Entering Tuesday’s second leg of competition in the Champions League, Newcastle United is up 6-1 on aggregate against Qarabag FK. Elimination is on the horizon for Qarabag FK and expectations were already low as the 22nd seed in the league phase.
On the other hand, Newcastle is expected to advance with ease, according to PrizePicks Team Picks.
Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK is slated to kick off at 3:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 24, live on Paramount+.
Below, we’ll discuss our Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK Champions League prediction and picks for Tuesday’s bout at St. James Park. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make selections on players, goal totals, and other stats!
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Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK Prediction, Picks
In the first leg matchup between Newcastle and Qarabag, Newcastle bagged 6 goals, with forward Anthony Gordon netting 4. Given the lopsided nature of the first meeting, Newcastle United can put things in neutral during the second leg.
After a 2-0-0 start in the Champions League this season, Qarabag FK has gone 1-1-5 in their last seven matches in the UCL. As for Newcastle United, manager Eddie Howe has his side sitting at a solid 5-2-2 record in Champions League competition.
Securing a win could be improbable for Qarabag FK, but they can possess a positive mindset knowing they are currently second in their domestic league (the Azerbaijan Premier League) with a 14-3-3 record under manager Qurban Qurbanov.
Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Newcastle United enters Tuesday’s match as massive home favorites, returning a 1.12x payout ($100 entry pays out $112) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Qarabag FK are road underdogs with a 12.5x ($1,250 payout on a $100 entry) payout if they find a way to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Winner Payout: Newcastle United – 1.12x | Tie – 9.09x | Qarabag FK – 12.5x
- Spread: Newcastle -2.5 (1.96.x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 1.69.x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.88x | No 1.88x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK Prediction
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK prediction on Tuesday, February 24.
- Qarabag FK has been outscored 20-6 across their last five Champions League competitions, including 12-1 over its last two.
- Among the remaining teams in the Champions League, Qarabag has the fewest expected goals (xG; 9.6), per Fotmob.com.
- On the flip side, Newcastle has earned the third-most xG (20.5) in UCL play.
- Newcastle United has had both teams score in each of their last eight matches across all competitions.
- Eddie Howe’s side has put the ball in the net at least twice in four of their last five contests.
- Although Qarabag FK is 11-1-4 in away matchups in all competitions this season, three of those losses occurred versus Champions League opponents.
- Qarabag has faced three EPL clubs (Newcastle, Liverpool, and Chelsea) in the UCL this season, and they’ve gone 0-1-2 — with 14 total goals allowed — in those matches.
Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK lineups for today's Champions League match. Lineups are not official.
Newcastle United Lineup vs. Qarabag FK: Projected 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Aaron Ramsdale
- Defense: Alex Murphy, Dan Burn, Sven Botman, Kieran Trippier
- Midfield: Joe Willock, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton
- Forwards: Harvey Barnes, William Osula, Jacob Murphy
Qarabag FK Lineup vs. Newcastle United: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Mateusz Kochalski
- Defense: Elvin Cafarquliyev, Kevin Medina, Badavi Huseynov, Matheus Silva
- Midfield: Marko Jankovic, Pedro Bicalho, Abdellah Zoubir, Joni Montiel, Leandro Andrade
- Forwards: Camilo Duran
Newcastle United vs. Club Brugge Picks for Champions League: Tuesday, February 24
Here are three top Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK picks to target on players for Tuesday, February 24 for PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Joelinton, Mateusz Kochalski, and William Osula.
Newcastle United M Joelinton Projections vs. Qarabag FK: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)
- Joelinton made a 31-minute appearance off the bench against Man City over the weekend, and he tallied 2 shots.
- Gets the green light to move forward in attack more with M Bruno Guimaraes sidelined due to an injury.
- Joelinton averages the fifth-most shots per 90 minutes (1.9) in Newcastle’s squad in UCL play.
Qarabag FK GK Mateusz Kochalski Projections vs. Newcastle United: 3.5 Goalie Saves (Goblin), 3.5 Goals Allowed (Demon)
- Mateusz Kochalski made 8 saves in the 6-1 defeat to Newcastle in the first leg.
- Has 4+ saves in four of his last five starts in the UCL.
- Qarabag has surrendered 4+ goals in three of Kochalski’s last four times in net.
Newcastle United F William Osula Projections vs. Qarabag FK: 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goal + Assist (Goblin)
- William Osula owns the second-most shots on target per 90 minutes (1.0) on Newcastle’s roster in EPL competitions.
- Newcastle could have plenty of players seeing action due to having such a big lead and the injuries they are dealing with.
- Osula is fourth in xG per 90 (0.23) and third in goals per 90 (0.35) among Newcastle United’s players.
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Make Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK Champions League Picks on PrizePicks
Newcastle United and Qarabag FK will be one of four Champions League games featured on Tuesday, though there isn’t much hype surrounding it due to the lopsided score in the first leg.
You can make your Newcastle United vs. Qarabag FK picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on UEFA Champions League games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued Champions League predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
