Norway vs. England Pick: Will Erling Haaland, Harry Kane Score a Goal Today?

The final doubleheader of World Cup 2026 arrives on Saturday, July 11, with England vs. Norway at 5:00 p.m. ET, followed by Argentina vs. Switzerland at 9:00 p.m. ET on FOX. The stars will be out for today’s Quarterfinals slate, from England ST Harry Kane and Norway ST Erling Haaland to Argentina ST Lionel Messi. 

England vs. Norway is shaping up to be the crown jewel of Saturday’s World Cup schedule, as two of the world’s best strikers, Kane and Haaland, collide. Further, a high-scoring fixture could be ahead with PrizePicks Team Picks featuring a 1.69x payout for over 2.5 goals scored.

With each player in the Golden Boot race, will Erling Haaland or Harry Kane score a goal today? Below, we’ll break down Haaland and Kane’s chances to score a goal, paired with Norway vs. England picks and projections found on PrizePicks.

Make your Norway vs. England picks for the World Cup Quarterfinals on PrizePicks now!

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Will Erling Haaland or Harry Kane Score a Goal in the World Cup Quarterfinals?

Haaland (7 goals) has the third-shortest payout to win the World Cup Golden Boot (7.14x), while Kane (6 goals) has the fourth-shortest payout to win the award (9.09x), via PrizePicks Team Picks. 

Haaland and Kane have the second and third-highest goal totals thus far, sitting a step behind France ST Kylian Mbappé and Argentina ST Lionel Messi, who are knotted for the top mark at 8 goals. Mbappé features the shortest payout to win the Golden Boot (2.08x), followed by Messi’s 2.38x.

This also coincides with France and Argentina’s chances of advancing to the World Cup Final. Les Bleus has the shortest payout to qualify for the Final (1.61x), and Argentina has a 2.22x payout ahead of Saturday’s battle with Switzerland.

With that in mind, Haaland and Kane have work to do if either is to win the Golden Boot. Of course, that also means advancing to the Semifinals, and England is favored to advance this evening (1.47x). 

According to FotMob, Haaland boasts 1.08 expected goals (97th percentile), 4.50 shots (95th percentile), and 3.00 shots on target per 90 (97th percentile). As usual, the Striking Viking is the epitome of efficiency with just 24.75 touches per 90 (20th percentile), yet he’s finding the back of the net time and time again.

Kane has carried his terrific 2025-26 Bundesliga season to the World Cup, holding 0.70 xG (85th percentile), 3.86 shots (89th percentile), and 2.03 shots on target (93rd percentile) per 90. His touches have also been limited to the tune of 25.60 per 90 (23rd percentile), but that hasn’t stopped Kane from logging 6 goals in five matches.

Now, let’s get to the question on everyone’s mind: Will Haaland or Kane score a goal in the World Cup Quarterfinals today? Below, we’ll highlight each striker’s projected stats on PrizePicks and break down their matchups on Saturday.

Erling Haaland Pick, World Cup Stats to Target vs. England

Here’s a full list of Erling Haaland’s projections vs. England for today’s World Cup Quarterfinals match, via PrizePicks. 

• 3.5 Shots
• 2.5 Shots on Target (Demon)
• 0.5 Shots Assisted
• 0.5 Goals (Demon)
• 0.5 Attempted Dribbles
• 10.5 Passes Attempted
• 19.5 Fantasy Score
• 0.5 Goal + Assist
• 0.5 Fouls Drawn (Goblin)

While PrizePicks suggests another busy day with 3.5 projected shots, Haaland’s 0.5-goal projection is a Demon. PrizePicks Demons are more difficult to win but mean higher payouts, and users can only pick More when selecting Demons.

Norway ST Erling Haaland vs. England: 0.5 Goals (Demon)

• Over four World Cup matches, Haaland has logged a brace in three appearances, taking his per-90 average to 1.75 goals (97th percentile).
• England has conceded 4.2 xG, which ranks as the fourth-lowest mark among teams in the Quarterfinals.
• However, the Three Lions just gave up 2 goals, 1.88 xGs, and 20 shots in their epic 3-2 win over Mexico in the Round of 16.
• They also have injury concerns in the backline, as right-back Reece James continues to battle a hamstring injury, Jarell Quansah entered the starting XI at right-back but received a red card vs. Mexico and was suspended two games, and CB Marc Guéhi recently picked up a hamstring injury.
• England’s 0.16 goals vs. xG conceded is a slight concern, ranking as the third-highest mark in the Quarterfinals — via Opta Analyst.
• The Three Lions have allowed a 27.28% xG rate on set pieces (second-highest in Quarterfinals), and that’s another worry against the 6-foot-4 Haaland with 1.25 headed shots per 90 (87th percentile).

Combine Norway + Erling Haaland World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Harry Kane Pick, World Cup Stats to Target vs. Norway

Check out Harry Kane’s projections vs. Norway for Saturday’s World Cup Quarterfinals match, per PrizePicks. 

• 3 Shots
• 2.5 Shots on Target (Demon)
• 0.5 Goals
• 15.5 Passes Attempted
• 17.5 Fantasy Score
• 0.5 Shots Assisted (Goblin)
• 1.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)
• 0.5 Fouls Drawn (Goblin)

Unlike Haaland, Kane’s 0.5-goal projection is not listed as a Demon today, suggesting a higher probability for England’s striker to rip one into the back of the net. That also means users can select More or Less for this projection. 

Does Kane’s higher probability to score a goal check out with his matchup against Norway?

England ST Harry Kane vs. Norway: 0.5 Goals

• Kane’s higher probability likely bakes in Norway’s defense that’s surrendered 9 goals and 8.1 xGs. For context, the Vikings are tied for the most xGs allowed among Quarterfinals teams, and that’s with teams like Belgium (8.1) and Morocco (7.8) having one more match under their belts.
• Opponents have totaled 14.60 shots per match with 65.8% of shots coming in the box vs. Norway, which sit as the highest and second-highest marks for defenses in the Quarterfinals.
• The Vikings have managed to limit teams to only 4.60 shots on target per match, but 10 of Kane’s 19 shots have been on target in the World Cup. His 6.09 touches in the box per 90 (76th percentile) could also elevate his chances of scoring a goal.
• Partially thanks to the team’s height, Norway has won 55.5% of aerial duels, perhaps limiting Kane’s 0.81 headed shots per 90 (78th percentile).
• Led by 1.3 goals per match over his last three appearances, will Kane log his seventh goal of the tournament on Saturday?

Combine England + Harry Kane World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Make Norway vs. England World Cup Quarterfinals Picks on PrizePicks

Two of the world’s best strikers collide in Norway vs. England, and each defense adds to Haaland and Kane’s chances of scoring a goal. The English have a beat-up backline from injuries, while Norway’s defense has been their weakness throughout World Cup 2026.

Which striker will help lead their team to victory and a World Cup Semifinals berth?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Norway vs. England picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.