Mets vs. Rangers Prediction, MLB Picks for Thursday, September 24

First pitch for the New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers game is set for 2:35 p.m. ET on Thursday, September 24, with the Rangers entering as home favorites and returning a 1.72x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

Today’s matchup is the third and final game of a three-game series between these two teams. New York enters Thursday at 73-85 and has already been eliminated from playoff contention, while Texas sits at 78-80 and is fighting for the American League West title with just four games remaining after today.

Below, we'll break down our Mets vs. Rangers prediction and picks for Thursday’s MLB game, including the winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Mets vs. Rangers picks and predictions on PrizePicks now.

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Mets vs. Rangers, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, September 24

The Rangers' playoff situation has become increasingly precarious after losing the first two games of this series. Texas is now 78-80 and tied with Houston atop the AL West, but the Astros own the head-to-head tiebreaker.

The Mets, meanwhile, have already secured the series victory and look to continue playing the spoiler role on Thursday afternoon.

New York will send LHP Zac Thornton (4.13 xFIP) to the mound. Thornton has decent results and has been a model of consistency. He's also done a good job limiting walks, ceding only 17 across his 79.2 innings pitched (1.93 BB/9).

The Rangers counter with RHP Kumar Rocker (4.28 xFIP), who enters Thursday with a 5-11 record over 29 appearances and 143 innings. Rocker has started to build upon his lofty potential and may have established himself as a high-upside SP3/SP4 for next season.

Mets vs. Rangers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, September 24

The Rangers enter Thursday’s game as home favorites against the Mets, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Mets vs. Rangers game on PrizePicks

Play the Mets vs. Rangers spread or over/under on PrizePicks.

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Mets vs. Rangers Prediction on Winner – 9/24/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mets vs. Rangers prediction on the winner for Thursday, September 24.

Lock in your Mets vs. Rangers prediction on PrizePicks now.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• The Rangers, much like on Wednesday, have far more at stake today. But New York has dominated the first two games of this series and has simply been playing much better ball than Texas over the last few weeks.
• The starting pitching matchup is neutral, with both pitchers' xFIP within 0.15 of each other (Thornton's being slightly better).
• Rocker has been worse at home, though, owning a 4.61 xFIP in Arlington compared to a 3.81 xFIP on the road.
• Offensively, the Mets have been good over the last two weeks with a wRC+ of 100. Texas' wRC+ of 82 is 24th over that same span.
• The bullpen edge also goes to the Metropolitans, who own a 3.81 xFIP over the last two weeks, good for 11th. The Rangers, meanwhile, at 27th at 4.67.

Mets vs. Rangers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/24/26

Here are the top Mets vs. Rangers picks to target on Thursday, September 24. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Zac Thornton and Kumar Rocker.

Mets P Zac Thornton vs. Rangers: 4 Strikeouts

• Over the last two weeks, the Rangers have struck out 26% of the time, sixth most in the majors.
• Thornton has pitched at least 5 innings in eight consecutive starts, giving him a reliable opportunity to accumulate strikeouts deep into the game.
• He has also recorded at least 4 strikeouts in his last six starts.
• For the season, the Rangers are striking out at a 23.9% clip vs. LHP but only 22.5% of the time against RHP. 

Add Zac Thornton + Mets to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Rangers P Kumar Rocker vs. Mets: 4 Strikeouts

• New York owns just a 19.9% strikeout rate over the last two weeks, the sixth lowest mark in the majors.
• Rocker has had fewer punchouts than this projection in two of his last three starts, both coming at home. He has a dramatically lower K/9 at home (7.3) than on the road (10.1) this year.
• Much like yesterday, this is a textbook must-win game for the Texas Rangers; I wouldn't be surprised to see them be very short with Rocker's leash.
• Rocker has only thrown 77, 65, and 73 pitches in his last three starts.

Add Kumar Rocker + Rangers to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Make Mets vs. Rangers Picks on PrizePicks

The Rangers enter Thursday with their backs against the wall after dropping the first two games of this series. The Mets have already been eliminated, but New York has played spoiler in a major way.

Can Thornton continue his strong season, or will Rocker deliver the type of home performance Texas needs to finally stop its skid late in the year?

Don't wait until lock — make your Mets vs. Rangers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you're right.

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