Norway vs. England Prediction, World Cup Picks, Lineups for Quarterfinals Today

Norway and England meet in the World Cup Quarterfinals on Saturday, July 11, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, with kickoff set for 5 p.m. ET. England is favored to advance, with a 1.47x payout on PrizePicks, while the underdog Norway has a 2.56x payout.

Erling Haaland has become a social media darling during this tournament, but he’s also performing on the pitch. He’s scored 7 of Norway’s 12 goals at World Cup 2026, including both goals to carry them past Brazil.

England overcame the curse of Azteca and a red card to defeat Mexico, as Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham came through at the attacking end. The duo have scored 9 of their nation’s 10 goals, as the Three Lions look to finally bring football home.

Below, we’ll break down our Norway vs. England prediction and picks for Saturday afternoon’s World Cup Quarterfinals match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Norway vs. England prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now! 

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Norway vs. England Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, July 11

How to watch Norway vs. England: FOX (English) / Peacock & Telemundo (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 5 p.m. ET

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Stadium), Miami Gardens, Florida

Norway were considered a dark horse coming into World Cup 2026, but they’ve exceeded many expectations with their run to the Quarterfinals. Their 2-1 victory over Brazil saw them navigate a very cagey affair, with ST Erling Haaland’s goals at the 79th and 90th minutes seeing them through.

Haaland’s goal-scoring exploits were well known to fans of European football through his time at Manchester City, but he’s carried that to the international stage with aplomb. His 7 tallies sit one shy of Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappé atop the Golden Boot leaderboard, and Haaland's size and pace make him a nightmare to defend.

His ability to create space and find high-quality shots is a key reason Norway leads all nations with 0.18 xG per shot attempt. They also rank third with a 22.64% conversion rate.

He’s going to need help on Saturday if he’s to lead Norway into the World Cup Semifinals. During World Cup 2026, England has ranked in the top 10 defensively on a per-match basis in xG, goals, shots on target, and passes per defensive action.

England excels in the air at both ends of the pitch. They’re winning aerial duels at a 56.7% clip that ranks seventh among all nations, and only Uruguay averaged more than England’s 4.4 headed shots per match in the tournament.

This is important for two reasons. First, Haaland is very dangerous in the air, as is RW Alexander Sørloth. England’s ability to defend headers could limit their impact at the attacking end.

Second, England loves to win and take corner kicks. Norway aren’t bad in the air, winning 55.5% of the time, but they’re going to need to be diligent and disciplined on defense.

That’s not been something they’ve done well. Norway are allowing 31.2 penalty box touches per match, eighth-most in the tournament. And when you look at the nations allowing more — teams like Qatar, New Zealand, and Saudi Arabia — that stat becomes more damning.

England rank seventh with 32.6 touches inside the penalty area in attack, a key reason why their 6.4 shots on target per match ranks fifth. 

Defensively, England are as best equipped as any nation to deal with Haaland. LB Nico O’Reilly, CB Marc Guéhi, and CB John Stones were all teammates this season with the Norwegian striker, and CM Declan Rice has plenty of experience matching up with him.

Rice is expected to be available to start after dealing with illness and missing training this week, and Guéhi appears to be fine after a hamstring concern. Both will be needed to help solidify England’s spine against Haaland’s threat.

Another reason Rice’s presence is key is his ability to defend Norway CM Martin Ødegaard. The two are teammates at Arsenal, and when Haaland is getting into dangerous areas, it’s often Ødegaard finding him. 

The Three Lions will look for Bellingham and Kane to continue linking up in and around the penalty area. Both players are managing better than 2 SOT per match and are converting at a 31% clip or better in the tournament. 

If they can keep Norway pinned back and limit Haaland’s threat going the other way, they could be heading for a politically and emotionally charged matchup with Argentina in the Semifinals. 

Norway vs. England: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total Goals for World Cup Quarterfinals

England enters today’s match as strong favorites, returning a 1.47x payout if they advance, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Norway hopes that Haaland’s goal-scoring abilities will be enough to offset their defensive concerns and carry them to victory.

