The NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 gets started this afternoon on Sunday, September 27, at 3:00 p.m. ET at Kansas Speedway on USA Network.
Sunday’s race features 267 laps spanning 400 miles at this intermediate track. Today marks the fourth race in the Chase for the Cup, concluding with a driver being crowned champion at Homestead on November 8.
Three different drivers have won each of the three events during the Chase, capped off by Joey Logano’s victory last Saturday at Bristol. Christopher Bell (Darlington) and Kyle Larson (Gateway) captured the first two races during this 10-event Chase stretch.
Below, we'll break down our NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 predictions and pick to win for Sunday’s race, including top driver picks for PrizePicks.
Make your NASCAR picks for the Hollywood Casino 400 on PrizePicks — and earn real money if you're right, available in Kansas!
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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400, Top 10 Predictions for Kansas – Sunday, September 27
NASCAR regular-season points leader Denny Hamlin is coming off an eighth-place finish at Bristol last Saturday. It marked Hamlin's best finish through the three Chase races, but he has seen success at Kansas over the years.
Hamlin placed second at this event last September behind Chase Elliott despite leading for 159 laps and capturing each of the first two stages. At the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway in April, Hamlin finished fourth, his ninth Top-5 finish in the last 11 races in the Sunflower State.
Elliott owns a pair of wins at this track, with his first victory coming in 2018. He has placed in the Top 10 in six of the past seven at Kansas.
Reddick started the season on fire with five wins in the first nine events, capped off by the April triumph at Kansas. He finished 18th or worse in the last two Chase races, while placing 10th or below in three of the past four events at intermediate tracks.
The favorite to win the Hollywood Casino 400 is Kyle Larson, entering Sunday's race (3:00 p.m. ET), according to PrizePicks Team Picks.
Larson currently has a 4.54x payout ($100 pays out $454) if he wins, while Hamlin is right behind him at a 4.76x payout to win at Kansas, according to PrizePicks.
Payout multipliers listed below (like 2x) indicate real-money earnings if your NASCAR predictions are correct; for example, 2x on a $100 entry pays $200 if correct on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states, including Kansas. “Yes” payouts represent a specific outcome occurring, whereas "No" payouts indicate the opposite.
NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Winner Payouts on PrizePicks
Here are the payouts for drivers to win the NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Winner from Kansas Speedway on PrizePicks. Make your Hollywood Casino 400 pick on 'Yes' or 'No' to a driver to win.
NASCAR Starting Lineup for Hollywood Casino 400: Logano Earns Pole Position
The NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 qualifying on Saturday was cancelled due to rain for a second straight week. According to qualifying metrics, Logano will start in the pole position for the third time this season on Sunday.
Logano crashed out at Phoenix in March in his first pole win, while finishing third at Gateway two weeks ago. He has not fared well at this track, placing 14th or lower in four of the last five tries at Kansas. Logano posted a 21st-place finish last September and concluded 30th in the April event.
Larson has compiled Top-8 finishes in nine of the past 10 outings at Kansas, including three victories in 2021, 2024, and 2025. The last two wins came in the spring race, as he finished sixth here last September.
Logano and Larson are starting on the first row for the second straight week. Larson has yet to finish outside the Top 5 in three Chase events, including placing second at Bristol.
According to Driver Averages, Larson has put together a driver rating of 111.0 or higher in six of the last seven Kansas races.
Here is the full NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 starting lineup at Kansas Speedway for Sunday’s race at 3:00 p.m. ET on USA Network.
Row 1: Joey Logano / Kyle Larson
Row 2: Christopher Bell / Carson Hocevar
Row 3: Ty Gibbs / Denny Hamlin
Row 4: Bubba Wallace / William Byron
Row 5: Ryan Preece / Josh Berry
Row 6: Austin Cindric / Chris Buescher
Row 7: Ross Chastain / Daniel Suarez
Row 8: Tyler Reddick / Brad Keselowski
Row 9: Shane van Gisbergen / Chase Elliott
Row 10: Austin Dillon / Todd Gilliand
Row 11: Noah Gragson / Michael McDowell
Row 12: Chase Briscoe / AJ Allmendinger
Row 13: Ryan Blaney / John H. Nemechek
Row 14: Connor Zilisch / Zane Smith
Row 15: Cole Custer / Erik Jones
Row 16: Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. / Austin Hill
Row 17: Alex Bowman / Riley Herbst
Row 18: Cody Ware / Ty Dillon
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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Predictions, Driver Picks for Kansas
Here are three of the top Hollywood Casino 400 picks to target in the NASCAR race from Kansas Speedway on Sunday. Top PrizePicks NASCAR picks are headlined by three drivers: Christopher Bell, Ty Gibbs, and Bubba Wallace.
Christopher Bell – 5.5 Finishing Position
Christopher Bell to Finish Top 10 in Hollywood Casino 400 via PrizePicks Team Picks: Yes 1.44x | No 2.12x
- In the last 10 Kansas events, Bell closed in the Top 8 eight times, including a third-place finish last September.
- Bell owns a pair of Top-4 finishes in the Chase, highlighted by his win at Darlington on September 6.
- In nine races at intermediate tracks this season, Bell owns four second-place finishes and four finishes of 20th or worse.
- This marks the third time in 2026 that Bell is starting in the Top 3. He placed fourth at Las Vegas and 19th at North Wilkesboro in the other two races, beginning in the first two rows.
Add Christopher Bell to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks!
Ty Gibbs – 7.5 Finishing Position
Ty Gibbs to Finish Top 10 in Hollywood Casino 400 via PrizePicks Team Picks: Yes 1.72x | No 1.07x
- Gibbs has not fared well at Kansas, finishing 14th or lower in six of eight tries.
- In the last nine events overall, Gibbs has placed higher than sixth five times, including closing fifth at Bristol. However, he has not pulled off consecutive Top-6 finishes since July.
- In his previous five races after posting a driver rating of at least 100, he responded with an eighth-place finish or lower four times.
- Gibbs begins fifth today, which has been a toss-up where he finishes. In 12 races starting fifth or higher in 2026, he closed seventh or higher six times.
Add Ty Gibbs to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks!
Bubba Wallace – 9.5 Finishing Position
Bubba Wallace to Finish Top 10 in Hollywood Casino 400 via PrizePicks Team Picks: Yes 1.66x | No 1.31x
- Wallace posted consecutive Top-5 finishes in the last two Kansas races. Prior to this mini-hot streak, he placed higher than fifth twice in the previous 15 Kansas events.
- After placing seventh at Bristol, he has finished higher than ninth in consecutive races once this season.
- Since finishing ninth at Texas in May, Wallace has placed 20th or lower in four of the last six events at intermediate tracks.
- He starts seventh this afternoon, which has been unlucky for Wallace. In the previous two races he began seventh this season, he closed 20th at Richmond and 14th at Gateway.
Add Bubba Wallace to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks!
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Make NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Predictions on PrizePicks
Will we see a fourth different driver win at the Chase for the Cup this afternoon at Kansas Speedway? There's plenty on the line with seven races remaining before another champion is crowned for the 2026 season.
Don’t wait until lock — make your NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
There are unique picks on the NASCAR board for every race, including driver points and starting position; just pick at least two drivers to build your lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on race winners on Team Picks, now available in 36 states, including Kansas!
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