For the fifth time in all competitions this season, Newcastle United will square off vs. Manchester City on Saturday, March 7, in the fifth round of the FA Cup, live at 3:00 p.m. ET on Peacock.
In the previous four Newcastle-Man City meetings, City has gone 3-0-1, with two of those victories occurring in the EFL Cup.
From a Premier League perspective, Man City is ranked No. 2 in the table, seven points behind first-place Arsenal. While Newcastle is still alive in the Champions League, they are currently 12th in the EPL table.
Below, we’ll break down our Newcastle vs. Man City FA Cup prediction and picks for Saturday’s clash at St. James’ Park. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make selections on players, goal totals, game winners, and more for Saturday's FA Cup action.
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Newcastle vs. Man City Prediction, Picks for Saturday, March 7
After defeating Man City 2-1 in an EPL match back in November, Newcastle has lost three straight meetings vs. City this season by a combined score of 7-2.
Ahead of Saturday’s FA Cup showdown, Newcastle United defeated Bournemouth and Aston Villa to earn a spot in the fifth round.
As for Man City, they cruised to wins over Exeter City (a League One club) and Salford City (a League Two club) in the FA Cup, winning both games by a combined score of 12-1.
With Newcastle and Man City still competing in the Champions League, managers Eddie Howe and Pep Guardiola could make some alterations to their lineups from recent matches.
That being said, Howe did recently mention that winning the FA Cup could be Newcastle’s best chance of securing European qualification next season, giving the team a bit more motivation in this game.
Newcastle vs. Man City Winner Payouts, Total, Spread
Man City enters Saturday’s match as road favorites, returning a 2.04x payout ($100 entry pays out $204) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Newcastle United are home underdogs with a 3.22x payout ($322 payout on a $100 entry) if they earn a victory, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your soccer picks in 35 states.
Winner Payout: Man City – 2.04x | Tie – 3.7x | Newcastle United – 3.22x
Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.32x)
Spread: Man City -1.5 (3.44x Payout)
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Newcastle vs. Man City Prediction on Winner
Here are some key stats to know to help you make your Newcastle United vs. Manchester City prediction on the winner in the 2026 FA Cup for Saturday, March 7. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on Playbook.
- Across the last 25 meetings between these sides in all competitions, Man City is 18-4-3 against Newcastle.
- In the EPL, Manchester City ranks second in average possession (59.6%) and expected goals (xG – 53.2).
- As the visiting team in all comps this season, Man City is 13-4-5, though one of those defeats was to Newcastle.
- Newcastle United has logged a 16-2-7 record at St. James’ Park in all competitions this season.
- However, Newcastle has gone 3-0-4 at home in their last seven home matchups.
- Newcastle manager Eddie Howe’s side has surrendered multiple goals in seven of their last nine home matches, which includes their 2-0 loss to Manchester City in the EFL Cup.
- Newcastle could excel at generating corners and opportunities, as they are first in the Premier League when it comes to corners taken (194).
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Newcastle United vs. Man City Lineups for FA Cup
Here are the projected Newcastle United vs. Man City lineups for today's FA Cup match. Lineups are not official.
Newcastle United Lineup vs. Man City: Projected 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Nick Pope
- Defense: Dan Burn, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Keiran Trippier
- Midfield: Joelinton, Sandro Tonali, Joe Willock
- Forwards: Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes, Anthony Elanga
Man City Lineup vs. Newcastle United: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: James Trafford
- Defense: Rayan Ait Nouri, Marc Guehi, Abdukodir Khusanov, Matheus Nunes
- Midfield: Rico Lewis, Nico Gonzalez, Bernardo Silva
- Forwards: Savinho, Phil Foden, Omar Marmoush
Newcastle United vs. Man City Picks for FA Cup Today
Here are two top Newcastle United vs. Man City picks to target on players for Saturday, March 7 on PrizePicks. Player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Omar Marmoush and Joelinton.
Man City F Omar Marmoush vs. Newcastle
Omar Marmoush Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 2.5 Shots, 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- Omar Marmoush has posted 2 or more shots in four of his last six EPL matches.
- Against Premier League opponents, Marmoush has the most shots per 90 (3.9) and fourth-most shots on target (1.2) on Man City’s roster.
- In each of his last two outings against Newcastle, Marmoush has produced 5 shots and 2 shots on target.
- Marmoush scored 2 goals versus Newcastle United in the EFL Cup matchup on February 4.
Newcastle United MF Joelinton vs. Man City
Joelinton Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Shots (Goblin), 1.5 Fouls (Goblin), 29.5 Passes Attempted
- Joelinton has taken at least 1 shot in nine consecutive EPL matches.
- He's recorded 1 or more shots in four of his five appearances since Bruno Guimaraes has been sidelined, since Feb. 10.
- On the season, Joelinton is averaging 1.5 shots per 90 minutes.
- As an aggressive midfielder, Joelinton has committed 2 or more fouls in five of his last six Premier League appearances.
- With a bigger role in Guimaraes’ absence, Joelinto has made 34-plus passes in each of his last three outings in all competitions.
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Make Your Newcastle vs. Man City Pick for FA Cup on PrizePicks
Newcastle United is looking for a way to earn European qualification for next season, and a win over Man City on Saturday could inch them closer to that reality.
At the same time, Manchester City will look to spoil Newcastle’s hopes in a hostile environment in a FA Cup clash on Saturday, March 7.
You can make your Newcastle vs. Man City prediction and picks on players on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on FA Cup games.
Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, total goals, and more, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued soccer and FA Cup predictions, picks, and analysis.
