Mexico vs. England Picks for World Cup Round of 16: Julián Quiñones, Harry Kane

Following Brazil vs. Norway, Mexico vs. England in the World Cup Round of 16 gets underway at 8:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 5. PrizePicks Team Picks’ projections view this contest as a true toss-up, with Mexico holding a 1.92x payout to advance compared to England’s 1.81x payout.

This highly anticipated matchup should have everything you can ask for, as two storied nations meet in the legendary Azteca Stadium in Mexico City. Mexico supporters should help create a massive home-field advantage, as they looked to keep England awake on Saturday night.

Find our full Mexico vs. England prediction for the World Cup Round of 16 HERE

Tonight’s Round of 16 match certainly has its headliners, from England ST Harry Kane to Mexico LW Julián Quiñones. But who could turn in the best performances with a World Cup quarterfinals berth on the line?

Below, we’ll circle our Mexico vs. England picks for World Cup player projections on PrizePicks.

Make your Mexico vs. England picks and predictions on PrizePicks now!

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Top Mexico vs. England Picks for World Cup Round of 16 – Sunday, July 5

As seen in our Mexico vs. England prediction, the Three Lions have major right-back concerns, with Reece James trending to be out while Djed Spence is unlikely to start due to injury.

England has conceded only 3 goals and 2.3 expected goals (xG) over four matches, which is tied for the third-lowest mark at World Cup 2026, via FotMob. However, we saw DR Congo LW Brian Cipenga shred the left side of the English defense for the entire first half in the Round of 32.

On the other side of the pitch, Mexico boasts a strong defense with four consecutive clean sheets and 2.3 xG conceded (tied for third). 

Goals could be difficult to come by on Sunday night, as PrizePicks Team Picks gives under 2.5 goals a 1.56x payout compared to 2.32x for the over. Will that mean little success from star players in the Round of 16?

Below, we’ll break down player projections on PrizePicks for Julián Quiñones, Harry Kane, and more.

Mexico LW Julián Quiñones vs. England: 2 Shots

• We’ve mentioned England’s issue at right-back, and that should be a green light for left winger Julián Quiñones.
• DR Congo LW Brian Cipenga torched the English with 1 goal, 3 shots, and 7 touches in the box in the Round of 32.
• Look for Mexico to copy DR Congo’s tactic, attacking the right side of the Three Lions’ defense.
• If that’s the case, Quiñones is more than capable of shining, proven by his 3 goals, 2.97 shots per 90 (82nd percentile), and 75.0% successful dribble rate (85th percentile).
• Frankly, Quiñones is a big step up in quality compared to Cipenga, who was making England’s defense look silly.
• If Quiñones gets any one-on-one matchups with England RB Djed Spence tonight, Spence is likely burnt toast with 1.56 recoveries per 90 (ninth percentile), paired with a brutal showing in the Round of 32.

Combine Mexico + Julián Quiñones World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Mexico MF Érik Lira vs. England: 39.5 Passes Attempted

• If Mexico is to contend for the upset win tonight, the midfield is a huge key. England has a 64.4% average possession (fourth) compared to Mexico’s 48.4% (25th).
• El Tri are just fine conceding possession in their disciplined defensive formation at times, but that could come back to bite Mexico against a dangerous England attack led by ST Harry Kane.
• If the Three Lions elect to move defensive midfielder Declan Rice to right-back due to injuries, this could shift the possession battle. Rice boasts a 92.6% successful pass rate (91st percentile) and 4.30 chances created per 90 (100th percentile), but those categories would be limited if he’s moved to the back line.
• With that said, Mexico midfielder Érik Lira may have more possession with the chance to rack up passes in this scenario. He’s provided 40.43 successful passes per 90 (57th percentile), which sit above this projection.
• Over three World Cup appearances, Lira has reached 45 pass attempts in two outings.

Combine Mexico + Érik Lira World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

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England ST Harry Kane vs. Mexico: 1.5 Shots (Discount)

PrizePicks is offering a special Discount on Harry Kane’s shots for Mexico vs. England, dropping his 3-shot projection to 1.5 for a limited time. 

• Harry Kane’s firmly in the Golden Boot race, touting 5 goals over four World Cup matches.
• That’s meant a healthy volume of shots, as the superstar striker has tallied 4.58 shots (94th percentile) and 2.29 shots on target per 90 (92nd percentile).
• Kane reached at least 3 shots in all four World Cup appearances, putting him in reach of this 1.5-shot discount. He’s even logged 2 shots on target in three of four appearances.
• Mexico’s defense has few holes in its armor, but the unit has yielded a 34.38% shot rate off set pieces (tied for 13th-highest), per Opta Analyst. Perhaps this is where Kane could rip shots toward the goal, with England averaging 5.5 shots per match from set pieces (tied for fifth-most).

Combine England + Harry Kane World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Make Mexico vs. England World Cup Picks on PrizePicks

Will Mexico rally behind a ruckus crowd in Azteca Stadium in Sunday night’s World Cup Round of 16 battle against England? The English have clear concerns at right-back, potentially opening a path for player picks in Quiñones and Lira.

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Mexico vs. England picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

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