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Top MLB DFS Picks, 9/24: Target Pitchers Jacob deGrom, Max Fried

Rangers pitcher Jacob deGrom throws a ball in an MLB game.
AP Photo/Michael Wyke

Even though the MLB playoff seeding is almost set, there's plenty of baseball to watch tonight, as a handful of heavyweight hurlers take the mound, among them Rangers stud Jacob deGrom.

Top MLB DFS Picks, 9/24

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Rangers P Jacob deGrom 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed 

  • The veteran has allowed a 12% barrel rate, a 51% hard-hit rate, and a 42% flyball rate across his last 109 plate appearances.
  • In his last three starts, deGrom has surrendered 11 earned runs over 17 innings pitched.
  • In their last 471 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, the Minnesota Twins own a 52% hard-hit rate and a 32% flyball rate, presenting a challenging matchup for deGrom.
  • The slumping Twins are 3-7 their last 10 games, 17 back from the top of the division.

Phillies P Jesús Luzardo 6 Strikeouts 

  • Over Luzardo's last 126 plate appearances, he's held opponents to just a 7.6% barrel rate, a 31% hard-hit rate, and a low 21% flyball rate.
  • The Marlins offense, in their last 287 plate appearances against lefties, has been underwhelming with an 8% barrel rate, a sub-45% hard-hit rate, and a sub-25% flyball rate.
  • In Luzardo’s last three starts, he struck out 24 batters, including 8 strikeouts on 100 pitches over six full innings in his most recent outing against the Marlins.
  • Luzardo stares down his former team, the Miami Marlins, which puts the revenge narrative into play.

Yankees Max Fried 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed

  • In Fried's last 132 plate appearances, he's has allowed just a 4.5% barrel rate, a 42% hard-hit rate, and a minimal 12% flyball rate.
  • Fried has struck out 20 batters and allowed just 5 earned runs across 19 innings pitched in his last three starts.
  • The Chicago White Sox, in their last 156 plate appearances against left-handed pitching, have struggled with a sub-7% barrel rate, a 41% hard-hit rate, and a low 23% flyball rate.
  • Playing out the string, the White Sox have lost nine of their last ten.

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about the author

Shayne Trail is a Penn State Smeal College of Business graduate, and is the President of the @HallofFameFund (on X) where he positions historically profitable sports trends into investments. Shayne has expertise in all major sports, but writes mostly about NFL, MLB, and NBA for Playbook.

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