The NASCAR Xfinity 500 starts on Sunday, November 1 at 2 p.m. ET at Martinsville Speedway on NBC.
Sunday’s race features 263 laps spanning 500 miles at this short track. Only two races remain in the Chase for the Cup, finishing up with next Sunday’s championship at Homestead.
Kyle Larson won at Talladega last Sunday to remain atop the NASCAR points standings. Larson owns a 73-point advantage over Denny Hamlin and has a chance to wrap up the title today with 59 points.
Below, we'll break down our NASCAR Xfinity 500 predictions and pick to win for Sunday’s race, including top driver picks for PrizePicks.
Make your NASCAR picks for the Xfinity 500 on PrizePicks now!
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NASCAR Xfinity 500, Top 10 Predictions for Martinsville – Sunday, November 1
Larson’s Chase run has been incredible, finishing first or second five times in the last eight races. In the first 27 races this season, Larson owned one second-place finish and no wins.
He's posted three victories in the past seven events while also compiling a ninth-place finish in the Cook Out 400 at Martinsville in late March.
Chase Elliott came out on top of the Cook Out 400 ahead of Hamlin, who led for 292 laps and captured each of the first two stages. It marked Elliott’s fifth consecutive top-four finish at Martinsville since 2024.
Hamlin, who grew up in Virginia, has put together six top-five finishes at Martinsville in the past eight events. He’s only won once here since 2016, coming in March 2025 at the Cook Out 400.
William Byron dominated last October’s Xfinity 500, leading for 304 laps and winning each of the first two stages for his third career Martinsville victory. Byron is still seeking his first win of the 2026 season.
NASCAR Xfinity 500 Winner Payouts on PrizePicks
The favorite to win the Xfinity 500 is Denny Hamlin, according to PrizePicks.
Hamlin currently returns a 3.44x payout ($100 pays out $344) if he wins, while Ryan Blaney is right behind him at a 5.55x payout to win at Martinsville.
Here are the payouts for drivers to win the NASCAR Xfinity 500 from Martinsville Speedway on PrizePicks. Make your Xfinity 500 pick on 'Yes' or 'No' to a driver to win.
Make your NASCAR picks for the Xfinity 500 on PrizePicks — and earn real money if you're right, available in Virginia!
Payout multipliers listed below (like 2x) indicate real-money earnings if your NASCAR predictions are correct; for example, 2x on a $100 entry pays $200 if correct on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states, including Virginia.
“Yes” payouts represent a specific outcome occurring, whereas "No" payouts indicate the opposite.
NASCAR Starting Lineup for Xfinity 500: Hamlin Earns Pole Position
Qualifying for the NASCAR Xfinity 500 took place on Saturday afternoon. Hamlin captured his eighth pole of the season, while becoming the oldest Martinsville pole winner in NASCAR Cup history at 45 years old.
Four of Hamlin’s five wins this season came when he won the pole, but he hasn’t stood in the winner’s circle since June 14 at Pocono.
Ty Gibbs starts alongside Hamlin on the front row, as the driver of the #54 Toyota has placed 10th or lower in five consecutive races. Gibbs posted his first career top-10 finish at Martinsville in eight tries in March, finishing fourth.
Here is the full NASCAR Xfinity 500 starting lineup at Martinsville Speedway for Sunday’s race.
Row 1: Denny Hamlin / Ty Gibbs
Row 2: Kyle Larson / Austin Cindric
Row 3: Joey Logano / Ryan Preece
Row 4: Alex Bowman / William Byron
Row 5: Chase Elliott / Josh Berry
Row 6: Chase Briscoe / Tyler Reddick
Row 7: Ryan Blaney / Christopher Bell
Row 8: Bubba Wallace / Ross Chastain
Row 9: Austin Hill / Chris Buescher
Row 10: Connor Zilisch / Austin Dillon
Row 11: Cole Custer / Todd Gilliand
Row 12: Brad Keselowski / Daniel Suarez
Row 13: Carson Hocevar / Michael McDowell
Row 14: Riley Herbst / Ty Dillon
Row 15: Shane van Gisbergen / Erik Jones
Row 16: Noah Gragson / AJ Allmendinger
Row 17: Zane Smith / Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Row 18: John H. Nemechek / Josh Bilicki
Row 19: Cody Ware
NASCAR Xfinity 500 Predictions, Driver Picks for Martinsville
Here are three of the top Xfinity 500 picks to target in the NASCAR race from Martinsville Speedway on Sunday.
Top PrizePicks NASCAR picks are headlined by three drivers: Chase Elliott, Austin Cindric, and Tyler Reddick.
Chase Elliott – 8.5 Finishing Position
Chase Elliott to Finish Top 10 Payout: Yes 1.51x | No 1.58x
- Elliott is the only driver to finish in the top five in each of the last five Martinsville events.
- Since winning the season’s first short track event at Martinsville, Elliott has placed 15th or worse in four of the past five short track races.
- Since the beginning of June, Elliott has finished eighth or higher in four of the last 20 races.
- Elliott starts ninth today, which has not fared well for him. In 11 races he began 10th or higher, he finished ninth or lower eight times.
Add Chase Elliott to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Xfinity 500.
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Austin Cindric – 10.5 Finishing Position
Austin Cindric to Finish Top 10 Payout: Yes 1.88x | No 1.51x
- Cindric placed eighth in March’s Martinsville race, marking his third top-10 finish at this track in nine tries.
- He owns four top-10 finishes in the last 19 short tracks races since 2024. Two of them came this season at Martinsville (eighth) and Richmond (third).
- Cindric crashed out at Talladega last week, his fourth race ending in an accident. The next week after doing so, he placed 32nd, 19th, and 26th.
- He tied a career-best with nine top-10 finishes, including three during the first eight Chase events.
Add Austin Cindric to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Xfinity 500.
Tyler Reddick – 11.5 Finishing Position
Tyler Reddick to Finish Top 10 Payout: Yes 1.92x | No 1.35x
- Reddick owns a pair of top-10 finishes in 13 Martinsville events, with his highest finish being seventh in April 2024.
- His three-race streak of placing eighth or higher ended last Sunday at Talladega, closing a season-worst 37th.
- Short tracks have not been friendly to Reddick, placing higher than 11th three times in the last 14 on this layout.
- Reddick has bounced back from poor finishes this season, compiling four top-11 finishes after closing 30th or lower.
Add Tyler Reddick to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Xfinity 500.
Make NASCAR Xfinity 500 Predictions on PrizePicks
The Chase for the Cup has two races remaining with a champion potentially being crowned today if Larson finishes on top. Can he close out a title today, or will the door remain open heading to Homestead next Sunday?
Don’t wait until lock — make your NASCAR Xfinity 500 predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
There are unique picks on the NASCAR board for every race, including driver points and starting position. Just pick at least two drivers to build your lineup on PrizePicks or make your picks on race winners on Team Picks — now available in 36 states, including Virginia!
Stay locked in to Playbook throughout the season for more NASCAR picks, predictions, and news.
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