Mets vs. Reds Prediction, MLB Picks for Monday, June 15

Mets vs. Reds is set for first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, June 15, with the Reds returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Reds will deploy their young ace SP Chase Burns (7-1, 2.14 ERA), who's given up 2 or fewer runs in each of his last 10 starts. The Mets will counter with SP Tobias Myers (0-1, 4.05 ERA), who has mostly worked in relief.

Below, we’ll break down our Mets vs. Reds prediction and picks for Monday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, June 15

The Mets and Reds are in last place in their respective divisions. The Mets have at least been playing better lately, going 6-4 over their last 10 games. The Reds, meanwhile, are just 2-8 across their last 10 matchups.

Cincinnati is currently without star SS Elly De La Cruz (hamstring), who hasn't appeared in a game since May 31. Prior to his injury, he had 12 home runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Reds average 4.2 runs per game on the year, but that number is 3.1 in 12 games since he landed on the injured list.

Mets vs. Reds Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, June 15

The Reds enter Monday’s game as a home favorite against the Mets, returning a 1.69x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Mets vs. Reds game on PrizePicks Team Picks — where you can make real money predictions on every MLB game!

• Spread: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (2.43x payout)
• Over/Under: 8.5 runs (1.92x payout Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Mets 2.08x | Reds 1.69x

Make your Mets vs. Reds prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Mets vs. Reds Prediction on Winner – Monday, June 15

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mets vs. Reds prediction on the winner for Monday, June 15.

• The Mets are 14-21 on the road to this point in 2026.
• When these teams played a three-game series against each other in New York earlier this season, the Reds took two. The Mets scored a combined 8 runs over the three games.
• Burns faced the Mets in that three-game series, allowing 2 runs over 5.1 innings in what turned out to be a 7-2 win for the Reds.
• The Mets have the second-worst OBP (.294) in baseball, and it won’t be easy to reach base vs. Burns, who has a 0.99 WHIP.
• New York has the third-worst OPS (.670) against right-handed pitchers. It also has the second-worst OPS on the road (.646).

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Mets vs. Reds Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 6/15/26

Here are some top Mets vs. Reds picks to target on Monday, June 15. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include OF JJ Bleday and DH MJ Melendez.

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Reds OF JJ Bleday vs. Mets Projection: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

• Bleday has recorded at least a hit in 14 of his last 18 games. During that span, he tallied 6 home runs, 10 RBI, and 10 runs scored.
• Per FanGraphs, Bleday has lowered his strikeout rate from 26.5% last season to 18.0% this year.
• Not only is the left-handed hitting outfielder striking out less, but he has an 11.9% barrel rate and a 46.0% hard-hit rate that are both on pace to be the highest marks of his career.
• Bleday only has a .306 wOBA and a .198 ISO on the road, but he has a .459 wOBA and a .403 ISO at home.

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Mets DH MJ Melendez vs. Reds Projection: 4.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Across his last 11 games, Melendez is 5-for-28 (.179) with only 2 RBI and 4 runs scored.
• The former Kansas City Royal has a 33.3% strikeout rate and is batting just .204 overall despite having a .288 BABIP.
• Although he's a lefty, Melendez has a .304 wOBA and a 27.3% K-rate against right-handed pitchers.
• Burns has allowed 4 or fewer hits in nine of his 13 starts.
• The dominant righty misses many bats, posting a 32.0% strikeout rate over 119 career innings in the majors.

Add MJ Melendez to your PrizePicks MLB Lineup now!

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The Reds aim to break out of their funk with the dominant Burns on the mound Monday. He could make things difficult for Melendez, who's already struggled to reach base. Meanwhile, Bleday looks to continue his hot hitting at home for the Reds.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Mets vs. Reds picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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