Rays vs. Athletics Prediction, MLB Picks for Monday, August 10

The first pitch of the Tampa Bay Rays (71-46) vs. the Athletics (47-71) is set for 9:40 p.m. ET on Monday, August 10, with the Rays returning a 1.56x payout to win, via PrizePicks.

The Rays and Athletics begin this series with the teams going in opposite directions. Tampa Bay is competing to have the best record in the American League, while the A’s have dropped out of playoff contention recently.

Below, we'll break down our Rays vs. Athletics prediction and picks for Monday’s MLB matchup, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Rays vs. Athletics picks on PrizePicks now!

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Rays vs. Athletics Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, August 10

The Rays will start SP Freddy Peralta (4.25 xFIP in 117.1 IP, 23 starts) on Monday night. The Rays acquired Peralta from the Mets at the trade deadline. His Rays debut was a disaster, as he allowed 7 earned runs over 3.2 innings. 

This is unfortunately the theme of Peralta’s season, posting the worst numbers of his career, including a 5.37 ERA, a .354 wOBA allowed, and a 39.1% hard-hit rate allowed. It's a drastic regression for a pitcher who led the National League with 17 wins and finished fifth in NL Cy Young voting last year.

Peralta was one of the players the Rays acquired at the deadline in an attempt to become the team to beat in the American League. They currently have the best record in the AL, which would give them a first-round bye in the playoffs.

The Athletics will counter with SP Jacob Lopez (5.41 xFIP in 75.0 IP, 18 appearances, 15 starts) in the series opener. For most of the season, Lopez has struggled.

In his first 13 appearances, including 11 starts, he posted a 7.06 ERA, a 6.19 FIP, and a 2.6% HR/FB rate. Something has changed, as Lopez now looks like a whole new pitcher, with a 2.11 ERA, 3.37 FIP, and a 6.9% HR/FB rate over his last five starts.

Lopez’s improvement is not helping the Athletics, who have regressed sharply recently. On June 20, they were 38-38 and 0.5 games out of first place in the American League West. Since then, they have gone an MLB-worst 8-32 and are now 13 games behind first place in the division. 

Injuries play a major factor in the slide. SP Luis Severino has been out with a shoulder injury since May. A's 1B Nick Kurtz re-injured his thumb and landed on the IL for the second time over the last few weeks. Plus, C Shea Langeliers’ season is over after he tore his meniscus.

Rays vs. Athletics Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, August 10

The Rays enter Monday’s game as road favorites, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Rays vs. Athletics game on PrizePicks.

Make your Rays vs. Athletics prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Rays vs. Athletics Prediction on Over/Under – 8/10/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Rays vs. Athletics prediction on the run total for Monday, August 10.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• Peralta is allowing opposing batters to crush the ball, with a 39.1% hard-hit rate that ranks in the 45th percentile. The Athletics rank 10th with a 40.0% hard-hit rate. 
• Lopez struggles to force swings and misses with a 23.9% whiff rate that sits in the 45th percentile. The Rays rarely swing and miss, with their 20.5% whiff rate the lowest in baseball.
• The Athletics have the second-highest home over rate (63.3%).
• The Rays hit well against left-handed pitchers, with their .248 BA ranking ninth and their 18.3% strikeout rate ranking third.
• Lopez has a 6.61 ERA at home and only a 4.95 ERA on the road.

Lock in your Rays vs. Athletics prediction on PrizePicks before the first pitch.

Rays vs. Athletics Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/10/26

Here are the top Rays vs. Athletics picks to target on PrizePicks for Monday, August 10. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Junior Caminero and Tyler Soderstrom.

Rays 3B Junior Caminero vs. Athletics: 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Caminero is 1 for 5 with 1 home run in career matchups with Lopez.
• The Rays’ third baseman has success at Sutter Health Park, posting a 1.329 OPS and 2 home runs in three games.
• Caminero has performed much better against left-handed pitching than against right-handed pitching this season. This includes a .412 wOBA against lefties and a .382 wOBA against righties. That may benefit him against the southpaw Lopez.
• Lopez is allowing a 12.5% walk rate, which ranks in the 11th percentile. That should help Caminero, who has a 12.5% walk rate that ranks in the 86th percentile.

Add Junior Caminero to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Athletics LF Tyler Soderstrom vs. Rays: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Soderstrom is playing his best baseball of the season. He recorded a hit in all eight games this month and has an RBI in four consecutive appearances.
• In 6 career at-bats vs. Peralta, he is 2 for 6 (.333).
• Soderstrom has an exceptional hard-hit rate of 46.3%, which ranks in the 79th percentile. That could mean an advantage over Peralta, who is allowing a 39.1% hard-hit rate (45th percentile).
• Peralta throws the four-seamer on 52% of his pitches to left-handed hitters. Soderstrom hits the four-seamer well, with a .415 wOBA and a 52.1% hard-hit rate.

Add Tyler Soderstrom to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Rays vs. Athletics Picks on PrizePicks

The Rays’ trip to the West Coast is going very well with sweeps over the Rockies and Mariners. Now they play three games with the Athletics, who have been one of the worst teams in MLB lately. 

Rays SP Freddy Peralta is hoping he can rebound after a tough debut, while Athletics SP Jacob Lopez wants to keep his momentum going with a recent run of excellent outings.

Don’t wait until the first pitch happens—makemake your Rays vs. Athletics picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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