) and Josh Lowe (.346 xwOBA) who can generate hits to get him in.
Rays P Taj Bradley – 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Across 104 plate appearances this season, Rays SP Taj Bradley has allowed a near-10% barrel rate, a 42% hard-hit rate, and a 20% fly-ball rate, highlighting contact metrics
- He has failed to record more than five strikeouts in each of his last five starts, suggesting difficulty in missing bats.
- In his last 19 innings, Bradley has surrendered 14 earned runs, trending in the wrong direction.
- In four of his lat six starts, he has given up at least three earned runs, giving up five or more in three of them.
- Although his results have been better on the road, Bradley has a 4.34 xFIP when traveling, compared to 3.91 at home.
Make Rays vs Red Sox Predictions on PrizePicks
With the Rays vs Red Sox series set to be a competitive send off into the All-Star break, it's a perfect time to get in on the MLB action on PrizePicks. Every game starts meaning more as we near the second half of the season, especially for these two teams in a stacked AL East.
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Just make your Rays vs Red Sox predictions on PrizePicks by choosing More or Less, sit back and watch the game, and win real money if your picks are correct.
