NASCAR Predictions for Sonoma 2026, Starting Lineup for Toyota/Save Mart 350

The NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 gets started on Sunday, June 28 at 3:30 p.m. ET at Sonoma Raceway in Sonoma, California on TNT.

Sunday’s race features 110 laps spanning 218.9 miles in the final road course race this season. Corey Heim captured last week’s inaugural Andruil 250 at the Naval Base Coronado in San Diego, which was the only street race event of 2026.

In the first two true road course races this season, Tyler Reddick won at Austin in March, while Shane van Gisbergen picked up the victory at Watkins Glen in May.

Today also marks the beginning of the five-week In-Season Challenge, seeding the top 32 drivers in the point standings in a single-elimination bracket with $10,000 going to the champion. The driver with the higher finish in the matchup advances to the next week, with the final race taking place in Indianapolis on July 26. 

Below, we'll break down our NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions and pick to win for Sunday’s race, including top driver picks for PrizePicks.

Make your NASCAR picks for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 on PrizePicks — and earn real money if you're right, available in California!

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NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Winner, Top 10 Predictions for Sonoma – Sunday, June 28

van Gisbergen won the pole last week in San Diego but suffered a crash early and completed 31 laps before finishing 38th.

The New Zealand native saw his streak of 10 consecutive road/street course races of finishing in the Top 7 come to a halt. During this stretch back to September 2024, SVG won six times on these courses and finished second twice.

One of SVG’s wins came at Sonoma Raceway last July, holding off Chase Briscoe and Chase Elliott. Since 2021, Kyle Larson has captured the checkered flag twice at Sonoma, along with Daniel Suarez and the recently retired Martin Truex Jr.

Heim recorded his first career NASCAR victory in 13 tries last Sunday, which also marked his first Top 10 finish. Elliott seeks his sixth consecutive Top 8 finish at Sonoma and that elusive first victory at this track in 10 attempts.

The favorite to win the Toyota/Save Mart 350 is Shane van Gisbergen entering Sunday's race, according to PrizePicks Team Picks.

SVG currently returns a 1.61x payout ($100 pays out $161) if he wins, while several other drivers, including Larson, are right behind him at a 6.66x payout to win at Sonoma, according to PrizePicks.

Payout multipliers listed below (like 2x) indicate real-money earnings if your NASCAR predictions are correct; for example, 2x on a $100 entry pays $200 if correct on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states, including California. “Yes” payouts represent a specific outcome occurring, whereas "No" payouts indicate the opposite.

NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Winner Payouts on PrizePicks

Here are the payouts for drivers to win the NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Winner from Sonoma Raceway on PrizePicks. Make your Toyota/Save Mart 350 pick on 'Yes' or 'No' to a driver to win.

• Shane van Gisbergen – Yes 1.61x | No 2.22x
• Kyle Larson – Yes 6.66x | No 1.07x
• Connor Zilisch – Yes 8.33x | No 1.05x
• Tyler Reddick – Yes 8.33x | No 1.05x
• Ty Gibbs – Yes 10x | No 1.03x
• Michael McDowell – Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x

Make your picks and predictions for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 on PrizePicks now.

NASCAR Starting Lineup for Toyota/Save Mart 350: Gibbs Earns Pole Position

The NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 qualifying took place on Saturday afternoon at Sonoma Raceway. Ty Gibbs is on the pole for the first time this season as he tries to bounce back from a 15th-place finish at San Diego.

Carson Hocevar begins on the top row for the third time in four weeks. Hocevar has placed 10th or lower in six of the last seven races, and his projected finishing position at PrizePicks sits at 8.5.

Here is the full NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 starting lineup at Sonoma Raceway for Sunday’s race at 3:30 p.m. ET on TNT. 

Row 1: Ty Gibbs / Carson Hocevar

Row 2: Kyle Larson / Michael McDowell

Row 3: Ross Chastain / Shane van Gisbergen

Row 4: Chase Briscoe / AJ Allmendinger

Row 5: Denny Hamlin / Joey Logano

Row 6: Tyler Reddick / Austin Hill

Row 7: William Byron / Christopher Bell

Row 8: Chris Buescher / Ryan Blaney

Row 9: Connor Zilisch / Chase Elliott

Row 10: Ryan Preece / John H. Nemechek

Row 11: Daniel Suarez / Alex Bowman

Row 12: Austin Cindric / Zane Smith

Row 13: Riley Herbst / Bubba Wallace

Row 14: Cole Custer / Josh Berry

Row 15: Todd Gilliand / Austin Dillon

Row 16: Ty Dillon / Erik Jones

Row 17: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. / Noah Gragson

Row 18: Brad Keselowski / Cody Ware

NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions, Driver Picks for Sonoma

Here are three of the top Toyota/Save Mart 350 picks to consider in the NASCAR race from Sonoma Raceway on Sunday. Top PrizePicks NASCAR picks are headlined by three drivers: Tyler Reddick, Ryan Blaney, and Chase Briscoe.

Tyler Reddick – 4.5 Finishing Position

Tyler Reddick to Finish Top 10 in Toyota/Save Mart 350: Yes 1.23x | No 1.58x

• Reddick is the top seed of the In-Season Challenge, squaring off with Alex Bowman in the first round.
• In two of the last three weeks, Reddick has posted his two lowest finishes of the season (25th at San Diego and 35th at Michigan).
• He has never finished in the Top 5 at Sonoma in five career races, while closing sixth last July.
• Reddick won at COTA earlier this season but has finished fifth or lower in five of the past six road/street course events.

Add Tyler Reddick to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Toyota/Save Mart 350.

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Ryan Blaney – 9.5 Finishing Position

Ryan Blaney to Finish Top 10 in Toyota/Save Mart 350: Yes 1.51x | No 1.14x

• Blaney is starting 16th today, marking the fifth time he begins a race 15th or lower. In the first four races, he finished 10th or worse three times.
• He has been consistent lately with five consecutive Top 10 finishes, capped off by placing ninth at San Diego.
• Blaney crashed out late in last year’s Sonoma event, finishing 36th. With that said, he's never closed lower than 10th in consecutive Sonoma races in his career.
• His last road course win came at the Charlotte ROVAL in 2018. Blaney placed eighth at COTA and 11th at Watkins Glen in this season’s road course events.

Add Ryan Blaney to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Toyota/Save Mart 350.

Chase Briscoe – 9.5 Finishing Position

Chase Briscoe to Finish Top 10 in Toyota/Save Mart 350: Yes 1.58x | No 1.88x

• Briscoe’s second-place finish at Sonoma last July marked the first time he closed higher than 17th in five races at that track. 
• In each of the last three weeks, Briscoe placed 10th or lower. This marks the first time he's endured a three-race stretch of not finishing ninth or higher once in 2026. 
• Briscoe finished fourth at Watkins Glen last month, also closing in the Top 9 five times in the last 16 road/street course events.
• He's finished 10th or worse in seven of 10 events this season when starting seventh or higher.

Add Chase Briscoe to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Toyota/Save Mart 350.

Make NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions on PrizePicks

Will van Gisbergen bounce back today on the road course, or will we see another shocker at Sonoma in the opener of the In-Season Challenge?

Don’t wait until lock — make your NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

There are unique picks on the NASCAR board for every race, including driver points and starting position; just pick at least two drivers to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on race winners on Team Picks, now available in 35 states, including California!

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