As we near the MLB All-Star Break, the Mets and Orioles are on opposite ends of their divisional standings, with the Mets (53-39) tied with the Phillies for the NL East lead, while the Orioles (40-50) are 13 games back in the AL East after a promising 2024 campaign.
On Wednesday night, we'll see the Orioles vs. Mets square off at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 9, on ESPN from Citi Field. We'll breakdown today’s top Mets vs Orioles predictions and picks including pitcher projections to target for Wednesday, July 9.
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Orioles vs. Mets Predictions, Picks: Wednesday, July 9
Here are three of the top Orioles vs. Mets predictions and picks, including analysis for PrizePicks today. Use these insights to build your Lineups on PrizePicks MLB on Wednesday, July 9. Click to read more about each pick.
- Mets P David Peterson – 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Orioles P Tomoyuki Sugano – 3 Pitcher Strikeouts
- Mets OF Juan Soto – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
Mets P David Peterson – 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- In his last 131 plate appearances, David Peterson has allowed just a 6% barrel rate, conceded a 46% hard-hit rate, and kept his fly-ball rate below 20%.
- Peterson’s strikeout totals have dipped recently: he has recorded fewer than 5.5 strikeouts (which he's projected for today) in each of his last four starts, and his K% over these 131 PAs sits at 16.8%, down from 20.8% across his 430 plate appearances earlier this season.
- In 31 plate appearances against this Orioles lineup, Peterson owns a 29% strikeout rate.
Orioles P Tomoyuki Sugano – 3 Pitcher Strikeouts
- Orioles P Tomoyuki Sugano has surrendered three or more earned runs in five straight outings, while also only averaging 3.4 strikeouts in his last 5 games.
- In Sugano's last 94 plate appearances, he’s allowed a 21% barrel rate, a 50% hard-hit rate, and a 37% fly-ball rate, trending in the wrong direction.
- Mets offense has only a 20% strikeout rate in 1,859 at-bats against right-handed pitching this season, and features six hitters owning a wOBA above .310.
- Over the last 14 days, the Mets have a 20.9% strikeout rate, 21st lowest in MLB during that span.
- Sugano is projected to face six left-handed batters in the Mets lineup, including three at the top of the order. His K% is just 13.9% vs. lefties.
Mets OF Juan Soto – 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- In 65 plate appearances versus right-handed pitching, Juan Soto has posted a 33% fly-ball rate, a 76% hard-hit rate, and a 33% barrel rate, underscoring his power.
- Over those 65 plate apperaances, Soto has managed an astonishing .510 ISO and an eye-popping .556 wOBA, reflecting one of the most dominant right-handed splits in baseball this season.
- Soto in July .385 batting average with 10 hits.
Make MLB Predictions on PrizePicks
With Orioles vs. Mets on Wednesday Night Baseball on ESPN, it's a perfect time to make your MLB predictions on PrizePicks. With only a few days until the All-Star Break, this is one of the last full slates until next week, with multiple games on TV.
Whether you're targeting hitters like Juan Soto or a David Peterson strikeout projection, there are hundreds of projections at your disposal on PrizePicks.
Just build your Lineup on PrizePicks with your MLB predictions and win real money if your picks are correct. All you have to do is pick More or Less on at least two player projections — like hits or pitcher strikeouts — to win.