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MLB Cheat Sheet Today: Top MLB DFS Picks – Friday, July 4

White Sox SP Adrian Houser is a top MLB DFS pick today on PrizePicks today, Friday, July 4.
AP Photo/Nick Wass

The Fourth of July MLB slate showcases a full games all day long, with all 30 teams in action on America's Independence Day. Headlining the MLB DFS slate, the Astros and Dodgers meet in Los Angeles at 9:10 p.m. ET for the start of their three-game series.

Welcome to Friday’s MLB DFS Picks, as we’ll break down today’s MLB games and player projections to give you the best MLB DFS picks for PrizePicks for July 4, including pitcher strikeout projections and hitter projections to target today.

Let’s break down some of the best picks to target for the Friday MLB DFS slate on PrizePicks.

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MLB DFS Picks on PrizePicks: Friday, 7/4

Here are some of the top MLB DFS picks and predictions on PrizePicks today. Use this analysis to help you build a stacked MLB Lineup on PrizePicks for Friday, July 4. Click each pick to read more.

Angels P Kyle Hendricks — 2.5 Strikeouts

Angels vs. Blue Jays Prediction – 7:07 p.m. ET

  • Angels P Kyle Hendricks isn’t known as a strikeout pitcher, but has put up at least five strikeouts in two of his last three trips to the mound.
  • Hendricks struck out five batters against the Nationals in his last start. It marked the sixth time in his last 10 starts he has eclipsed his strikeout projection.
  • In seven of eight road outings, Hendricks has posted three strikeouts or more.
  • Hendricks will be tested against red-hot Toronto lineup tonight, who owns the lowest strikeout rate in baseball at 17.6%.
  • In 16 career at-bats against current Blue Jays, Hendricks has recorded only one strikeout.

Guardians P Slade Cecconi — 4.5 Strikeouts

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction – 7:10 p.m. ET

  • Guardians P Slade Cecconi has struck out five batters or more in five of eight starts this season.
  • Cecconi posted six strikeouts the last time he faced the Tigers in a 3-1 victory on May 23.
  • In 12 of the past 14 series openers, opposing pitchers facing Detroit have eclipsed their strikeout projection.
  • In 18 of the last 24 games, opposing right-handed starting pitchers have compiled five strikeouts or more against the Tigers.
  • Cecconi’s strikeout rate has jumped from 18.9% last season in Arizona to 23.5% this season in Cleveland.

White Sox P Adrian Houser — 4 Strikeouts

White Sox vs. Rockies Prediction – 8:10 p.m. ET

  • White Sox P Adrian Houser has stepped up since entering the rotation, striking out five or more batters in four of his past six starts. 
  • Houser struck out five batters in a 1-0 win over the Giants last Saturday.
  • The White Sox face a Rockies’ squad that has compiled 531 strikeouts against opposing starting pitchers this season, which is most in MLB.
  • The Rockies have struck out five times or more in each of the last 12 games against opposing right-handed starters.
  • Six different Colorado hitters own a strikeout rate of 24% or higher, including 3B Ryan McMahon, who has struck out nine times in the last five games.

Orioles CF Cedric Mullins — 0.5 Total Bases

Orioles vs. Braves Prediction – 7:15 p.m. ET

  • Orioles CF Cedric Mullins has racked up at least one hit in four of the last six games. 
  • However, Mullins has recorded only four hits in his last 12 road contests since May 23.
  • Mullins owns the second-lowest XBA among Baltimore regulars at .216, while striking out at a 24.4% rate, a career-high.
  • Mullins faces Atlanta P Spencer Strider tonight, who has struck out the Orioles veteran three times in three at-bats.

Giants DH Rafael Devers — 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Giants vs. Athletics Prediction – 10:05 p.m. ET

  • Giants DH Rafael Devers is riding a three-game hitting streak, including driving in three runs in Thursday’s win at Arizona.
  • Since getting traded to San Francisco last month, Devers has racked up five extra-base hits. He last homered on the road against the Yankees on June 6 as a member of the Red Sox.
  • In each of the last four series openers, Devers has been limited to less than tonight’s hits, runs, and RBI projection.
  • Devers is 1-of-6 in his career against Athletics P J.P. Sears heading into tonight’s opener in Sacramento. 
  • Sears has struggled at home this season, allowing 12 home runs and a wOBA of .429, compared to a .295 clip on the road.

Make MLB DFS Picks on PrizePicks

There’s exciting action on Friday’s MLB slate, including nine interleague matchups and weekend matchups getting under way. With 15 MLB games on tap, now is time to build your MLB Lineup on PrizePicks.

Just pick More or Less at least two MLB player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Use the players above to build your Lineups around, or use a 6-Pick Lineup to reach up to 2000x payouts.

Check out the Playbook for more MLB DFS picks and analysis all the way through the season.

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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