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Leeds United vs. Man City Prediction for Premier League – 2/28/26

Manchester City's Antoine Semenyo fights for the ball during a Premier League soccer match.
AP Photo/Jon Super

The final game of Saturday’s Premier League fixtures will feature Leeds United vs. Manchester City at 12:30 p.m. ET, streaming live on Peacock. 

Heading into Saturday’s clash, Man City are five points behind Arsenal for the top spot in the Premier League table. A record of 10-4-1 since late November has manager Pep Guardiola eyeing another EPL title.

Leeds are currently in 15th place in the Premier League standings, and they’re only six points ahead of the relegation zone — every result will matter the rest of the way.

Below, we’ll discuss our Leeds United vs. Man City prediction and EPL picks on PrizePicks for Saturday’s showdown at Elland Road. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make your EPL picks on players, goal totals, and other stats!

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Leeds United vs. Man City Prediction, Preview – Saturday, Feb. 28

Whenever these clubs met back on November 29, Manchester City edged out a 3-2 victory at home. This time around, Leeds United are in a bit better form than they once were, posting a 2-3-1 record in their previous six contests.

Leeds also gets the advantage of playing at home in this matchup; where they are 6-4-3 (22 points). Only one of their wins this year has come on the road.

Despite their 15th place in the table, Leeds is still a long shot for relegation, according to PrizePicks Team Picks payouts; picking Yes for Leeds to be relegated pays 8.33x (or $833 on a $100 entry).

If Man City wants to catch Arsenal in the table, they can’t afford to have any slip-ups against bottom-of-the-table teams. It’s safe to say that City will be rooting for whichever club faces Arsenal each week until the season concludes.

Although Erling Haaland has cooled off a bit by finding the back of the net in just 3 of his last 10 matches after scoring at least 1 goal in 9 of his first 11 starts in EPL action this season, he’s still pacing the Premier League in goals scored (22) and goals + assists (29).


Leeds United vs. Man City Spread, Total Goals, Payouts

Man City enters Saturday’s match as solid road favorites, returning a 1.58x payout ($100 entry pays out $158) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Leeds United are home underdogs with a 4.76x ($476 payout on a $100 entry) payout if they find a way to win on their home pitch, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Winner Payout: Man City – 1.58x | Tie – 4.16x | Leeds United – 4.76x

Spread: Man City -1.5 (2.7x Payout)

Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.69x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.69x | No 2.12x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Leeds United vs. Man City Prediction to Win – 2/28/26

Here are some stats to know to help you make your Leeds United vs. Man City prediction for Premier League action on Saturday, February 28, on PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • In front of their home fans this season, Leeds United has gone 6-4-3 against EPL opponents.
  • However, Leeds United has tallied a 1-3-4 record versus teams in the top five of the Premier League table; Man City currently sits second.
  • Man City has accrued a 6-3-4 record on the road against Premier League foes, and an impressive 4-2-1 in their last seven away matches.
  • Man City manager Pep Guardiola’s side has taken care of business when facing teams that are currently 15th or worse in the EPL standings, with a 6-1-1 record in that split.
  • No team is averaging more goals per match (2.1) and accurate passes per match (503.4) in the Premier League than Manchester City, per Fotmob.com.
  • Despite Leeds United giving a ton of effort under manager Daniel Farke, they are 16th in the EPL in expected goals conceded (40.7).
  • Only Chelsea has more expected goals (xG) than Man City (49.1).
  • Only Arsenal has a better expected goal difference than City (+18.8).

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Leeds United vs. Man City Projected Lineups for Feb. 28, 2026

Here are the projected Leeds United vs. Man City lineups for today's Premier League match on February 28, 2026. Lineups are not official.

Leeds United United Lineup vs. Man City: Projected 5-4-1

  • Goalkeeper: Karl Darlow
  • Defense: Gabriel Gudmundsson, Pascal Struijk, Joe Rodon, James Justin, Jayden Bogle
  • Midfield: Brenden Aaronson, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach
  • Forwards: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Man City Lineup vs. Leeds United: Projected 4-1-3-2

  • Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • Defense: Rayan Ait Nouri, Marc Guehi, Ruben Dias, Matheus Nunes
  • Midfield: Rodri, Nico O’Reilly, Bernardo Silva
  • Forwards: Omar Marmoush, Erling Haaland, Antoine Semenyo

Leeds United vs. Man City Picks for Premier League: Saturday, February 28

Here are the top Leeds United vs. Man City picks to target on players for Saturday, February 28 for PrizePicks, highlighted by Man City's Antoine Semenyo and Rodri.

Man City F Antoine Semenyo vs. Leeds United

Antoine Semenyo Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goals (Demon)

  • Haaland eases the pressure off the other forwards, which has allowed Antoine Semenyo to fire off multiple shots in four of his first six EPL matches with City.
  • Semenyo has achieved at least 1 shot on target in each of his last six appearances for Man City in the Premier League.
  • When it comes to scoring, Semenyo has found the back of the net in three of his first six EPL outings with City.
  • In those gams, he’s third on the team in xG per 90 (0.33).

Man City MF Rodri vs. Leeds United

Rodri Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Tackles (Demon), 0.5 Fouls (Goblin)

  • After a serious knee injury in September 2024, and another setback in 2025, Rodri seems to be getting his legs under him again recently.
  • Rodri has logged 90 minutes in five of his last six EPL starts for City.
  • Over his last five starts, Rodri has accrued 3 or more tackles in four of them.
  • With Rodri looking a bit more comfortable, he has been more physical in the midfield, accounting for at least 1 foul in four of his last six appearances.
  • Rodri leads Manchester City in tackles per 90 minutes (2.9).

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Leeds United F Dominic Calvert-Lewin vs. Man City

Dominic Calvert-Lewin Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)

  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin has produced multiple shots in six of his last seven starts for Leeds.
  • In that same seven-game span, Calvert-Lewin has recorded 1 or more shots on target in five of those contests.
  • Although scoring on City is going to be easier said than done, Calvert-Lewin leads the club in goals + assists (11).
  • He is also second in xG + xA per 90 (0.54) on the team.

Make Leeds United vs. Man City Picks Today

Leeds United vs. Man City will look to cap off Saturday’s slate of Premier League matches with an exciting 90-plus minutes of action, featuring one of the strongest teams in the EPL.

Will Leeds United earn a result that improves their chances of avoiding relegation? Or will Man City inch closer to the top of the Premier League table?

You can make your Leeds United vs. Man City picks on PrizePicks to earn real money on Premier League matches. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and total goals, now available in 34 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued Premier League predictions, picks, and analysis.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Skyler Carlin is an experienced writer with nearly 10 years of experience writing and editing NFL, NBA, MLB, CFB, CBB, & soccer content for FanDuel Research & USA Today. When he’s not writing, he enjoys cooking, watching movies, & playing video games.

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