Rays vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB Picks for Wednesday, June 17

The first pitch of the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers is set for 3:10 p.m ET on Wednesday, June 17, with the Dodgers entering as home favorites, returning a 1.53x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

Today’s matchup is Game 3 of the series and the final matchup between these teams this season. The Dodgers took Game 1 in a 4-3 final, followed by squeaking out another 1-run win in a well-pitched 1-0 victory last night. Will the Rays avoid the sweep in Los Angeles this afternoon?

Below, we'll break down our Rays vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Wednesday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Rays vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now.

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Rays vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, June 17

The Rays have slipped recently, losing six of their last 10 games. They still own an impressive 41-29 record and are just 2.5 games behind the New York Yankees for first place in a strong AL East. The problem? The Yankees, even without OF Aaron Judge, are playing great baseball, winning eight of their last 10. 

While the Rays’ record is impressive, their +6 run differential is indicative of a team that could be due for negative regression as the season ticks on.

The Dodgers continue to be, well, the Dodgers. They've dominated teams to the tune of a 47-27 record and sport a nine-game lead over the San Diego Padres for first place in the NL West. They have an incredible +143 run differential, which leads all major league teams by a whopping 26 runs over the aforementioned New York Yankees. 

The back-to-back defending World Series champions seem all but destined for yet another deep postseason run that could see them become just the third franchise to win three straight World Series.

PrizePicks Team Picks gives the Dodgers the shortest payout to win the 2026 World Series (2.94x), followed by the Yankees at 5x.

Rays vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, June 17

The Dodgers enter Wednesday's game as home favorites against the Rays, returning a 1.53x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Rays vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (2.22x payout)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (2.04x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Rays 2.32x | Dodgers 1.53x

Make your Rays vs. Dodgers prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Rays vs. Dodgers Prediction on Spread – 6/17/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Rays vs. Dodgers prediction on the spread for Wednesday, June 17.

Lock in your Rays vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.

• The Rays are an impressive 41-29-0 (58.6%) against the spread (ATS) this season. However, on the road, they are a below-average 18-19-0 ATS (48.7%).
• There is a notable offensive difference between these teams. The Dodgers lead all of baseball in wRC+ (119), while the Rays own an average 100 wRC+ of 100 (16th), per FanGraphs.
• The starting pitcher matchup, while closer, still favors the home team. Rays SP Shane McLanahan owns a solid 3.71 xERA, but that number pails in comparison to Dodgers SP Shohei Ohtani and his ridiculous 2.62 xERA.
• Additionally, McLanahan has not surpassed 81 pitches in his last three starts. That could leave a few too many innings in the hands of the Rays bullpen, which owns a 4.53 xFIP this season (22nd). 
• The Dodgers’ pen is on the complete opposite side of the spectrum, owning a dominant 3.75 xFIP, fourth-best in baseball. 

Rays vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 6/17/26

Here are the top Rays vs. Dodgers picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, June 17. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Shane McLanahan and Shohei Ohtani.

Rays SP Shane McLanahan vs. Dodgers: 4.5 Strikeouts

• All things considered, this is a fairly low projection for McLanahan, who has been one of the better strikeout pitchers in baseball since his 2021 debut.
• While the matchup is certainly a tough one, the Dodgers' higher strikeout clip against LHP (20.6%) is reassuring, compared to 20.4% vs. RHP.
• Coupled with LAD carrying a slightly higher K% at home (20.8%) than on the road (20.2%), this could be a landing spot against an offense as good as the Dodgers.
• McLanahan saw a velocity resurgence in his last start, with his fastball sitting at 96.6 mph on average, over 1 mph above his season average velocity.
• This velo resurgence led to a monstrous 18.9% SwStr rate, which was way above his already strong season-long SwStr% of 12.3%
• The Rays lefty has also been better on the road this season with a 9.72 K/9 compared to an 8.80 K/9 at the Trop in Tampa.

Add Shane McLanahan to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Dodgers SP Shohei Ohtani vs. Rays: 6 Strikeouts

• Sure, the Rays may own the lowest strikeout rate in baseball this season (19.1%), but this is Shohei Ohtani we’re talking about.
• Ohtani has reached more than this projection in nine of his 11 starts this year (81.8%).
• He has been incredibly dominant at home, owning an 11.61 K/9 in Los Angeles, compared to just an 8.10 K/9 on the road.
• While he owns the lowest K/9 of his career at a still-impressive 9.71 K/9, his 13.2% SwStr rate is actually above his 2021 and 2023 numbers, where he owned a 10.77 and 11.39 K/9, respectively.
• This will be just Ohtani’s fourth appearance against the Rays in his career and his first since 2022. 
• It is worth noting that he has gone above this projection in each of his first three appearances against Tampa Bay, and the Rays' low-strikeout, high-contact approach has been the same for over a decade since Kevin Cash became the manager in 2014.

Add Shohei Ohtani to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Rays vs. Dodgers Picks on PrizePicks

The Rays will be looking to avoid the sweep against the most dominant team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers. 

The first two games of this series have been entertaining but low-scoring affairs, and with McLanahan vs. Ohtani on the mound, today’s game may follow suit. 

Don’t wait until lock — make your Rays vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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