Here are the full payouts for the Norway vs. England match on PrizePicks.

To Advance: Norway – 2.56x | England – 1.47x

90-Minute Winner: Norway – 3.57x | Draw – 3.33x | England – 1.85x

Spread: England -1.5 (3.33x Payout) 

Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.66x | Under – 2.12x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.51x | No 2.43x

Make your Norway vs. England prediction on the spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks —available in 35 states!

Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Norway vs. England Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup Quarterfinals

Here are the key stats and trends for Norway vs. England before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• Harry Kane and Erling Haaland are both thriving at this World Cup, with a combined 13 goals scored between them. AM Jude Bellingham isn’t far back with 4 of his own.
• Norway’s 0.18 xG per shot leads the tournament, while England ranks 10th with 0.12 xG per attempt.
• Norway’s 22.64% conversion rate is third behind only Japan and the Netherlands, and they’re averaging 2.4 goals per match from 5.0 shots on target. 
• Both nations are executing at high levels in attack. Norway averages 2.62 more goals than expected, while England’s 1.11 goals vs. expected ranks in the top half of the competition.
• Only France, Germany, and Spain have more accurate shots on target per match than England’s 6.4 per contest. 
• England has been dominant offensively from set pieces, registering 4.6 shots per match. Set pieces have accounted for 18.18% of their goals in the competition.

Lock in your Norway vs. England prediction for the World Cup 2026 now!

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Norway vs. England Lineups for Quarterfinals – Saturday, July 11

Here are the projected Norway vs. England lineups for today's World Cup 2026 match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

Norway Lineup vs. England Today

Projected Formation: 4-3-3

• Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
• Defense: Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjørn Heggem, David Møller Wolfe
• Midfield: Patrick Berg, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard
• Forwards: Alexander Sørloth, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa

England Lineup vs. Norway Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
• Defense: Dedje Spence, Ezri Konsa, Marc Guéhi, Nico O’Reilly
• Midfield: Declan Rice, Eliot Anderson, Jude Bellingham
• Forwards: Bukayo Saka, Harry Kane, Anthony Gordon

Norway vs. England Picks, Player Stats for Quarterfinals: 7/11/26

Here are the top Norway vs. England player picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, July 11. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Erling Haaland and Harry Kane.

Norway ST Erling Haaland Pick vs. England: 3.5 Shots 

• Erling Haaland has taken at least 4 shots in all four of his World Cup 2026 appearances, averaging 4.5 shots per contest.
• Among players with at least 180 minutes played, Haaland ranks eighth in shots taken per match, third in shots on target, and second in xG.
• When you exclude penalties, Haaland ranks first among those players with 1.08 xG. He also ranks behind only Messi in shots on target per match, averaging 3.0 per outing.
• Haaland has accounted for 18 of Norway’s 45 shots in the tournament, despite not playing against France.
• England are allowing 10.4 shots per match on the whole, and Mexico ST Raúl Jiméénez attempted a staggering 8 shots in their Round of 16 fixture. 

Combine Norway + Haaland World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

England ST Harry Kane Pick vs. Norway: 0.5 Goals 

• Harry Kane has scored 6 goals at World Cup 2026, ranking just behind only Kylian Mbappé (8), Lionel Messi (8), and Haaland (7).
• Kane is a threat both with his feet and in the air. His 3-headed goals lead all players, but he’s also capable of scoring from further out, as he did with his winner vs. DR Congo. 
• The England striker is also clinical. He’s averaging 1.22 goals per match from just 3.86 shots and 2.03 SOT per outing. He’s also notched 0.18 xG per attempt, with a 31.33% conversion rate. 
• Norway has conceded 14.6 shots and 4.6 shots on target per match, with 88.89% of opposing goals coming from inside the penalty area. 

Combine England + Harry Kane World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Make Your Norway vs. England Prediction on PrizePicks

Norway vs. England could become the Erling Haaland vs. Harry Kane Show, with both elite strikers in stellar form. Which player gets more support from his teammates could be the deciding factor in this World Cup Quarterfinals clash.

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Norway vs. England picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.