Leeds vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks, XIs for EPL – Monday, September 14

September 14, 2026

Soccer
AP Photo/Ian Hodgson
Newcastle's Anthony Elanga during a Premier League match against Liverpool.

Monday’s EPL match between Leeds and Newcastle is set to kick off at 3 p.m. ET. Leeds enters the EPL match as slight favorites on their home pitch, with a 2.22x payout on PrizePicks.

Leeds and Newcastle wrap up Matchweek 4 with a clash between the 10th- and 11th-placed sides in the table. Both teams are unbeaten through three matches, each picking up one win and two draws. 

Below, we'll break down our Leeds vs. Newcastle prediction and picks for Monday's Premier League match, including winner payouts, total goals, and top EPL picks for PrizePicks today.

Make your Leeds vs. Newcastle prediction on PrizePicks for Monday’s EPL match now.

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Leeds vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks for Premier League – Monday, September 14

How to watch Leeds vs. Newcastle: USA (English) / Universo (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3 p.m. ET

Venue: Elland Road, Leeds, England

Newcastle have made a surprisingly strong start to the season after bringing in a new manager and losing several key players over the summer.

After finishing in the bottom half of the table, the Magpies are unbeaten through three games and have a chance of taking something from a side they have consistently gotten the better of.

They close out Matchweek 4 at Elland Road, where Leeds have played just once this season across all competitions, drawing 1-1 with Brentford on Matchday 2.

Leeds were significantly stronger at home last season, and with a small sample size, that trend appears to be continuing. They successfully contained Brentford's 22 total shots, holding the Bees to one goal on 1.67 xG.

Their defense has looked sharp under new GK James Trafford, though the home fortress has been a feature at Elland Road regardless of who has been between the sticks. Leeds conceded 21 goals in 19 home games last season compared to 35 in 19 away from home.

Newcastle have found a way to score early this season, but their shot volume has been underwhelming across the first three matches. The Magpies have scored 2 goals in each game despite averaging just 10.7 shots per contest, with only 2.7 on target. Their 19% shot conversion rate has been elite, albeit unsustainable.

If Leeds can limit Newcastle's counter-attacking threat, the visitors haven't shown the ability to create consistently through possession and combination play. Newcastle will be fortunate to steal all 3 points, but a draw could be well within reach based on how solid their defense has been.

Leeds vs. Newcastle Spread, Total Goals, Payouts – Monday, September 14

Leeds enters Monday’s game as home favorites against Newcastle, returning a 2.22x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Meanwhile, Newcastle will look to pull off an upset as underdogs on the road, returning a 2.77x payout to do so. PrizePicks has a 3.22x payout on a draw between the two sides.

Here are the full payouts for the Leeds vs. Newcastle game on PrizePicks.

Winner Spread Total Both Teams to Score
Leeds 2.22x -1.5 | 4.34x o2.5 | 1.75x Yes | 1.58x
Newcastle 2.77x +1.5 | 1.19x u2.5 | 2x No | 2.27x
Play the Leeds vs. Newcastle spread or total goals on PrizePicks.

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Leeds vs. Newcastle Prediction on Total Goals – 9/14/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Leeds vs. Newcastle prediction on total goals for the Premier League match on Monday, September 14.

  • Leeds have been one of the league's most defensively solid sides with James Trafford in goal, conceding just 0.7 goals per game to open the season.
  • Leeds held the league's highest-scoring team, Brighton, to a season-low 1 goal in their most recent Premier League fixture and are one of four EPL sides to have conceded 2 goals or fewer through three matches.
  • Newcastle have scored exactly 2 goals in each of their first three games. Jaissle's side are making the most of their chances, doing this from just 2.7 shots on target per contest.
  • Both clubs rank in the bottom four in big chances created over the opening weeks of the season, with only Aston Villa having generated fewer than Newcastle's six.
  • Newcastle GK Lukáš Horníček leads the Premier League with 1.87 goals prevented through three games, conceding 1.87 fewer goals than the xG against him. His 4.3 saves per game rank second in the EPL.
Predict Leeds vs. Newcastle total goals on PrizePicks.

Leeds vs. Newcastle Projected Lineups – Monday, September 14

Take a look at the Leeds vs. Newcastle projected lineups for today's Premier League match. Lineups are not official and should be confirmed before match start.

Leeds Lineup vs. Newcastle: Projected 3-5-2

  • Goalkeeper: James Trafford
  • Defense: James Justin, Nico Elvedi, Tarik Muharemović 
  • Midfield: Jayden Bogle, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • Forwards: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor

Newcastle Lineup vs. Leeds: Projected 4-2-3-1

  • Goalkeeper: Lukáš Horníček
  • Defense: Lewis Hall, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Tino Livramento
  • Midfield: Nico González, Lewis Miley, Joe Willock
  • Forwards: Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa

Leeds vs. Newcastle Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/14/26

Here are Leeds vs. Newcastle picks to target on Monday, September 14. Today’s Premier League picks include James Trafford and Anthony Elanga.

Leeds GK James Trafford vs. Newcastle: 3 Goalie Saves

  • Trafford has saved 85% of the shots he’s faced this season. The former Man City GK is averaging 3.7 saves per game.
  • The Leeds keeper could struggle from a lack of attempts on his goal. Newcastle opened the season with 4 shots on target but have had just 2 SOT in the last two games.
  • Leeds’ former GK Lucas Perri averaged 2.5 saves in two matches vs. Newcastle last season. Newcastle’s 2.7 shots per game ranks second-lowest in the Premier League.
Add James Trafford to your PrizePicks EPL lineup now!

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Newcastle RW Anthony Elanga vs. Leeds: 2 Attempted Dribbles

  • Elanga leads Newcastle with 2 goals across the first three games, significantly outperforming his 0.42 xG by 1.58.
  • The 24-year-old is completing just 33% of his dribble attempts, averaging 0.7 successful dribbles per game. He averaged 0.4 successful dribbles across 32 Premier League appearances last season.
  • Elanga averaged 1.3 dribble attempts per game last season and surpassed 2 attempted dribbles for the first time in his most recent appearance across all competitions in this campaign.
 Add Anthony Elanga to your PrizePicks EPL lineup now!

Make Leeds vs. Newcastle Picks on PrizePicks

Leeds could make a significant push up the Premier League table with a win when they host Newcastle on Monday. Newcastle, meanwhile, will look to extend their six-game unbeaten run against Leeds and come away with at least a point at a tough away ground.

Don’t wait until kick-off – you can make your Leeds vs. Newcastle picks for Monday’s EPL match now on PrizePicks to earn real money. 

Just pick your EPL players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on match winner, total goals, and both teams to score – now available in 36 states

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Anthony is a journalist based in South Florida who specializes in sports content. He has covered the NFL, NBA, UFL, March Madness, the World Cup, the English Premier League, and the Champions League.