PSG hosts AS Monaco at the Parc des Princes on Wednesday afternoon, after the two Ligue 1 sides faced off in a 5-goal thriller in last week’s first leg. Luis Enrique’s side came back from down 2-0 to win the first leg 3-2 in the Stade Louis II last Tuesday.
Now the French clubs will face off for the third time in all competitions this season on Wednesday, February 25th at 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Can AS Monaco mount an improbable comeback, or will last year’s Champions League winners hold strong at home against a familiar foe?
Below, we’ll break down our PSG vs. AS Monaco Champions League predictions and picks for Wednesday afternoon’s clash between two of France’s finest. Make your UCL picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on players, goal totals, and more.
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PSG vs. AS Monaco Prediction, Spread, Champions League Picks for 2/25
PSG heads home with a 1-goal advantage after falling down 2-0 early during the first fixture. Monaco striker Folarin Balogun scored just 55 seconds after kick-off, then added his second in the 18th minute.
PSG would not open the scoring until later in the first half when French forwards Bradley Barcola and Desire Doue linked up for Doue’s first goal of the contest. The French winger would find the back of the net once again in the second half, giving him a brace, and his team the lead in the contest.
Doue entered the game for last season’s Ballon D’or winner, Ousmane Dembele, who suffered a calf injury in the 27th minute. Enrique has already ruled out the Frenchman for the second leg on Wednesday.
Despite the injury, PSG playing at home with a 1-goal lead and solid depth to mask Dembele’s absence should be more than enough to get them through the second leg.
PSG vs. AS Monaco Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
PSG enters Wednesday’s game as sizeable home favorites, returning a 1.23x payout ($100 entry pays out $123) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
PrizePicks Team Picks has the road team, AS Monaco, as heavy underdogs, with a 7.69x payout ($100 entry pays out $769) should they find a way to win this game.
- Winner Payout: PSG – 1.23x | Tie – 5.55x | As Monaco – 7.69x
- Spread: PSG -1.5 (1.67.x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 1.77.x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.63x | No 2.20x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
PSG vs. AS Monaco Prediction
Let’s go over some trends and stats to help you make your PSG vs. AS Monaco prediction on Wednesday, February 25th.
- PSG has three wins and one loss with an 8:4 goal difference against AS Monaco in all competitions dating back to January 2025.
- PSG’s home form in the Champions League has been poor, picking up just 7 points in four games, and conceding 6 goals at the Parc des Princes.
- On the contrary, AS Monaco was the fifth worst away team in UCL play, scoring 5 goals in four contests, while conceding 12 of their own.
- Both teams have scored in seven of PSG’s last 12 matches across all competitions.
- AS Monaco completed a 2-0 comeback of their own over the weekend, defeating RC Lens in Ligue 1. Sebastien Pocognoli’s squad has scored 2 or more goals in three straight games across all competitions.
- AS Monaco has been shown a red card in two of their last three matches, as well as back to back matches against PSG.
- PSG has not lost at home against AS Monaco since February 21st, 2021
PSG vs. AS Monaco Projected Lineups
Take a look at the PSG vs. AS Monaco lineups for today's Champions League match. Lineups are not official.
PSG Lineup vs. AS Monaco: Projected 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Matvey Safonov
- Defense: Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
- Midfield: Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves
- Forwards: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Goncalo Ramos, Desire Doue
AS Monaco Lineup vs. PSG: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Phillipp Kohn
- Defense: Vanderson, Jordan Teze, Wout Faes, Caio Henrique
- Midfield: Denis Zakaria, Lamine Camara, Mika Biereth, Simon Adingra, Stanis Idumbo Muzambo
- Forwards: Folarin Balogun
PSG vs. AS Monaco Picks for Champions League: Wednesday, February 25
Here are three top PSG vs. AS Monaco picks to target on players for Wednesday, February 25 for PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Vitinha, Matvey Safonov, and Folarin Balogun.
PSG M Vitinha Projections vs. AS Monaco: 96.5 Passes Attempted (More/Less), 0.5 Fouls (Goblin)
- Sitting in the middle of the 4-3-3 formation, Vitinha has attempted (958) and completed (904) more passes than any other player in the Champions League this season. The Portuguese midfielder attempted 112 passes in the first leg vs. AS Monaco.
- Vitinha is averaging over 100 pass attempts per game at home in both the Champions League (107) and Ligue 1 (100.4).
- Vitinha has committed at least one foul in three straight matches in whilch he played a minimum of 30 minutes.
PSG GK Matvey Safonov Projections vs. AS Monaco: 2.5 Goalie Saves (More/Less), 1.5 Goals Allowed (Demon)
- Matvey Safonov has allowed 3 goals in three matches this Champions League campaign. The Russianl keeper has tallied 7 saves in those three games.
- Safonov has failed to reach 3 saves in each of his last three appearances. PSG’s GK often faces less pressure with his side normally dominating possession.
- Three of the last five goalies AS Monaco have faced have had 2 or less saves made in that fixture.
- AS Monaco has scored 2 or more goals vs. PSG in six of the last 13 matches between these clubs dating back to 2021. Safonov has played in just one of these fixtures, the first leg of this Champions League Knockout stage tie, where PSG conceded two goals
- Safonov has an exquisite home record, conceding just 1 goal in all competitions this season at the Park des Princes.
AS Monaco ST Folarin Balogun Projections vs. PSG: 2 Shots (More/Less), 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)
- Folarin Balogun’s brace in under 20 minutes in the first leg were his first 2 goal contributions in the Champions League since December 9, 2025.
- The USMNT striker has 15 shots in his last five starts, including 3 in his 83 minutes played last week.
- AS Monaco’s #9 has 19 shots in six appearances against PSG in his career. Just 4 have led to goals and Balogun has yet to record an assist against the Ligue 1 Champions.
- Balogun’s goal over the weekend vs. RC Lens makes it 3 goals in his last two matches making him a potential candidate to bag another when AS Monaco attempt a comeback later today.
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Make Your PSG vs. AS Monaco Champions League Picks on PrizePicks
AS Monaco will attempt to enter PSG’s home and take down the European Champions for the first time in over five years. PSG should feel confident up one goal at home against a familiar, Ligue 1, opponent they have had the better of for some time.
You can make your PSG vs. AS Monaco picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots and passes, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued Champions League predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
