Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, MLB Picks for Thursday, August 6

The San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game is set for a first pitch at 9:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, August 6, at Chase Field, with the Diamondbacks entering as a 1.85x payout to win, via PrizePicks. 

These NL West rivals wrap up a four-game series in the desert after Arizona (61-54) cruised to a 10-4 victory on Wednesday.

San Diego (59-56) entered this series on an 8-1 hot stretch, as the Padres look to avoid their third road series loss since the All-Star break.

Below, we'll break down our Padres vs. Diamondbacks prediction and picks for Thursday's MLB game, including the winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Padres vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks now!

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Thursday, August 6

Each of these teams probably won't catch the Dodgers for first place in the NL West, but the Wild Card route is still a strong possibility.

Arizona begins tonight’s action tied for the second NL Wild Card spot alongside Philadelphia. The Diamondbacks have won 16 of the last 23 games since July 9, including five series victories.

This series has been all blowouts so far, with all three games decided by 4 or more runs. In fact, none of the first nine meetings this season were decided by fewer than 2 runs.

The D-backs cruised to a 5-1 victory in Monday’s series opener on the heels of a 6-4 road trip. San Diego scored 6 runs in the first two innings to roll past Arizona, 9-4, on Tuesday, aided by 4 RBIs from 3B Manny Machado.

In Wednesday’s 10-4 rout, Arizona knocked around newly acquired SP Casey Mize for 8 runs in 3.1 innings of work to improve to 33-23 at Chase Field.

San Diego faces SP Kohl Drake for the first time tonight, as the southpaw makes his fourth career start. The Padres rank 28th against left-handed pitchers in both wOBA at .293 and wRC+ of 87, per FanGraphs.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Winner, Over/Under – Thursday, August 6

The Diamondbacks enter Thursday’s game as a 1.85x payout against the Padres, returning a 1.88x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Padres vs. Diamondbacks game on PrizePicks.

Make your Padres vs. Diamondbacks prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction on Winner – Thursday, August 6

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Padres vs. Diamondbacks prediction on the winner for Thursday, August 6.

• Since June 29, the Padres are 3-6 against left-handed starting pitchers, including a 2-5 road mark.
• San Diego has won 8 of the last 10 starts made by SP Walker Buehler. However, one of those losses was an 8-0 home defeat to Arizona on July 6.
• Arizona has struck out 470 times against opposing starting pitchers, the fewest among National League teams (4.08 per game).
• According to BaseballSavant, Buehler owns a 26.2% chase rate (9th percentile) and a 21.1% whiff rate (16th percentile).
• The Diamondbacks are 8-3 in their last 11 home series finales, while scoring at least 5 runs seven times.
• In three starts, Kohl has compiled a 52.5% hard-hit rate allowed. The Padres are tied for seventh with a 40.7% hard-hit rate, led by RF Fernando Tatis at 52.7%.
• Arizona ranks 29th in wOBA against right-handed pitchers at .302. However, the D-backs are 13-5 in the past 18 games when facing righty starters.

Lock in your Padres vs. Diamondbacks prediction on PrizePicks before the first pitch.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – Thursday, August 6

Here are top Padres vs. Diamondbacks picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, August 6. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Jackson Merrill and Geraldo Perdomo.

Padres CF Jackson Merrill vs. Diamondbacks: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

• In six of the last 11 road games, Merrill has finished above this projection. In those six outings, he put up an average HRR of 5.66 per game.
• Merrill finished 1 for 7 in the two losses to Arizona but exploded for 3 hits, 2 runs, and 2 RBIs in Tuesday’s win.
• Earlier we discussed Drake’s high hard-hit rate, and that may come into play here. Merrill owns a 48.9% hard-hit rate against left-handed pitching (88th percentile).
• In five of nine games against Arizona this season, Merrill has eclipsed this projection, including four times with an HRR of 3 or more. 

Add Jackson Merrill to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Diamondbacks SS Geraldo Perdomo vs. Padres: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

• Perdomo seeks to hit this projection for a fourth straight game while going 5 for 12 in the series.
• The shortstop has caught fire with an 8-2 over rate on HRR in the last 10 games. Before this stretch, Perdomo failed to cash this HRR in eight of 10 outings.
• Perdomo sits in the 96th percentile of walks (15.2%) and 95th percentile in strikeouts (11.9%) against right-handed pitchers.
• The sixth-year veteran is 8-3 to this projection in the last 11 games against starting pitchers in the 50th percentile or lower in xwOBA, and Buehler ranks in the 42nd percentile of the metric.

Add Geraldo Perdomo to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Padres vs. Diamondbacks Picks on PrizePicks

San Diego seeks the series split with Arizona at Chase Field tonight. Will the Padres bounce back, or will the Diamondbacks keep moving up in the NL Wild Card race?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Padres vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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