After dropping the first two games of the series, the Philadelphia Phillies now find themselves in survival mode in NLDS Game 4 on Thursday night.
The Phillies will start ace Christopher Sanchez tonight with their backs against the wall in this best-of-five showdown. Game 4 is a do-or-die matchup for the Phillies, with first pitch set for 6:08 p.m. ET in Los Angeles on TBS.
Below, we'll give you our Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Thursday night, including same-game player picks for PrizePicks.
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Can the Phillies keep their postseason hopes alive and get to Game 5, or will the Dodgers punch their ticket to the National League Championship Series?
Let's dig into the Phillies vs. Dodgers predictions and picks for tonight's Game 4.
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks for NLDS Game 4
The Phillies took Game 3 on Thursday to extend their playoff lives. Now, they'll get their ace Christopher Sánchez on the mound looking to take the series back to Philadelphia with a win tonight.
Phillies Preview vs. Dodgers
The Philadelphia Phillies finally broke through offensively yesterday after being held quiet in the first two games of the series, exploding for eight runs to avoid the sweep.
Kyle Schwarber, who finished top three in the National League in home runs this season, powered the lineup with two long balls. Meanwhile, leadoff hitter Trea Turner continued his postseason surge against his former team, going 3-for-5 with two RBIs to push his batting average to .345 in October.
The Phillies now turn to Sánchez, a pitcher many view as a Cy Young-caliber arm, hoping he can keep the momentum alive as the series shifts toward a potential return to Citizens Bank Park, one of the most intimidating home fields in playoff baseball.
Dodgers Preview vs. Phillies
The Los Angeles Dodgers will counter with veteran right-hander Tyler Glasnow, who brings years of postseason experience and will be tasked with halting the Phillies’ sudden offensive surge.
In his last start, Glasnow pitched only 1.2 innings, giving up 2 hits and 2 walks on 34 pitches — he could have a longer leash tonight.
For the Dodgers, the offense has been uneven outside of Mookie Betts, who has been the bright spot in the series and is now hitting .409 in the postseason with 9 hits and 3 RBIs.
Shohei Ohtani nearly delivered a game-changing homer in Game 3, but his ball died at the warning track, continuing October struggles for him. Through 23 at-bats, Ohtani is hitting just .174 with 4 hits and a concerning 10 strikeouts.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Picks for NLDS Game 4
Here are the top Phillies vs. Dodgers picks in the NLDS Game 4 for PrizePicks today. Use this analysis to build your Lineups on PrizePicks MLB on Thursday, October 9.
Phillies SP Cristopher Sanchez Projection: 30.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score
- In his last 115 plate appearances, Christopher Sánchez has allowed just a 6.6% barrel rate, a 46% hard‑hit rate, and a very low 13.2% fly‑ball rate.
- Over his last 32 innings pitched, he has surrendered only 6 earned runs, showing excellent command and consistency.
- In his last five starts, Sánchez has recorded 6 or more strikeouts in every outing, including back‑to‑back 8‑K performances.
- The Dodgers have struggled with plate discipline against lefties, owning just a 4.7% walk rate across their last 235 plate appearances vs. LHP.
Want more MLB Picks? Dive into Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks here
Dodgers P Tyler Glasnow Projection: 28.5 Pitcher Fantasy Score
- Tyler Glasnow has been sharp to close the season, allowing only 6 earned runs over his last 23 innings pitched.
- He’s been racking up strikeouts, tallying 27 Ks in that same 23‑inning span.
- In his last 72 plate appearances, he’s held hitters to a 2.3% barrel rate, a 43% hard‑hit rate, and a 27.3% fly‑ball rate.
- The Phillies have been strong against right‑handed pitching, posting a .302 BABIP, 9.1% barrel rate, 59% hard‑hit rate, and 28% fly‑ball rate across their last 329 plate appearances vs. RHP.
- One thing to note is Glasnow's career struggles vs. the Phillies, with 18.1 IP and 14 ER, 14 BB, though he has added 28 strikeouts.
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Phillies OF Max Kepler Projection: 0.5 Total Bases
- In his last 33 plate appearances vs. right‑handed pitching, Kepler owns a 42% fly‑ball rate, a 47.4% hard‑hit rate, and a strong 15.8% barrel rate.
- Against Glasnow specifically, Kepler is 3-for-5 (.600) in his career, with one home run.
- Glasnow has allowed a 35% fly‑ball rate to lefties in his last 35 plate appearances, giving Kepler a favorable split.
- Kepler has been swinging well late in the year — in September, he tallied 3 home runs, 22 hits, and a current 5 game hitting streak.
- In the postseason series, Kepler is slashing .222 with 2 extra‑base hits (a double and a triple) across 9 at‑bats, and in his most recent game vs. the Dodgers he reached base twice via walks in 3 plate appearances.
Make NLDS Picks on PrizePicks
Thursday's Phillies vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 4 will be electric, with two solid pitchers on the mound and a chance for one team to claim their spot in the NLCS.
This game also provides plenty of ways to make real money with your MLB picks on PrizePicks, as the Phillies look to extend the series and steal one more game out in LA.
Just make your MLB picks on PrizePicks with your favorite MLB players and win real money if your picks are correct. All you have to do is pick More or Less on at least two player projections — like hits+runs+RBIs or pitcher fantasy Score — to win.
